Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The results are pretty much in line with the predictions, except for Hanwha Aerospace which made it to LARGE instead of Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance.</li>
<li>Assuming that ten names, including Hyundai Marine, were traded in a LONG/SHORT basket with equal weight, the yield from August 17 to the last close would have been 4.6%.</li>
<li>I would still approach with an equal-weighted basket trading until this Thursday. This flow trading usually loses its effect rapidly after rebalancing. So, I wouldn't carry it beyond this Thursday.</li>
</ul>


The results are pretty much in line with the predictions, except for Hanwha Aerospace which made it to LARGE instead of Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance.
Assuming that ten names, including Hyundai Marine, were traded in a LONG/SHORT basket with equal weight, the yield from August 17 to the last close would have been 4.6%.
I would still approach with an equal-weighted basket trading until this Thursday. This flow trading usually loses its effect rapidly after rebalancing. So, I wouldn't carry it beyond this Thursday.


KOSPI Size Index Migration: Official Results & Trading Approach Towards Implementation

<ul>
<li>This event provides three trading angles. 1. merger swap arbitrage, 2. passive flow trading, and 3. proxy battle-triggered momentum trading. But a proxy battle would be the only actionable one.</li>
<li>The market will likely see the dissolution of Hanmi Healthcare, owning a 6.43% stake in the holding company as a prelude to a full-fledged proxy battle.</li>
<li>Predicting the triggering timing is difficult, but we should note that the mother is 72 years old. How long she will remain in the current managerial position is highly doubtful.</li>
</ul>


This event provides three trading angles. 1. merger swap arbitrage, 2. passive flow trading, and 3. proxy battle-triggered momentum trading. But a proxy battle would be the only actionable one.
The market will likely see the dissolution of Hanmi Healthcare, owning a 6.43% stake in the holding company as a prelude to a full-fledged proxy battle.
Predicting the triggering timing is difficult, but we should note that the mother is 72 years old. How long she will remain in the current managerial position is highly doubtful.


Hanmi Science Merger: Proxy Battle-Triggered Momentum Trading

<ul>
<li>KMW is the most important name in this rebalancing. It will be a newcomer to the K-New Deal, replacing AfreecaTV for Top Three in INTERNET.</li>
<li>KMW's inflow will be very substantial at 8.60x ADTV, whereas AfreecaTV will suffer an outflow equivalent to 1.69x ADTV.</li>
<li>In addition, HLB will replace Hanmi Science, and Seojin System will take over Danal. Webzen also replaces Devsisters.</li>
</ul>


KMW is the most important name in this rebalancing. It will be a newcomer to the K-New Deal, replacing AfreecaTV for Top Three in INTERNET.
KMW's inflow will be very substantial at 8.60x ADTV, whereas AfreecaTV will suffer an outflow equivalent to 1.69x ADTV.
In addition, HLB will replace Hanmi Science, and Seojin System will take over Danal. Webzen also replaces Devsisters.


KRX K-New Deal September Rebalancing: Screening Results

GS Engineering & Construction / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Eight stocks are highly likely to migrate with a substantial passive flow. Compared to the early phase of the screening period, GS Engineering &amp; Construction newly made the list.</li>
<li>Most names should show a quite substantial passive flow (x ADTV). In particular, KCC Corp and BGF Retail deserve our special attention for their expected passive impact.</li>
<li>The flow occurs on high potential migration stocks about 20 days before the effective date. So I would start building Long/Short Basket positions with the above eight names around mid-August.</li>
</ul>


Eight stocks are highly likely to migrate with a substantial passive flow. Compared to the early phase of the screening period, GS Engineering &amp; Construction newly made the list.
Most names should show a quite substantial passive flow (x ADTV). In particular, KCC Corp and BGF Retail deserve our special attention for their expected passive impact.
The flow occurs on high potential migration stocks about 20 days before the effective date. So I would start building Long/Short Basket positions with the above eight names around mid-August.


KOSPI Size Index Series Rebalancing in September: Eight Strong Targets

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.</li>
<li>Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.</li>
<li>NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.
Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.
NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.


NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

South Korea

Hanmi Science Co., Ltd. produces pharmaceutical products, including antibiotics, vitamins, and intestinal tonics.  The Company also provides beverages and processes soft capsules for other pharmaceutical firms.

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Hanmi Science (008930 KS)

KOSPI Size Index Migration: Official Results & Trading Approach Towards Implementation

This post looks at the official results of the KOSPI Size Index migration in the September rebalancing and discusses the noteworthy flow patterns...

Sanghyun Park

Hanmi Science Merger: Proxy Battle-Triggered Momentum Trading

This post details the recently announced merger of Hanmi Science and Hanmi Healthcare and how it can be received by the market as a prelude to a...

Sanghyun Park

KRX K-New Deal September Rebalancing: Screening Results

This post presents the screening results of the KRX K-New Deal rebalancing in September, as the screening period ended at the end of July.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Index Series Rebalancing in September: Eight Strong Targets

This post filters eight strong targets for long/short basket trading ahead of the September KOSPI Size Index Series rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

NPS moves the Korean stock market more than any other investor. In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National...

Douglas Kim

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