Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the SPX (7-10% downside).</li>
<li>To be clear, we aren't calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&amp;P 500, and we want to be prepared for anything.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, we remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the SPX (7-10% downside).
To be clear, we aren't calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&amp;P 500, and we want to be prepared for anything.
Shorter-Term, we remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.


Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Broadening Participation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Construction Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>/HCD, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-horizon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:420:1" rel="noopener">Far East Horizon (3360 HK)</a>, has launched its HKEx listing at HK$4.52-4.80 per share to raise up to US$223 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-construction-development-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100813" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-construction-development-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100922" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO. </li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)/HCD, a subsidiary of Far East Horizon (3360 HK), has launched its HKEx listing at HK$4.52-4.80 per share to raise up to US$223 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case and Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO. 


Horizon Construction Development IPO: Valuation Insights

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The leader in rental equipment industry offers attractive returns, in spite of short-term risk of recession.</li>
<li>United Rentals' well thought out growth strategy has created an important competitive advantage.</li>
<li>High free cash flow allows the management to increase shareholder distributions, while also reinvesting back into the business, according to the company.</li>
</ul>


The leader in rental equipment industry offers attractive returns, in spite of short-term risk of recession.
United Rentals' well thought out growth strategy has created an important competitive advantage.
High free cash flow allows the management to increase shareholder distributions, while also reinvesting back into the business, according to the company.


United Rentals: This Capital Intensive Business Deserves Attention

H&E Equipment Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Since my first analysis of the company, H&amp;E Equipment outperformed.</li><li>The management has recently announced an ambitious investment program that will result in a rapid expansion of the business.</li><li>At the same time, the business is experiencing higher utilization rates, improving margins and upward multiple repricing.</li></ul>

Since my first analysis of the company, H&amp;E Equipment outperformed.The management has recently announced an ambitious investment program that will result in a rapid expansion of the business.At the same time, the business is experiencing higher utilization rates, improving margins and upward multiple repricing.

H&E Equipment: Delivering On Its Long-Term Strategy

<ul><li>One year later, H&amp;E Equipment shares still look attractive, in spite of the exceptionally strong performance.</li><li>Tailwinds for the rental equipment industry remain strong and HEES is gearing up to accelerate its organic growth strategy.</li><li>Becoming a pure play rental company will have significant implications for the company's utilization rates and margins.</li></ul>

One year later, H&amp;E Equipment shares still look attractive, in spite of the exceptionally strong performance.Tailwinds for the rental equipment industry remain strong and HEES is gearing up to accelerate its organic growth strategy.Becoming a pure play rental company will have significant implications for the company's utilization rates and margins.

H&E Equipment: Catching Up With The Leader

United States

H&E Equipment Services, Inc. is an integrated equipment services company focused on heavy construction and industrial equipment.  The Company rents, sells, and provides parts and service support for hi-lift or aerial platform equipment, cranes, earthmoving equipment, and industrial lift trucks.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

H&E Equipment Services (HEES US)

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Broadening Participation

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $NDX $IWM $RTY $IJH $MDY $VXF; Broadening Participation (NYSE Net New...

Vermilion Research

Horizon Construction Development IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO.

Arun George

United Rentals: This Capital Intensive Business Deserves Attention

High free cash flow allows the management to increase shareholder distributions, while also reinvesting back into the business, according to the...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

H&E Equipment: Delivering On Its Long-Term Strategy

Since my first analysis of the company, H&E Equipment outperformed. The management has recently announced an ambitious investment program that...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

H&E Equipment: Catching Up With The Leader

One year later, H&E Equipment shares still look attractive, in spite of the exceptionally strong performance. Tailwinds for the rental...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)