Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a> will Dual Primary list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> by Way of Introduction and the stock is expected to start trading on 30 December.</li>
<li>Following the changes to the handling of Dual-Primary-listed companies, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a> should be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a> should also be added to the HSCI at the March rebalance and should be added to Southbound Stock Connect late July/ early August.</li>
</ul>



Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) will Dual Primary list on the HKEX (388 HK) by Way of Introduction and the stock is expected to start trading on 30 December.
Following the changes to the handling of Dual-Primary-listed companies, Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) should be added to the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the March rebalance.

Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) should also be added to the HSCI at the March rebalance and should be added to Southbound Stock Connect late July/ early August.


Futu (FUTU US / 3588 HK): Dual Primary Listing, Stock Connect & Potential HSCI/HSTECH Inclusion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> currently has a float of 1.4%. That will increase to 46% at the end of June as pre-IPO and cornerstone investor lock-ups end.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index</a> FAF increase and potential inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> will require passive trackers to buy 700m shares early September.</li>
<li>Economic stimulus in China, outlook for China tech, lock-up expiry, inclusion in Southbound Connect and flows from passive trackers will drive the stock for few months and provide trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK) currently has a float of 1.4%. That will increase to 46% at the end of June as pre-IPO and cornerstone investor lock-ups end.
The Hang Seng Tech Index FAF increase and potential inclusion in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index will require passive trackers to buy 700m shares early September.
Economic stimulus in China, outlook for China tech, lock-up expiry, inclusion in Southbound Connect and flows from passive trackers will drive the stock for few months and provide trading opportunities.


SenseTime (20 HK): Lock-Up Expiry Will Bring BIG Passive Flow

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Citic Sec, Anta Sports, HSBC, Mnso.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Citic Sec, Anta Sports, HSBC, Mnso.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Citic Sec, Anta Sports, HSBC, Mnso

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity still high. Net buying very strong. 7 names traded more than US$1bn. Last week I said tech would continue to be bought. It was.</li>
<li>The trend continues to net sales of ETFs and high div SOEs. Net buying is very, very broad-based. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> is batted around like crazy.</li>
<li>I expect HK-listed tech to <em>continue</em> getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity still high. Net buying very strong. 7 names traded more than US$1bn. Last week I said tech would continue to be bought. It was.
The trend continues to net sales of ETFs and high div SOEs. Net buying is very, very broad-based. Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) is batted around like crazy.
I expect HK-listed tech to continue getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Nov 2024); Tech Bought, High-Div SOEs Sold or Ignored, Again

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

Futu (FUTU US / 3588 HK): Dual Primary Listing, Stock Connect & Potential HSCI/HSTECH Inclusion

Futu (FUTU US) will Dual Primary list on the HKEX by Way of Introduction. Stock is expected to start trading on 30 Dec. Futu should be added to...

Brian Freitas

SenseTime (20 HK): Lock-Up Expiry Will Bring BIG Passive Flow

SenseTime rallied post listing and has since dropped. Lock-up expiry in June could lead to short-term weakness but that will bring in large passive...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Citic Sec, Anta Sports, HSBC, Mnso

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 8th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, Citic Sec, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Nov 2024); Tech Bought, High-Div SOEs Sold or Ignored, Again

SOUTHBOUND continues to be a big net buyer of HK stocks. It is possible investors are looking to cheap tech, possible they are looking to buybacks....

Travis Lundy

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