Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Typically net interest margins and loan volume are what matter most for banks</li>
<li>ICICI is showing strength in both core financial metrics, but also in credit costs</li>
<li>Of the large 3 banks in India, ICICI may continue to show the best marginal deltaCI</li>
</ul>


Typically net interest margins and loan volume are what matter most for banks
ICICI is showing strength in both core financial metrics, but also in credit costs
Of the large 3 banks in India, ICICI may continue to show the best marginal deltaCI


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-tsushin-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15218:1" rel="noopener">Honda Tsushin Kogyo (6826 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma. Honda Tsushin Kogyo (6826 JP)'s Tender Offer.
Key updates took place for: Resapp Health (RAP AU), Link Administration (LNK AU), and Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: ResApp, Honda Tsushin Kogyo, Yashili, Link Admin, Lifestyle

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma. The Scheme for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a> ; and the off-market takeover for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-unity-office-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24077:1" rel="noopener">Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma. The Scheme for Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU) ; and the off-market takeover for MACA Ltd (MLD AU).
Key updates took place for: Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU) and Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Genex, MACA, Australian Unity Office, Mapletree Commercial

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Metropolis Healthcare Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>SENSEX and BSE 100 could both see one index change each. There could be multiple ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 and BSE 500 indices.</li>
<li>There are several trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.
SENSEX and BSE 100 could both see one index change each. There could be multiple ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 and BSE 500 indices.
There are several trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.


S&P BSE Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 2022: Some More Interesting LONG-SHORT Pairs

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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<ul>
<li>While HDFC Bank ("HDFCB") is doing all the right things (distribution expansion, digital infrastructure revamp) from a long-term perspective, it also has near-term growth triggers led by its retail book.  </li>
<li>Excluding auto sector and two-wheeler loans, HDFCB's retail book grew 25% YoY in Q1FY23. As the supply chain disruptions recede, HDFCB's retail book growth could surprise on the upside.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> is also making decent progress in its digitization upgrades which should further bolster the growth and productivity.</li>
</ul>


While HDFC Bank ("HDFCB") is doing all the right things (distribution expansion, digital infrastructure revamp) from a long-term perspective, it also has near-term growth triggers led by its retail book.  
Excluding auto sector and two-wheeler loans, HDFCB's retail book grew 25% YoY in Q1FY23. As the supply chain disruptions recede, HDFCB's retail book growth could surprise on the upside.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is also making decent progress in its digitization upgrades which should further bolster the growth and productivity.


HDFC Bank: Attractive Valuation with Near-Term Growth Triggers

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

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HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)

India Banks - Solid Strength at ICICI

There are vast differences amongst the largest 3 banks in India, that favor ICICI. Margin expansion, LDR expansion, net interest income growth, and...

Daniel Tabbush

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: ResApp, Honda Tsushin Kogyo, Yashili, Link Admin, Lifestyle

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Genex, MACA, Australian Unity Office, Mapletree Commercial

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

S&P BSE Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 2022: Some More Interesting LONG-SHORT Pairs

Tata Motors Ltd could be added to SENSEX and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories could be deleted. Adani Total Gas could get deleted from BSE 100 for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HDFC Bank: Attractive Valuation with Near-Term Growth Triggers

HDFCB's stock has been under pressure over the past 6M due to narrative bias. However, the fundamentals remain sound. Current valuations offer the...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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