ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Philippine Stock Exchange / Equity Bottom-Up

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The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> just released a strong set of 1Q2021 results, with revenue growth of +31.7% and pre-tax profit growth of +121.1%. The exchange saw its net income rise by +199% YoY and EPS by +195% YoY. The better numbers were driven by higher market volumes and particularly from retail investors and a pick-up in IPO activity and placements.
We expect continued momentum behind volumes driven by retail together with more IPO activity in 2Q2021, with the completion of the US$1bn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM)</a> IPO to come together with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/del-monte-philippines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26988:1" rel="noopener">Del Monte Philippines (1575316D PM)</a>, National Grid Corporation (NCGP), and REITs from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaworld-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8746:1" rel="noopener">Megaworld Corp (MEG PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8831:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vista-land-lifescapes-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18262:1" rel="noopener">Vista Land &amp; Lifescapes (VLL PM)</a>. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> is trading at a discount to regional exchanges on 18.6x FY21E PER, which trades on an average forward PER of 27.7x. There are also a number of potential catalysts ahead, the most obvious being higher volumes, driven by increasing retail participation plus significantly higher profile IPOs in FY2021. 
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The Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) just released a strong set of 1Q2021 results, with revenue growth of +31.7% and pre-tax profit growth of +121.1%. The exchange saw its net income rise by +199% YoY and EPS by +195% YoY. The better numbers were driven by higher market volumes and particularly from retail investors and a pick-up in IPO activity and placements.
We expect continued momentum behind volumes driven by retail together with more IPO activity in 2Q2021, with the completion of the US$1bn Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM) IPO to come together with Del Monte Philippines (1575316D PM), National Grid Corporation (NCGP), and REITs from Megaworld Corp (MEG PM), Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM), and Vista Land &amp; Lifescapes (VLL PM). 
Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) is trading at a discount to regional exchanges on 18.6x FY21E PER, which trades on an average forward PER of 27.7x. There are also a number of potential catalysts ahead, the most obvious being higher volumes, driven by increasing retail participation plus significantly higher profile IPOs in FY2021. 


Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) - Solid Foundations for Future Growth

China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> April ADT (Average Daily Turnover) re-accelerated from March metrics, delivering amazing 55% year-over-year growth in the month. The outperformance is helped by the rebound of global equity markets and easy comparable from last year. For first 4 months of year 2021, HKEx ADT has accelerated the year-over-year growth rate to 77%. IPO market remains robust. Total raised fund has reached HK$137 billion in 32 IPO deals. New economy and biotech stocks account 95% of IPO deals.</li>
<li>We maintain our sanguine view on trading activities and IPO pipeline in Hong Kong market in 2021, and believe these are the driver to further lift market activities. HKEx delivered HK$3,840mn profit in 21Q1, up 31% quarter-over-quarter, 70% year-over-year. Total ADT is up 86% year-over-year and reached HK$244 bn. Excluding Southbound Stock Connect, ADT grew 76% year-over-year. Commodity trading volume at LME also rebounded 5% quarter-over-quarter. </li>
<li>We forecast Securities ADT of HK$240bn in FY 21 (excluding Stock Connect Northbound volume) and have TP HKD 550 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. Mr. Nicolas Aguzin will become HKEx new CEO effective next Monday May 24 and will deliver his first public speech as HKEx new CEO at LME Asia2021 Metal Seminar on May 25, 2021.  We expect Mr Aguzin will continue to strengthen HKEx market leading position in China New Economy sector and Stock Connect program.     </li>
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HKEX (388 HK) April ADT (Average Daily Turnover) re-accelerated from March metrics, delivering amazing 55% year-over-year growth in the month. The outperformance is helped by the rebound of global equity markets and easy comparable from last year. For first 4 months of year 2021, HKEx ADT has accelerated the year-over-year growth rate to 77%. IPO market remains robust. Total raised fund has reached HK$137 billion in 32 IPO deals. New economy and biotech stocks account 95% of IPO deals.
We maintain our sanguine view on trading activities and IPO pipeline in Hong Kong market in 2021, and believe these are the driver to further lift market activities. HKEx delivered HK$3,840mn profit in 21Q1, up 31% quarter-over-quarter, 70% year-over-year. Total ADT is up 86% year-over-year and reached HK$244 bn. Excluding Southbound Stock Connect, ADT grew 76% year-over-year. Commodity trading volume at LME also rebounded 5% quarter-over-quarter. 
We forecast Securities ADT of HK$240bn in FY 21 (excluding Stock Connect Northbound volume) and have TP HKD 550 for HKEX (388 HK). Mr. Nicolas Aguzin will become HKEx new CEO effective next Monday May 24 and will deliver his first public speech as HKEx new CEO at LME Asia2021 Metal Seminar on May 25, 2021.  We expect Mr Aguzin will continue to strengthen HKEx market leading position in China New Economy sector and Stock Connect program.     


HKEx(388.HK): New Economy and Stock Connect to Continue Lift Trading Activities

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

*Wealth Management Connect: Wealth Management (WM) Connect should allow the residents of Hong Kong and the Greater Bay Area (GBA) to purchase WM products in each other's markets. The launch of a GBA financial connection has been the key turning point to convert HKEx from a conduit of capital flows to mainland China to a marketplace for transactions which connect mainland China and global liquidity; and
Consultation Paper Released: On May 6, 2021, mainland China’s financial regulatory authorities released a consultation paper on WM Connect. This should be another avenue to bring additional mainland Chinese liquidity through HKEX. Benefits to HKEX in the beginning will be limited given the initial quotas on residents and limitations on products.

*Wealth Management Connect: Wealth Management (WM) Connect should allow the residents of Hong Kong and the Greater Bay Area (GBA) to purchase WM products in each other's markets. The launch of a GBA financial connection has been the key turning point to convert HKEx from a conduit of capital flows to mainland China to a marketplace for transactions which connect mainland China and global liquidity; and
Consultation Paper Released: On May 6, 2021, mainland China’s financial regulatory authorities released a consultation paper on WM Connect. This should be another avenue to bring additional mainland Chinese liquidity through HKEX. Benefits to HKEX in the beginning will be limited given the initial quotas on residents and limitations on products.

Hong Kong Exchange & Clearing – Making The Connection

*Glittering Quarter: Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEX] reported 1Q21 earnings of HKD 3.8 bn, improving HKD 915 mn (31.3%) linked quarter. Results were even more impressive when we exclude investment income (declined HKD 363 mn or 43.8% linked quarter) – increasing HKD 1.3 bn (61.0%) to HKD 3.4 bn. Results were highlighted by HKEX’ positive operating jaws, as recurring revenue increased HKD 1.2 bn (28.6%) while operating expenses declined HKD 194 mn (14.5%) over the period;  and*Risks Are Increasing: In addition to an extended valuation when ADT has begun to turn and having a new CEO with no exchange experiences, HKEX needs to contend with the government’s examination of a stamp duty increase and mainland China’s contemplation of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms (including Hong Kong) which will bolster Shanghai’s status as a global financial center.

*Glittering Quarter: Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEX] reported 1Q21 earnings of HKD 3.8 bn, improving HKD 915 mn (31.3%) linked quarter. Results were even more impressive when we exclude investment income (declined HKD 363 mn or 43.8% linked quarter) – increasing HKD 1.3 bn (61.0%) to HKD 3.4 bn. Results were highlighted by HKEX’ positive operating jaws, as recurring revenue increased HKD 1.2 bn (28.6%) while operating expenses declined HKD 194 mn (14.5%) over the period;  and*Risks Are Increasing: In addition to an extended valuation when ADT has begun to turn and having a new CEO with no exchange experiences, HKEX needs to contend with the government’s examination of a stamp duty increase and mainland China’s contemplation of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms (including Hong Kong) which will bolster Shanghai’s status as a global financial center.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Golden Quarter, But Risks Are High

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Despite pressures on the Philippines from strict lockdowns and continuing issues with rising cases of COVID-19, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM)</a> looks increasingly attractive with a powerful combination of rising volumes and a significant pipeline of IPOs in 2021. 
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The exchange has also been a direct beneficiary of COVID-19 as it has encouraged the influx of greater numbers of retail investors, which has boosted market volumes significantly. 
The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM)</a> currently only has 272 listed companies, which looks quite a low number but is in the process of encouraging more smaller companies to list. 
The rapid increase in IPOs should be positive for margins given the high listing fees that the listing of new shares attracts. We have just seen the approval pass for the US$1bn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM)</a> IPO, which will focus attention on the overall market.
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> has outlined a number of new initiatives to increase liquidity and the number of new listings.
The company is also looking to increasingly digitize its business by upgrading its clearing and settlement system and shortening settlement to T+2. 
<div class="content-highlight">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> is trading at a discount to regional exchanges on 17.1x FY21E PER, which trades on an average forward PER of 29x. There are also a number of potential catalysts ahead, the most obvious being higher volumes, driven by increasing retail participation plus more IPOs in FY2021.
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Despite pressures on the Philippines from strict lockdowns and continuing issues with rising cases of COVID-19, Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM) looks increasingly attractive with a powerful combination of rising volumes and a significant pipeline of IPOs in 2021. 

The exchange has also been a direct beneficiary of COVID-19 as it has encouraged the influx of greater numbers of retail investors, which has boosted market volumes significantly. 
The Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM) currently only has 272 listed companies, which looks quite a low number but is in the process of encouraging more smaller companies to list. 
The rapid increase in IPOs should be positive for margins given the high listing fees that the listing of new shares attracts. We have just seen the approval pass for the US$1bn Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM) IPO, which will focus attention on the overall market.
Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) has outlined a number of new initiatives to increase liquidity and the number of new listings.
The company is also looking to increasingly digitize its business by upgrading its clearing and settlement system and shortening settlement to T+2. 

Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) is trading at a discount to regional exchanges on 17.1x FY21E PER, which trades on an average forward PER of 29x. There are also a number of potential catalysts ahead, the most obvious being higher volumes, driven by increasing retail participation plus more IPOs in FY2021.


Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM) - Overlooked and On the Up

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) - Solid Foundations for Future Growth

The Philippine Stock Exchange released a strong set of results for 1Q2021 but we see more to come with higher volumes and more IPO activity...

Angus Mackintosh

HKEx(388.HK): New Economy and Stock Connect to Continue Lift Trading Activities

HKEx will continue to strengthen its market leading position in China New Economy sector and Stock Connect program. We forecast Securities ADT of...

Roger Xie

Hong Kong Exchange & Clearing – Making The Connection

HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING: Mainland China’s financial regulatory authorities released a consultation paper on WM Connect, an avenue to bring...

Thomas J. Monaco

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Golden Quarter, But Risks Are High

HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING: HKEX 1Q21 operating earnings increased 61.0% QOQ, highlighted by positive operating jaws. HKEX needs to contend a...

Thomas J. Monaco

Philippine Stock Exchange Inc (PSE PM) - Overlooked and On the Up

The Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) is probably the most overlooked listed stock exchange in Asia, with the catalyst of higher volumes driven by...

Angus Mackintosh

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