External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We hosted the ISG index call (link) and the key message was recovery in the business environment ahead</li><li>While ISG maintained the CY23 outlook on growth in managed services deal bookings (+5% for CY23), recovery ahead is based on (1) improving pipeline for new scope projects (vs renewals &amp; extension heavy recently that drove vendor consolidation) (2) approval threshold for projects and transition timelines normalising with stable pricing environment (3) pipeline build-up for SIs with increased enterprise interest in captives and (4) stability to return in BFSI, which was impacted by executive movement earlier in enterprises</li><li>The current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary services</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted the ISG index call (link) and the key message was recovery in the business environment aheadWhile ISG maintained the CY23 outlook on growth in managed services deal bookings (+5% for CY23), recovery ahead is based on (1) improving pipeline for new scope projects (vs renewals &amp; extension heavy recently that drove vendor consolidation) (2) approval threshold for projects and transition timelines normalising with stable pricing environment (3) pipeline build-up for SIs with increased enterprise interest in captives and (4) stability to return in BFSI, which was impacted by executive movement earlier in enterprisesThe current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary servicesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Tata Consultancy Services: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) delivered a soft (in-line) performance in Q1 but recorded strong deal bookings which provide visibility despite challenging macros</li><li>Flat sequential revenue growth was impacted by broad-based weakness across verticals—BFSI, Communication &amp; Media, Technology &amp; Services (46% of revenue declining 1% QoQ)—while the remaining business grew 1.6% QoQ</li><li>Greater scrutiny of projects is leading to the relative weakness in sub-segments of mortgage, capital market and P&amp;C insurance within BFSI and in the Communication &amp; Media vertical</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Consultancy Services: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) delivered a soft (in-line) performance in Q1 but recorded strong deal bookings which provide visibility despite challenging macrosFlat sequential revenue growth was impacted by broad-based weakness across verticals—BFSI, Communication &amp; Media, Technology &amp; Services (46% of revenue declining 1% QoQ)—while the remaining business grew 1.6% QoQGreater scrutiny of projects is leading to the relative weakness in sub-segments of mortgage, capital market and P&amp;C insurance within BFSI and in the Communication &amp; Media verticalContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily  - Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Technologies

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q1FY24, HCL Tech Ltd (HCLT) reported revenue of Rs 26,296 Cr, down 1.2% QoQ and below our expectations.</li><li>The company’s operating profit stood at Rs 4,460 Cr, reporting a de-growth of 7.8% on a QoQ basis.</li><li>Missing our expectations, the company’s operating margins, too, declined by 110bps to 17%, which was largely led by higher operating expenses and higher onsite expenses during the quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY24, HCL Tech Ltd (HCLT) reported revenue of Rs 26,296 Cr, down 1.2% QoQ and below our expectations.The company’s operating profit stood at Rs 4,460 Cr, reporting a de-growth of 7.8% on a QoQ basis.Missing our expectations, the company’s operating margins, too, declined by 110bps to 17%, which was largely led by higher operating expenses and higher onsite expenses during the quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Tech Ltd. - Tepid Results with Miss on All Fronts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

<ul><li>IT sector growth has slipped on account of first-order and second-order implications of the prevalent macros</li><li>The macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making (slower conversion from pipeline to TCV), slower deal ramp-up, to change in the propensity for price increases/volume discounts</li><li>While the resilience/opportunity in the sector is the medium-term recoil (high-single digit CC growth in FY25E following mid-single digit in FY24E), in this note we focus on the ‘near-term demand’ markers and assess the growth dispersion despite the aggregate slowdown</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT sector growth has slipped on account of first-order and second-order implications of the prevalent macrosThe macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making (slower conversion from pipeline to TCV), slower deal ramp-up, to change in the propensity for price increases/volume discountsWhile the resilience/opportunity in the sector is the medium-term recoil (high-single digit CC growth in FY25E following mid-single digit in FY24E), in this note we focus on the ‘near-term demand’ markers and assess the growth dispersion despite the aggregate slowdownContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Infosys Limited provides IT consulting and software services, including e-business, program management and supply chain solutions. The Group's services include application development, product co-development, and system implementation and system engineering. Infosys targets businesses specializing in the insurance, banking, telecommunication and manufacturing sectors.

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

Wipro Limited specializes in IT and computer related technologies. The Group's services encompass a number of areas, including software architecture, business intelligence systems, e-commerce, data warehousing, Internet access devices, network management, system administration, messaging systems, IT consulting and design. Wipro also has a presence in niche markets of consumer products.

LTIMindtree Limited provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers analytics and information management, enterprise integration, applications management, cloud computing, testing, and consulting services, as well as geographical information and manufacturing execution systems. LTIMindtree serves customers worldwide.

Mphasis Limited is a global IT and BPO service provider to G2000 companies around the globe, assists its clients in innovating and streamlining their business processes by offering custom solutions for technology and operations outsourcing. The Company focuses on financial services, logistics and technology verticals.

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

WNS (Holdings) Ltd., operates as a holding company The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides business process outsourcing services including finance, accounting, customer relationship management, and business administration services.

Firstsource Solutions Limited provides business process outsourcing services. The Company provides services globally to companies in the banking, financial services, and insurance industries.

Sonata Software Limited operates an Information Technology company, which provides software products, development services, IT consulting, and a number of business solutions services.  The Group exports its products primarily to the U.S.A., Europe and Asia.

eClerx Services Limited provides data analytics and solutions to global enterprise clients in the financial services, retail and manufacturing industries. The Company offers data analytics, operations management, data audits, metrics management and reporting services.

OBIC Co., Ltd. provides computer system integration, office automation, consultation, and system support services primarily for small and medium size companies.  The Company sells, leases, and maintains computers, peripherals, and related systems.  OBIC also develops and sells customized software and network systems.

Paychex, Inc. provides comprehensive payroll and integrated human resource and employee benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses in the United States. The Company's services range from calculating payroll and filing tax payments to administering retirement plans and workers' compensation.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation provides custom Information Technology (IT) consulting and technology services as well as outsourcing services. The Company's core competencies include technology strategy consulting, complex systems development, enterprise software package implementation and maintenance, data warehousing and business intelligence.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company offers online payment solutions. PayPal Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Fiserv, Inc. provides integrated information management and electronic commerce systems and services. The Company's solutions include transaction processing, electronic bill payment and presentment, business process outsourcing, document distribution services, and software and systems solutions.

Global Payments Inc. provides electronic transaction processing, information systems, and services.  The Company serves the financial, corporate, government, and merchant communities on a worldwide basis.  Global Payments provides funds transfer, merchant services, merchant accounting, Internet services, and other services.

Gartner, Inc. provides research and analysis on the computer hardware, software, communications, and related information technology industries.  The Company's business segments include research, consulting, measurement, events and executive programs.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. provides management and technology consulting services to the U.S. government in the defense, intelligence and civil markets. The Company offers economic and business analysis, information technology, intelligence and operations analysis, modeling and simulation, organization and other consulting services.

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. is a payment services provider. The Company provides credit and debit card processing, electronic banking services, check risk management, check cashing, and merchant card processing services to financial institutions and merchants.

Corpay, Inc. operates as a business payments company. The Company offers global payment, currency risk management, and invoice automation solutions which help businesses to control, simplify, and secure payment for vehicle related expenses, general payables, tolls, insurance, and lodging expenses. Corpay serves customers worldwide.

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

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HCL Technologies (HCLT IN)

IT Sector Update - Recovery Ahead

The current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary services

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily - Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Technologies

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) delivered a soft (in-line) performance in Q1 but recorded strong deal bookings which provide visibility despite...

HDFC Securities

HCL Tech Ltd. - Tepid Results with Miss on All Fronts

In Q1FY24, HCL Tech Ltd (HCLT) reported revenue of Rs 26,296 Cr, down 1.2% QoQ and below our expectations. The company’s operating profit stood at...

Axis Direct

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

IT sector: Mixed signals; stay selective

The macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making

HDFC Securities

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