Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In early February 2022, Indian IT giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> officially announced a INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) Buyback which is one of the largest in Indian stock market history.</li>
<li>Today the company published the Letter of Offer confirming the final details and the expected timeline for this Buyback.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at these details and their implications for shareholders.</li>
</ul>


In early February 2022, Indian IT giant Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) officially announced a INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) Buyback which is one of the largest in Indian stock market history.
Today the company published the Letter of Offer confirming the final details and the expected timeline for this Buyback.
Below is a closer look at these details and their implications for shareholders.


Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback - Letter of Offer Out; TCS Cheap Vs Peers

<ul>
<li>Indian IT giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 14th February 2022. </li>
<li>The company is planning to spend up to INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) which is one of the largest amounts spent in Tender Offer-style Buybacks in India.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of this Buyback.</li>
</ul>


Indian IT giant Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 14th February 2022. 
The company is planning to spend up to INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) which is one of the largest amounts spent in Tender Offer-style Buybacks in India.
Below is a closer look at the details of this Buyback.


Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.</li>
<li>The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>


Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.
The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.
Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.


Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.</li>
<li>Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> is the key underweight, whilst <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro </a>have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.</li>
</ul>


India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.
Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.

Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is the key underweight, whilst Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Larsen &amp; Toubro have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.


Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q3FY22 performance stood above our expectations and beat our estimate on all fronts.</li><li>The company reported revenues of Rs 22,331 Cr, up 8.1% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.</li><li>We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating an upside of 20% from CMP.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q3FY22 performance stood above our expectations and beat our estimate on all fronts.The company reported revenues of Rs 22,331 Cr, up 8.1% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating an upside of 20% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: Stellar Performance; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

India

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

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HCL Technologies (HCLT IN)

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback - Letter of Offer Out; TCS Cheap Vs Peers

The Letter of Offer for the INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) Buyback by Tata Consultancy Services has been published. No major changes is pro-ration...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback

Indian IT giant TCS officially launched a US$2.4bn Buyback which is one of the largest buybacks in Indian history. The Buyback Price is INR4,500...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

In this insight, I take a longer-term view on the 4 largest companies in the Indian IT Services sector, analysing their recent financial...

Wium Malan, CFA

Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

India moves to the largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers. Current underweight the highest on record.

Steven Holden

HCL Technologies: Stellar Performance; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating...

Axis Direct

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