Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers</li>
<li>Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap </li>
<li>Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque</li>
</ul>


New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers
Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap 
Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque


HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

<ul>
<li>HDFC Ltd will merge into HDFC Bank perhaps within some weeks</li>
<li>Amalgamation presumed benefits are a long list: scale, cross-sell, funding, loan mix, etc</li>
<li>Improvements in total funding costs may be immediate and significant, beyond expectations </li>
</ul>


HDFC Ltd will merge into HDFC Bank perhaps within some weeks
Amalgamation presumed benefits are a long list: scale, cross-sell, funding, loan mix, etc
Improvements in total funding costs may be immediate and significant, beyond expectations 


HDFC Ltd - Funding Benefits Can Be Immediate, Substantial

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>News out this morning that HDFC Bank and HDFC merger became effective 1 July </li>
<li>This occurred after the Boards approved the merger scheme on 30 June</li>
<li>Funding cost benefits, operating cost synergies, product cross-sale: major benefits</li>
</ul>


News out this morning that HDFC Bank and HDFC merger became effective 1 July 
This occurred after the Boards approved the merger scheme on 30 June
Funding cost benefits, operating cost synergies, product cross-sale: major benefits


HDFC - Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous

<ul>
<li>PNLF has seen its asset growth ratchet downward, running at near 12-year lows at +2% YoY </li>
<li>Phases of ROE decline are apparent, from 12-13%, then to 9%, and now to 5-6%</li>
<li>At least, there is a rebound in profit growth in FY22, after dismal 3 years</li>
</ul>


PNLF has seen its asset growth ratchet downward, running at near 12-year lows at +2% YoY 
Phases of ROE decline are apparent, from 12-13%, then to 9%, and now to 5-6%
At least, there is a rebound in profit growth in FY22, after dismal 3 years


Panin Financial - Vanishing Growth, Falling ROE, Despite Likely Rebalancing Beneficiary

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Singapore Airlines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> will announce its price range in the coming week, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelun-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36801:1" rel="noopener">Kelun Biotech</a> tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. </li>
<li>On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Tryt Inc (9164 JP) will announce its price range in the coming week, while Kelun Biotech tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. 
On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.


ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

India

Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. HDFC provides housing finance company. The Company provides wide range of housing loans, loan for home improvement, extensions, top ups, and non housing loans and loans for non resident Indian (NRI). HDFC serves customers in India, kuwait, Singapore, Oman, UAE, and the United Kingdom.

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HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)

HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

The merger is now done, and this is more relevant, highlighting now large HDFC Bank is now in Asia Pacific, not only in India.

Daniel Tabbush

HDFC Ltd - Funding Benefits Can Be Immediate, Substantial

This has more detail on the merger benefits, than the note done today and this should be seen by people, as the merger is now done, today.

Daniel Tabbush

HDFC - Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous

We provide a simple list here of the merger benefits as laid out by HDFC, now that merger is done, today. The initial Insight I want to Boomerang...

Daniel Tabbush

Panin Financial - Vanishing Growth, Falling ROE, Despite Likely Rebalancing Beneficiary

PNLF shows vanishing asset growth, falling ROE, and what appears to be a continuation of this during 1Q23. Even if it is a beneficiary from index...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)