External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Haidilao International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We think Haidilao’s downside is protected by its dividend (5.6% FY24E yield and the 90% payout ratio should sustain into the future), while the upside is highly dependent on its speed of store expansion (which is still very slow but we tend to think it will accelerate once the franchising model is finalized).</li><li>Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.</li><li>The momentum so far in 2024 is still intact. While the industry is still suffering (most of the brands are experiencing SSS decline), management highlighted that Haidilao’s table turnover has further increased by over 30% in Jan-Feb 2024 (table turnover for CNY/ Valentine’s Day were at around 5x/ 6x).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We think Haidilao’s downside is protected by its dividend (5.6% FY24E yield and the 90% payout ratio should sustain into the future), while the upside is highly dependent on its speed of store expansion (which is still very slow but we tend to think it will accelerate once the franchising model is finalized).Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.The momentum so far in 2024 is still intact. While the industry is still suffering (most of the brands are experiencing SSS decline), management highlighted that Haidilao’s table turnover has further increased by over 30% in Jan-Feb 2024 (table turnover for CNY/ Valentine’s Day were at around 5x/ 6x).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Looking for Expansion Opportunities with Downside Protection

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez</a> plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.</li>
<li>GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.
GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Negatives - Lawsuits and Management Churn

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene (2367 HK)</a> aims to raise up to US$205m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>We have followed the company since listing and its recent performance has been great. Although it doesn’t seem to need the cash.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene (2367 HK) aims to raise up to US$205m via a top-up placement.
We have followed the company since listing and its recent performance has been great. Although it doesn’t seem to need the cash.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Giant Biogene Placement - Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Need the Cash

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK)</a>, a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022.</li>
<li>According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK), a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022.
According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up - Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28th Mar 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.</li>
<li>Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.</li>
<li>Having looked at the past performance of its division, some appear more worthy than others of undertaking a listing in the next year or two.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Mar 2023, Alibaba Group (9988 HK) announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.
Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.
Having looked at the past performance of its division, some appear more worthy than others of undertaking a listing in the next year or two.


Alibaba Potential IPOs - Part 1 - Six Mini-Alibabas - Some Are More Ready than Others to List

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Looking for Expansion Opportunities with Downside Protection

Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.

CMB International

Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Negatives - Lawsuits and Management Churn

Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Giant Biogene Placement - Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Need the Cash

Giant Biogene (2367 HK) aims to raise up to US$205m via a top-up placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through...

Sumeet Singh

Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up - Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float

Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK), a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba Potential IPOs - Part 1 - Six Mini-Alibabas - Some Are More Ready than Others to List

Alibaba recently announced that it would adopt a new organizational structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments. In...

Sumeet Singh

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