Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Valuation controversy arises from comparing HD Hyundai Marine Solution, a ship AS specialist, with diverse global companies, leading to a target market cap of ₩5T.</li>
<li>HD KSOE's inclusion worsens the valuation controversy. Applying HD KSOE's last year PER without adjusting for a significant one-off profit seems to inflate HD Hyundai Marine Solution's PER.</li>
<li>Currently, major local IPO funds see HD Hyundai Marine's valuation nearing ₩4T as excessive, despite the industry's revival and potential growth in eco-friendly ship conversions, impacting the upcoming bookbuilding process.</li>
</ul>


Valuation controversy arises from comparing HD Hyundai Marine Solution, a ship AS specialist, with diverse global companies, leading to a target market cap of ₩5T.
HD KSOE's inclusion worsens the valuation controversy. Applying HD KSOE's last year PER without adjusting for a significant one-off profit seems to inflate HD Hyundai Marine Solution's PER.
Currently, major local IPO funds see HD Hyundai Marine's valuation nearing ₩4T as excessive, despite the industry's revival and potential growth in eco-friendly ship conversions, impacting the upcoming bookbuilding process.


Local Color on HD Hyundai Marine Solution's Excessive IPO Valuation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024. </li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 73,300 won to 83,400 won. The IPO offering amount is from 652.4 billion won to 742.3 billion won. </li>
<li>A key beneficiary of HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO is HD Hyundai (62% ownership). Our NAV analysis suggests implied price of 95,632 for HD Hyundai (40% higher than current price).</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024. 
The IPO price range is from 73,300 won to 83,400 won. The IPO offering amount is from 652.4 billion won to 742.3 billion won. 
A key beneficiary of HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO is HD Hyundai (62% ownership). Our NAV analysis suggests implied price of 95,632 for HD Hyundai (40% higher than current price).


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

SAMSUNGACTIVE KoAct Dividend Growth ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February.</li>
<li>There are 45 stocks in the ETF and the aim is to beat the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22911:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)</a> by employing an active management strategy. </li>
<li>Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials stocks make up nearly two-thirds of the ETF, the dividend yield of the underlying basket is 4% and the forward dividend yield is slightly higher.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February.
There are 45 stocks in the ETF and the aim is to beat the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX) by employing an active management strategy. 
Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials stocks make up nearly two-thirds of the ETF, the dividend yield of the underlying basket is 4% and the forward dividend yield is slightly higher.


Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF: A Look at the First Corporate Value-Up ETF

<ul>
<li>Samsung Active Management launched the first Corporate Value Up ETF called KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF on 27 February. It also revealed some of the major constituents of this ETF.</li>
<li>Samsung Active Management revealed the top 20 constituents of this ETF, which comprised 73.2% of the total ETF AUM.</li>
<li>In the coming weeks, there will be many other Corporate Value Up related ETFs that will be created that are similar to Samsung's KoAct Dividend Growth ETF. </li>
</ul>


Samsung Active Management launched the first Corporate Value Up ETF called KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF on 27 February. It also revealed some of the major constituents of this ETF.
Samsung Active Management revealed the top 20 constituents of this ETF, which comprised 73.2% of the total ETF AUM.
In the coming weeks, there will be many other Corporate Value Up related ETFs that will be created that are similar to Samsung's KoAct Dividend Growth ETF. 


Constituents of the 1st Corporate Value Up ETF in Korea

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024.</li>
<li>The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service to be about 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 75,260 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024.
The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service to be about 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 75,260 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Initial Thoughts on the HD Hyundai Global Service IPO in 2024 - Impact on HD Hyundai

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

Local Color on HD Hyundai Marine Solution's Excessive IPO Valuation

This post conveys the sentiment among local IPO fund managers regarding the excessive valuation of the HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO.

Sanghyun Park

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Preview

HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024.

Douglas Kim

Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF: A Look at the First Corporate Value-Up ETF

The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February. The div yield of the underlying...

Brian Freitas

Constituents of the 1st Corporate Value Up ETF in Korea

Samsung Active Management launched the first Corporate Value Up ETF called KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF on 27 February. The top 20 constituents...

Douglas Kim

Initial Thoughts on the HD Hyundai Global Service IPO in 2024 - Impact on HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024. The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service...

Douglas Kim

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