Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Honda Motor Co Ltd (Adr) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Honda Motor Co., Ltd.'s financial performance in the first quarter of FY 2025 presented a complex picture with both strengths and challenges noted.</li><li>On the positive side, Honda achieved its highest ever quarterly operating profit of JPY 484.7 billion, up JPY 90.2 billion year-over-year, translating into a robust operating profit margin of 9%.</li><li>The growth was largely driven by an increase in unit sales in the Motorcycle Business, particularly in India and Brazil, and a strong performance in the Automobile Business, especially with hybrid models in Japan and the U.S. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Honda Motor Co., Ltd.'s financial performance in the first quarter of FY 2025 presented a complex picture with both strengths and challenges noted.On the positive side, Honda achieved its highest ever quarterly operating profit of JPY 484.7 billion, up JPY 90.2 billion year-over-year, translating into a robust operating profit margin of 9%.The growth was largely driven by an increase in unit sales in the Motorcycle Business, particularly in India and Brazil, and a strong performance in the Automobile Business, especially with hybrid models in Japan and the U.S. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Honda Motor Co.: How Is It Adapting To The Shifting Global Vehicle Mix & Regional Market Dynamics?

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Honda and Nissan merger talks hit a roadblock as Nissan rejects becoming a subsidiary, stalling negotiations between the automakers.</li><li>Resistance from automakers to Apple's CarPlay 2.0 upgrades is causing challenges in integration, potentially impacting the future of in-car technology.</li><li>SoftBank ends DeepSeek usage in partnership with OpenAI, while Alphabet commends DeepSeek's progress and emphasizes AI efficiency for competitive advantage.</li></ul>

Honda and Nissan merger talks hit a roadblock as Nissan rejects becoming a subsidiary, stalling negotiations between the automakers.Resistance from automakers to Apple's CarPlay 2.0 upgrades is causing challenges in integration, potentially impacting the future of in-car technology.SoftBank ends DeepSeek usage in partnership with OpenAI, while Alphabet commends DeepSeek's progress and emphasizes AI efficiency for competitive advantage.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-Feb-2025): Honda-Nissan merger talks fail as Nissan rejects subsidiary.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda (7267 JP) </a> announced a HUGE ¥1.1trln buyback. At ~¥1500/share, this would increase EPS by 17+%.  Buy the shares in the low ¥1,400s. Expect this to be a range trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>'s Circular is now out. Hoome straight and done deal. </li>
<li>Murakami-San has started selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>, earlier than expected. Best to get out first, ask questions later.</li>
</ul>



Honda (7267 JP)  announced a HUGE ¥1.1trln buyback. At ~¥1500/share, this would increase EPS by 17+%.  Buy the shares in the low ¥1,400s. Expect this to be a range trade.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)'s Circular is now out. Hoome straight and done deal. 
Murakami-San has started selling Exedy Corp (7278 JP), earlier than expected. Best to get out first, ask questions later.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Honda, Shanghai Henlius, Exedy, Arcadium Lithium

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Today, along with the announcement of Memorandum of Understanding between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)</a> to work towards negotiating a Joint Holding Company by June 2025... </li>
<li>Honda cancelled their existing ¥100bn buyback, and initiated a truly mammoth NEW Buyback - up to 1.1 billion shares (23.7% of TSO), spending up to ¥1.1trln on market through Dec-2025.</li>
<li>Assuming the stock pops, it is probably "only" worth 15-18%, but that's still a LOT. At that rate it boosts BVPS by 8+% on its own, and EPS by 17%.</li>
</ul>


Today, along with the announcement of Memorandum of Understanding between Honda Motor (7267 JP), and Nissan Motor (7201 JP) to work towards negotiating a Joint Holding Company by June 2025... 
Honda cancelled their existing ¥100bn buyback, and initiated a truly mammoth NEW Buyback - up to 1.1 billion shares (23.7% of TSO), spending up to ¥1.1trln on market through Dec-2025.
Assuming the stock pops, it is probably "only" worth 15-18%, but that's still a LOT. At that rate it boosts BVPS by 8+% on its own, and EPS by 17%.


Honda (7267 JP) - MAMMOTH New ¥1.1Trln Stock Buyback

<ul><li>The automotive world is abuzz with speculation following reports that Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. are exploring a potential merger.</li><li>This development comes amid mounting industry pressures, including surging competition from Chinese electric vehicle (EV) makers and the relentless expansion of Tesla.</li><li>The possibility of a Honda-Nissan tie-up has sparked market reactions, with Nissan's shares skyrocketing while Honda's stock faced a decline.</li></ul>

The automotive world is abuzz with speculation following reports that Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. are exploring a potential merger.This development comes amid mounting industry pressures, including surging competition from Chinese electric vehicle (EV) makers and the relentless expansion of Tesla.The possibility of a Honda-Nissan tie-up has sparked market reactions, with Nissan's shares skyrocketing while Honda's stock faced a decline.

Honda and Nissan’s Bold Merger Plan: Is Foxconn the Wild Card?

Japan

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products such as generators and farm machinery. The Company also operates a financial credit business. Honda Motor has manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Thailand.

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Honda Motor (7267 JP)

Honda Motor Co.: How Is It Adapting To The Shifting Global Vehicle Mix & Regional Market Dynamics?

Honda Motor Co., Ltd.'s financial performance in the first quarter of FY 2025 presented a complex picture with both strengths and challenges...

Baptista Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-Feb-2025): Honda-Nissan merger talks fail as Nissan rejects subsidiary.

Honda and Nissan merger talks stall over subsidiary refusal, automakers resist Apple CarPlay 2.0, SoftBank halts DeepSeek, China smartphone...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Last Week in Event SPACE: Honda, Shanghai Henlius, Exedy, Arcadium Lithium

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Honda (7267 JP) - MAMMOTH New ¥1.1Trln Stock Buyback

On the same day that Honda, Nissan, and Mit Motors announce plans to look at joining under a holdco, in Q3 2026, Honda announces a massive new...

Travis Lundy

Honda and Nissan’s Bold Merger Plan: Is Foxconn the Wild Card?

The automotive world is abuzz with speculation following reports that Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. are exploring a potential merger. This...

Baptista Research

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