ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ)</a> had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup rights. </li>
<li>Both SCTV and IVM gained significant audience share in 2022, and Vidio led the charge on OTT driven by killer content, finishing the year with 5m paying subscribers. </li>
<li>Profitability was hit by a sharp rise in production costs and investment in Vidio but we expect significant improvement in 2023. Valuations are attractive with SCMA on 12x FY2023E PER. </li>
</ul>



PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ) had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup rights. 
Both SCTV and IVM gained significant audience share in 2022, and Vidio led the charge on OTT driven by killer content, finishing the year with 5m paying subscribers. 
Profitability was hit by a sharp rise in production costs and investment in Vidio but we expect significant improvement in 2023. Valuations are attractive with SCMA on 12x FY2023E PER. 


PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) - Primed for Reset in 2023

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.</li>
<li>PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.
PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.
We have looked at the company's performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.</li>
<li>Largest passive inflows are expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.
Largest passive inflows are expected to be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) and Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 30 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener"> Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (MTEL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wijaya-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1877:1" rel="noopener">PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erajaya-swasembada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18869:1" rel="noopener">Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hm-sampoerna-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:617:1" rel="noopener">HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 30 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Potential adds are Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ), Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ), Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ), Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ) and Mitratel (MTEL IJ). 
Potential deletions are PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ), Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ), Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ), Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ) and HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ). 


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener"> PT Global Digital Trade (1437710D IJ)</a>  (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



 PT Global Digital Trade (1437710D IJ)  (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions
In this note, we'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Offering, Strong COVID Bounce Back

Indonesia

PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk is a manufacturer of of premium brand cigarettes.

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading Company Tbk operates in the food and beverage industry. The Company produces aseptic drinks such as liquid milk, fruit juices and health drinks. Ultrajaya Milk also produces butter, powder milk and sweet condensed milk.

PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk manufactures animal feed, breeds and processes chickens, and operates aquaculture farms.  The Company trades its products domestically and internationally.

PT Siantar Top Tbk manufactures a variety of snack food products.  The Company produces snack noodles, crackers, and candies under the brand names Fuji Mie, Mie Goreng, Olala, Tamiku, Twistko, Tic-Tic, Twistball, Fuji Chips, Tovie Candy, Balico-Kelapa, and XUXU.

PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk manufactures beer. The Company's main products include beer and stout.

PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk and its subsidiaries manufacture instant noodles, wheat flour, baby food, food seasonings, coffee, cooking oil, and snacks.

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT and its subsidiaries develops oil palm and tea plantations.  The Company produces and trades crude palm oil, palm kernel oil, tea, and refined palm products such as cooking oil and margarine.  Sinar Mas also manufactures packaging products such as bottles and caps as well as provides management services.

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT (SMAR IJ)

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk operates rubber plantations and manufactures cooking oil. Through its subsidiaries,  the Company also operates a variety of other plantations such as palm oil, tea, and cocoa plantations.

PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk operates in the agriculture industry. The Company trades in palm oil.

PT Mayora Indah Tbk manufactures candies and cookies.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food, coffee powder, instant coffee, and cocoa beans.

Vector Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cigarettes in the United States.  The Company is also involved in the real estate business through its subsidiary.

Godfrey Phillips India Limited manufactures and distributes cigarettes, smoking tobacco and cigars.  The Group's brands include Black & White Kingsize Filter, Four Square Kingsize Filter, Cavanders Navy Cut Regular, Red & White, Anand and Leader.  The Company also manufactures Virgin Gold and Philip's Gold cigarette tobacco.

British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company Limited manufactures and sells cigarettes in Bangladesh. The company offers its products under the Benson & Hedges, John Player Gold Leaf, Pall Mall, Capstan, Star, Pilot, Hollywood, Derby, and Bristol brands. It also exports tobacco leafs. The company was formerly known as Bangladesh Tobacco Company Limited and changed its name to British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company Limited in 1998. British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company Limited was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Dhaka, Bangladesh. British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company Limited is a subsidiary of Raleigh Investment Co. Ltd.

British American Tobacco Bangl (BATBC BD)

Eastern Tobacco produces cigarettes, cigars, pipe tobacco, cigarette rolling tobacco and water pipe tobacco.  The Company also produces related products including filter rods, tobacco flakes, paper packets  and printed materials.

Universal Corporation is an independent leaf tobacco merchant.  The Company has additional operations in agri-products and the distribution of lumber and building products.  Universal sells primarily flue-cured and burley tobaccos to manufacturers located throughout the world.

VST Industries Ltd. manufactures and distributes cigarettes and tobacco products. The Company's cigarette brands include "Charminar Specials," "Shah-IDeccan," "Charms Virginia Filter Kings," "Vazir," "Qila" and "Ambassador." VST Industries sells its products in India and abroad.

Ceylon Tobacco Company PLC manufactures and markets cigarettes and smoking tobacco products.

Turning Point Brands, Inc. provides tobacco products. The Company offers a wide range of products, including moist snuff, loose leaf chewing tobacco, cigarette papers, make-your-own cigar wraps and cigar smoking tobacco, cigars, and liquid and tobacco vapor products.

British American Tobacco Malaysia Berhad manufactures, imports, and sells cigarettes, pipe tobaccos, cigars, and luxury consumer products.  The Company also provides travel and advertising and promotional services.

Thai Union Group Public Company Limited produces and exports frozen and canned seafood products including frozen tuna loin, shrimp and cephalopod. The Company also produces canned pet foods from by products of its seafood process.  Additionally, the Company produces fish snack and canned tuna which are marketed locally.

PT Gudang Garam Tbk manufactures and distributes cigarettes and operates activities related to the cigarette industry. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the paper-related activities.

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Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)

PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) - Primed for Reset in 2023

PT Surya Citra Media had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup but...

Angus Mackintosh

Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Pertamina Geothermal Energy is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

We filter stocks that have a possibility of becoming adds/deletes for the LQ45 Index in Jan. The impact on the deletes will be higher, plus there...

Brian Freitas

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Offering, Strong COVID Bounce Back

BliBli aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO, the company provides ecommerce and travel services in Indonesia. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) - Primed for Reset in 2023

PT Surya Citra Media had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup but...

Angus Mackintosh

Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Pertamina Geothermal Energy is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

We filter stocks that have a possibility of becoming adds/deletes for the LQ45 Index in Jan. The impact on the deletes will be higher, plus there...

Brian Freitas

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Offering, Strong COVID Bounce Back

BliBli aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO, the company provides ecommerce and travel services in Indonesia. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation