Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

LR Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In this issue:Machine Learning as a  moat,  Mexico's lack of debt problem, JD.com surprising Q3, CIMB loses customer data, Jardine complicates Vinamilk, Data trading in Shanghai, a study on monetary leakage in the EU, Uber selling a stake?,  unwanted green lines for iPhone X,  and Seasteading.<div class="content-highlight">1.  Uber makes an announcement about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/315" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1">Softbank Group Corp (9984 JP)</a>  has agreed to take a stake in the company.  The amount is rumoured to be up to USD10bn, though Softbank retains the right to walk away…</div>

In this issue:Machine Learning as a  moat,  Mexico's lack of debt problem, JD.com surprising Q3, CIMB loses customer data, Jardine complicates Vinamilk, Data trading in Shanghai, a study on monetary leakage in the EU, Uber selling a stake?,  unwanted green lines for iPhone X,  and Seasteading.1.  Uber makes an announcement about Softbank Group Corp (9984 JP)  has agreed to take a stake in the company.  The amount is rumoured to be up to USD10bn, though Softbank retains the right to walk away…

In Today's Issue<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>Area</td>
<td>Item</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Economic/Commodities</td>
<td>
REMITTANCES TO INDIA ARE DOWN
BRAZIL SOYBEAN EXPORTS ARE UP
PRECIOUS METALS PRICES FLIRT WITH SUPPORT _ COULD BREAKDOWN
PEMEX MAKES SIZEABLE OIL DISCOVERY
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Policy Led</td>
<td>
SAUDI PURGE
CHINA'S PARIS OUTPERFORMANCE
PBoC LOOKING AT ITS OWN DIGITAL CURRENCY
VENEZUELA SEEKS EXTERNAL DEBT RESTRUCTURING
CHINA'S MAINLAND LAW ON THE NATIONAL ANTHEM TO APPLY TO HK AND MACAU
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Management Specific</td>
<td>
AMAZON INTO HEALTH INSURANCE IN EUROPE?
CJ CHEILJIDANG SELLING CJ HEALTH?
HDFC STANDARD…
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>

In Today's Issue

Area
Item


Economic/Commodities

REMITTANCES TO INDIA ARE DOWN
BRAZIL SOYBEAN EXPORTS ARE UP
PRECIOUS METALS PRICES FLIRT WITH SUPPORT _ COULD BREAKDOWN
PEMEX MAKES SIZEABLE OIL DISCOVERY



Policy Led

SAUDI PURGE
CHINA'S PARIS OUTPERFORMANCE
PBoC LOOKING AT ITS OWN DIGITAL CURRENCY
VENEZUELA SEEKS EXTERNAL DEBT RESTRUCTURING
CHINA'S MAINLAND LAW ON THE NATIONAL ANTHEM TO APPLY TO HK AND MACAU



Management Specific

AMAZON INTO HEALTH INSURANCE IN EUROPE?
CJ CHEILJIDANG SELLING CJ HEALTH?
HDFC STANDARD…




Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

* Problems at Group Lease (GL.TB) became more apparent with Ernst &amp; Young’s scathing 2016 audit report which questioned the integrity of inter-company loans, more liberal accounting policies, and the 30% purchase of a Sri Lankan company from a related party at a 120% market premium.* Among other items, an independent research report further alleged that Group Lease purposely misled investors, Ernst &amp; Young, and the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). Our own research suggests that each…

* Problems at Group Lease (GL.TB) became more apparent with Ernst &amp; Young’s scathing 2016 audit report which questioned the integrity of inter-company loans, more liberal accounting policies, and the 30% purchase of a Sri Lankan company from a related party at a 120% market premium.* Among other items, an independent research report further alleged that Group Lease purposely misled investors, Ernst &amp; Young, and the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). Our own research suggests that each…

* Traditional fundamentals within the legacy Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (HKEx) [388.HK] equities business continues on a positive upswing, with turnover steadily increasing;  * Launching a new iron ore futures contract, however, appears to be yet another foolish foray into the commodities space as HKEx continues to dig itself deeper into a hole with the London Metals Exchange (LME) business; and* HKEx has yet to earn a positive return on invested capital (ROIC) with the LME, by our calculation, and only nominal overall net returns since deal consummation. Given how HKEx is currently pressing to generate any form of revenue within this commodities unit, we fear that accountants and regulators will now push for a significant goodwill charge up to 2.2 years in pre-tax earnings, by our calculation.

* Traditional fundamentals within the legacy Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (HKEx) [388.HK] equities business continues on a positive upswing, with turnover steadily increasing;  * Launching a new iron ore futures contract, however, appears to be yet another foolish foray into the commodities space as HKEx continues to dig itself deeper into a hole with the London Metals Exchange (LME) business; and* HKEx has yet to earn a positive return on invested capital (ROIC) with the LME, by our calculation, and only nominal overall net returns since deal consummation. Given how HKEx is currently pressing to generate any form of revenue within this commodities unit, we fear that accountants and regulators will now push for a significant goodwill charge up to 2.2 years in pre-tax earnings, by our calculation.    

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as we add on more risk in Asia.To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH</a>6:58 min. <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/033/713/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1505712387" data-smartkarma-image-id="33713"></figure><div class="content-caption">Long stock bets</div>Korea - In last Thursday's Asian update in our macro product, we had our finger on the trigger to buy Korea given the odds of breaking above 312.25 out of the flat congestive pattern (upside breakout). We are short from 319 and…

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as we add on more risk in Asia.To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH6:58 min. Long stock betsKorea - In last Thursday's Asian update in our macro product, we had our finger on the trigger to buy Korea given the odds of breaking above 312.25 out of the flat congestive pattern (upside breakout). We are short from 319 and…

Where We Are Adding Risk in Asia - Korea Focus

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

21 Things Worth Knowing (#14)

In this issue:Machine Learning as a moat, Mexico's lack of debt problem, JD.com surprising Q3, CIMB loses customer data, Jardine complicates...

Mark Artherton

21 Things Worth Knowing (#8)

In Today's Issue1. Saudi Crown Prince kick starts an anti-corruption drive in a bid to cement his power. So far 11 princes, 4 ministers and a...

Mark Artherton

Group Lease - Lessons from Icharus

* Problems at Group Lease (GL.TB) became more apparent with Ernst & Young’s scathing 2016 audit report which questioned the integrity of...

Thomas J. Monaco

HKEx – Not Leaving Well Enough Alone

* Traditional fundamentals within the legacy Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing (HKEx) [388.HK] equities business continues on a positive upswing,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Where We Are Adding Risk in Asia - Korea Focus

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as...

Thomas Schroeder

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