Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past week, Posco (005490 KS) announced that it will form a holding company structure through a physical spin-off (물적분할). </li>
<li>Many minority shareholders are opposing this move since they believe that this structure could result in the company eventually listing POSCO (steel company) and their stakes could be diluted.</li>
<li>Shareholders will finally vote on this new organizational structure on 28 January 2022. Many minority shareholders are opposing on this new deal. The final vote will likely remain very close. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, Posco (005490 KS) announced that it will form a holding company structure through a physical spin-off (물적분할). 
Many minority shareholders are opposing this move since they believe that this structure could result in the company eventually listing POSCO (steel company) and their stakes could be diluted.
Shareholders will finally vote on this new organizational structure on 28 January 2022. Many minority shareholders are opposing on this new deal. The final vote will likely remain very close. 


POSCO's Physical Spin-Off to Form POSCO Holdings: Opposed by Many Minority Shareholders

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2021, including the performance of our calls.</li>
<li>We made 37 investment calls on IPOs this year, of which 28 had positive ratings on the IPOs and 9 had negative ratings.</li>
<li>The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative ratings) were up only 4.9% on average from their IPO prices.</li>
</ul>


In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2021, including the performance of our calls.
We made 37 investment calls on IPOs this year, of which 28 had positive ratings on the IPOs and 9 had negative ratings.
The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative ratings) were up only 4.9% on average from their IPO prices.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KRX calculates floats fairly aggressively even in new IPOs. This was symbolically shown in the case of Kakao Pay, which received a 35% float rate.</li>
<li>So, we need a trading setup that raises the float rate prediction range in future KOSPI 200 Fast Entry cases.</li>
<li>Considering that rebalancing trading that occurs on the implementation day is now partially digested in regular trading hours, we need to consider getting out positions before the closing auction hours.</li>
</ul>


KRX calculates floats fairly aggressively even in new IPOs. This was symbolically shown in the case of Kakao Pay, which received a 35% float rate.
So, we need a trading setup that raises the float rate prediction range in future KOSPI 200 Fast Entry cases.
Considering that rebalancing trading that occurs on the implementation day is now partially digested in regular trading hours, we need to consider getting out positions before the closing auction hours.


KOSPI 200 New Entrants: KRX-Concluded Float Rates & Rebalancing Trading Pattern Today

<ul>
<li>The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday. This is the first trading day that short selling is permitted on new stocks in these indexes.</li>
<li>From the 25th to today, immediately after the inclusion of these indexes was announced, the loan share balance of almost all stocks increased significantly.</li>
<li>Those stocks with substantial outperformance in price and relatively abundant liquidity have a high level of loan balance.</li>
</ul>


The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday. This is the first trading day that short selling is permitted on new stocks in these indexes.
From the 25th to today, immediately after the inclusion of these indexes was announced, the loan share balance of almost all stocks increased significantly.
Those stocks with substantial outperformance in price and relatively abundant liquidity have a high level of loan balance.


Short Position Approach on the Index Entrants on December 10 in Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.</li>
<li>HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.</li>
<li>Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.</li>
</ul>


The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.
HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.
Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.


KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

POSCO's Physical Spin-Off to Form POSCO Holdings: Opposed by Many Minority Shareholders

Overall, we believe that POSCO's shares could be negatively pressured by this decision on the company to form a physical spin-off of the company.

Douglas Kim

Review of Our IPO Research in 2021

We review our IPO investment research in 2021. The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% (average) from IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 New Entrants: KRX-Concluded Float Rates & Rebalancing Trading Pattern Today

Kakao Pay eventually received a 35% float rate, meaning that KRX has included all of Alipay's non-locked stake in the float.

Sanghyun Park

Short Position Approach on the Index Entrants on December 10 in Korea

The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday, meaning that this is the first trading day that short selling is...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

This post looks at the significant lockup releases on KOSPI for this month: Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industrial.

Sanghyun Park

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