Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 28 April.</li>
<li>Our top 10 picks in Korea were up on average 5.1% (from 11 to 25 April), outperforming KOSPI which is up 4.7% in the same period. </li>
<li>Our top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Hanwha Systems, Hyundai Elevator, HD Hyundai, Hyundai Rotem, SK Telecom, Samyang Foods, KT&amp;G, Posco, SK Inc, and Korea Investment Holdings.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 28 April.
Our top 10 picks in Korea were up on average 5.1% (from 11 to 25 April), outperforming KOSPI which is up 4.7% in the same period. 
Our top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Hanwha Systems, Hyundai Elevator, HD Hyundai, Hyundai Rotem, SK Telecom, Samyang Foods, KT&amp;G, Posco, SK Inc, and Korea Investment Holdings.


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 28 April 2025)

Equity Capital Markets

Hanwha Systems Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In the past week, Hanwha Systems announced that it plans to expand third party allocation capital increase limit from 20% to 30% of issued shares in its articles of incorporation.</li>
<li>This plan to significantly increase the amount of capital raise limit sets the stage for a major capital increase by Hanwha Systems in 2025, in our view. </li>
<li>Unlike in 2021 when we were bullish on Hanwha Systems post a large-scale capital raise, we are more cautious on the company's potential new large scale capital raise this year. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, Hanwha Systems announced that it plans to expand third party allocation capital increase limit from 20% to 30% of issued shares in its articles of incorporation.
This plan to significantly increase the amount of capital raise limit sets the stage for a major capital increase by Hanwha Systems in 2025, in our view. 
Unlike in 2021 when we were bullish on Hanwha Systems post a large-scale capital raise, we are more cautious on the company's potential new large scale capital raise this year. 


Hanwha Systems: Expand 3rd Party Allocation Capital Increase Limit from 20% to 30% of Issued Shares

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.
The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.


KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation, Ls Electric, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation, Ls Electric, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation

<ul>
<li>Hanwha Aerospace announced that it plans to purchase a 7.3% stake in Hanwha Ocean. </li>
<li>This 7.3% stake in Hanwha Ocean is currently worth about 1.3 trillion won (US$0.9 billion). After this purchase, Hanwha Aerospace's stake in Hanwha Ocean will increase from 23.14% to 30.44%.</li>
<li><em><strong>There could be a further positive momentum on Hanwha Aerospace in the near-term due to its positive earnings report in 4Q24 combined with acquisition of additional stake in Hanwha Ocean.  </strong></em></li>
</ul>


Hanwha Aerospace announced that it plans to purchase a 7.3% stake in Hanwha Ocean. 
This 7.3% stake in Hanwha Ocean is currently worth about 1.3 trillion won (US$0.9 billion). After this purchase, Hanwha Aerospace's stake in Hanwha Ocean will increase from 23.14% to 30.44%.
There could be a further positive momentum on Hanwha Aerospace in the near-term due to its positive earnings report in 4Q24 combined with acquisition of additional stake in Hanwha Ocean.  


Hanwha Aerospace Acquiring Additional 7.3% Stake in Hanwha Ocean for About 1.3 Trillion Won

South Korea

Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd. designs, develops, and distributes high-tech systems for the defense industry. The Company manufactures tactical communication systems, radar systems, naval combat systems, electro-optics, and fire control systems. Hanwha Systems markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Hanwha Systems Co Ltd (272210 KS)

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 28 April 2025)

Our top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Hanwha Systems, Hyundai Elevator, HD Hyundai, Hyundai Rotem, SK Telecom, Samyang Foods, KT&G, Posco, SK...

Douglas Kim

Hanwha Systems: Expand 3rd Party Allocation Capital Increase Limit from 20% to 30% of Issued Shares

Hanwha Systems announced that it plans to expand third party allocation capital increase limit from 20% to 30% of issued shares in its articles of...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

There could be 29 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 1 MidCap inclusion. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsungelecmech, Sk...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hanwha Aerospace Acquiring Additional 7.3% Stake in Hanwha Ocean for About 1.3 Trillion Won

Hanwha Aerospace announced a rights offering capital raise of 3.6 trillion won; this is the largest ever rights offering in Korea. This is likely...

Douglas Kim

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