Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.</p></div><div>
<p>The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.</p>
<p>With 6 days to go in the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> as a high probability index addition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.</p>
<p>There is a (slim) possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.</p>
<p>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a>. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.</p>
<p>In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>, while selling either 8.8 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> or 13 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a>.</p>
</div>

The S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.
The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.
With 6 days to go in the review period, we see Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) as a high probability index addition. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.
There is a (slim) possibility of Nestle India (NEST IN) being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN). If Nestle India (NEST IN) is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.
In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN), while selling either 8.8 days on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) or 13 days on Nestle India (NEST IN).


Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong>About the stock:</strong> HCL Technologies (HCLT) offers IT, ER&amp;D and products to BFSI, retail, health, telecommunication, manufacturing, media &amp; hi-tech verticals.</p><ul><li>HCL Tech has 250 Fortune 500 and 650 global 2000 clients</li><li>HCL has grown organically and inorganically (14% CAGR over FY18-21)</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

About the stock: HCL Technologies (HCLT) offers IT, ER&amp;D and products to BFSI, retail, health, telecommunication, manufacturing, media &amp; hi-tech verticals.HCL Tech has 250 Fortune 500 and 650 global 2000 clientsHCL has grown organically and inorganically (14% CAGR over FY18-21)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: Minimum 75% Payout for FY22-26

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

<p>We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 21x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 65.8/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,390/share, indicating an upside of 11% from CMP.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 21x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 65.8/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,390/share, indicating an upside of 11% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: Marginally Weaker Performance; Outlook Continues to Be Robust

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

<p>Cyient: Cyient reported a good quarter; revenue was up 4.6% QoQ (in line with estimate) and margin performed better than expected. The services segment recovered (+5.5% QoQ CC), led by aerospace (+4% QoQ, positive YoY growth after ten quarters). The worst phase of commercial aerospace is over; from here on, there should be gradual pick-up, led by Avionics upgrades and MRO revival. The management has maintained its double-digit growth guidance for services, which would be led by communications, utilities, and aerospace verticals.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Cyient: Cyient reported a good quarter; revenue was up 4.6% QoQ (in line with estimate) and margin performed better than expected. The services segment recovered (+5.5% QoQ CC), led by aerospace (+4% QoQ, positive YoY growth after ten quarters). The worst phase of commercial aerospace is over; from here on, there should be gradual pick-up, led by Avionics upgrades and MRO revival. The management has maintained its double-digit growth guidance for services, which would be led by communications, utilities, and aerospace verticals.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Cyient

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<p>India-based data management and analytics firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eclerx-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17312:1" rel="noopener">eClerx Services (ECLX IN)</a> released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 20th September 2021. The buyback was initially proposed in a board meeting on 13th August 2021 and later approved by shareholders (postal ballot) on 16th September 2021.  </p><p>The buyback price has been set at INR2,850/share and eClerx expects to buy up to 1,063,157 shares through a Tender Offer. The total size of the buyback will be approximately INR3bn (~US$41mn). </p><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p><hr><div class="content-remarks"><p><strong>For more on Indian Buybacks, please see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-buy-back-guide-2021-regulations-patterns" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56892" rel="noopener">Quiddity India Buy-Back Guide 2021: Regulations &amp; Patterns</a> </strong></p></div>

India-based data management and analytics firm eClerx Services (ECLX IN) released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 20th September 2021. The buyback was initially proposed in a board meeting on 13th August 2021 and later approved by shareholders (postal ballot) on 16th September 2021.  The buyback price has been set at INR2,850/share and eClerx expects to buy up to 1,063,157 shares through a Tender Offer. The total size of the buyback will be approximately INR3bn (~US$41mn). More below the fold. For more on Indian Buybacks, please see Quiddity India Buy-Back Guide 2021: Regulations &amp; Patterns 

India

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

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HCL Technologies (HCLT IN)

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Near the end of the review period, we see Wipro as a high probability add. Bajaj Auto could be deleted as the lowest ranked constituent, but Nestle...

Brian Freitas

HCL Technologies: Minimum 75% Payout for FY22-26

HCL Technologies (HCLT) offers IT, ER&D and products to BFSI, retail, health, telecommunication, manufacturing, media & hi-tech verticals.

ICICI Securities Limited

HCL Technologies: Marginally Weaker Performance; Outlook Continues to Be Robust

We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 21x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 65.8/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,390/share, indicating...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Cyient

Cyient reported a good quarter; revenue was up 4.6% QoQ (in line with estimate) and margin performed better than expected. The services segment...

HDFC Securities

EClerx Buyback: Adding Fuel to Momentum

India based data management firm eClerx Services launched a US$40mn buyback which is expected to open next month. Fundamentally, the stock appears...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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