Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.</li>
<li>Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.
We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.
Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: A Look at Global Indices - What's Changed?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.</li>
<li>The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> could be added to the HSCI and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.
The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) could be added to the HSCI and Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.


Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.</li><li>We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.</li><li>However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.</li></ul>

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Currently at 73 constituents, we could get to 80 stocks at the Dec rebalance. That would leave the slate clean to plan the move to 100 stocks in...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Volatility Update: A Look at Global Indices - What's Changed?

A weekly look at Global Index Volatility changes. We analyse moves over the last week in terms of spot, vol and skew and screen for possible trade...

Simon Harris

Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

Leapmotor is expected to list on 29 September. Poor peer performance could be a dampener, while passive HSTECH inflows and Southbound Stock Connect...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note. We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on...

Untying The Gordian Knot