Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the Korean stock market, one of the biggest positive catalysts of Donald Trump becoming the next United States President has been the shipbuilding sector.</li>
<li>About 20 years, the United States had a dominant naval superiority versus China. That is no longer the case. </li>
<li>There is a likely scenario of the US Navy increasingly outsourcing the construction and after-service of its fleet to Korean companies such as Hanwha Ocean and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.</li>
</ul>


In the Korean stock market, one of the biggest positive catalysts of Donald Trump becoming the next United States President has been the shipbuilding sector.
About 20 years, the United States had a dominant naval superiority versus China. That is no longer the case. 
There is a likely scenario of the US Navy increasingly outsourcing the construction and after-service of its fleet to Korean companies such as Hanwha Ocean and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.


Trump Catalyst - Korean Shipbuilding Sector

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. </li>
<li>In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. </li>
<li>Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. 
In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. 
Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).


Palantir's Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai's 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


<ul>
<li>Amid chaos in Korean politics (including impeachment of the Acting President Han Duck Soo), the FSC announced that the change in the procedure for quarterly dividends was passed into law.</li>
<li>The main change that has been made is that the the investors will know in advance how much they will receive in quarterly dividends. </li>
<li>Amid market turmoil, numerous high dividend paying stocks such as Hankook &amp; Company, HD Hyundai, and KT Corp have been outperforming the market this year. </li>
</ul>


Amid chaos in Korean politics (including impeachment of the Acting President Han Duck Soo), the FSC announced that the change in the procedure for quarterly dividends was passed into law.
The main change that has been made is that the the investors will know in advance how much they will receive in quarterly dividends. 
Amid market turmoil, numerous high dividend paying stocks such as Hankook &amp; Company, HD Hyundai, and KT Corp have been outperforming the market this year. 


Dividend Procedure Improvement Plan in Compliance with Global Standards Is Passed into Law

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Daishin Securities

Daishin Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>2Q24 consolidated OP exceeds market consensus and our estimate by a substantial margin</li><li>Weak performance in oil refining was more than offset by strong gains in shipbuilding, marine solution and electrical businesses </li><li>Core subsidiaries positioned to sustain robust performance throughout 2H24; Value-Up initiatives under consideration</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

2Q24 consolidated OP exceeds market consensus and our estimate by a substantial marginWeak performance in oil refining was more than offset by strong gains in shipbuilding, marine solution and electrical businesses Core subsidiaries positioned to sustain robust performance throughout 2H24; Value-Up initiatives under considerationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HD Hyundai (July 26, 2024) - Shipbuilding, Marine Solution, Electrical Biz Drive Earnings Beat

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

Trump Catalyst - Korean Shipbuilding Sector

KDB is pushing for the sale of some of its Hanwha Ocean shares (13 million initially, more later on) through block deal sale which is likely to...

Douglas Kim

Palantir's Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai's 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

We discuss the increasing importance of Palantir on influencing the political rallies in Korea. HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is...

Douglas Kim

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Dividend Procedure Improvement Plan in Compliance with Global Standards Is Passed into Law

Amid chaos in Korean politics (including impeachment of the Acting President Han Duck Soo), the FSC announced that the change in the procedure for...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai (July 26, 2024) - Shipbuilding, Marine Solution, Electrical Biz Drive Earnings Beat

Weak performance in oil refining was more than offset by strong gains in shipbuilding, marine solution and electrical businesses

Daishin Securities

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