Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.</li>
<li>China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.</li>
<li>Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.</li>
</ul>


China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.
China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.
Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.


Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The company’ share bucked China catering sector’s down trend and rallied 30% in last few weeks.</li>
<li>Its 2Q operating data suggest that its store opening is well on track with healthy SSSG, underpinning strong margin expansion.</li>
<li>We believe that market still underestimates its growth and earnings potential which could beat consensus by wide margin. Interim results to be announced in August will be key catalyst.</li>
</ul>


The company’ share bucked China catering sector’s down trend and rallied 30% in last few weeks.
Its 2Q operating data suggest that its store opening is well on track with healthy SSSG, underpinning strong margin expansion.
We believe that market still underestimates its growth and earnings potential which could beat consensus by wide margin. Interim results to be announced in August will be key catalyst.


DPC Dash (1405 HK): Strong 2Q Data Pointing to Underappreciated Growth and Margin Potential

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Douyin’ GMV increased by 300% YoY in the “June 18” sales season.</li>
<li>The revenue of a pre-IPO restaurant chain, Green Tea, increased by 55% in 2023.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s supermarket chain, Freshippo, opened 12 new stores in June.</li>
</ul>


Douyin’ GMV increased by 300% YoY in the “June 18” sales season.
The revenue of a pre-IPO restaurant chain, Green Tea, increased by 55% in 2023.
Alibaba’s supermarket chain, Freshippo, opened 12 new stores in June.


China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Sinopec Engineering and China State Construction have entered short term corrections while CRC has broken its downtrend in the near term. Yum...

David Mudd

DPC Dash (1405 HK): Strong 2Q Data Pointing to Underappreciated Growth and Margin Potential

DPC Dash's strong 2Q operating data indicate healthy growth potential and margin expansion that are underestimated by market. Interim results in...

Eric Chen

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

SOUTHBOUND saw its 4th net sell day since Chinese New Year last week. But the week ended up again. That is ~20 weeks in a row. But SOUTHBOUND...

Travis Lundy

China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao

Douyin’ GMV increased by 300% YoY in the “June 18” sales season. Pre-IPO restaurant chain, Green Tea’s revenue increased by 55% in 2023. Alibaba’s...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)