IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grandblue-environment-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17887:1" rel="noopener">Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)</a> continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. </li>
<li>Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. </li>
</ul>



Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK). 
Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 


Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> disclosed a pre-conditional Cayman scheme privatisation from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grandblue-environment-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17887:1" rel="noopener">Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)</a> at HK$4.90 per share, an 11.6% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The precondition relates to the completion of capital injection into the offeror, Grandblue shareholder, and regulatory approvals. The heavy presence of SOE entities makes this a formality.</li>
<li>While not a knockout bid, the offer (which is final) is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive. Timing is the key risk as the offer is long-dated.</li>
</ul>



Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) disclosed a pre-conditional Cayman scheme privatisation from Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) at HK$4.90 per share, an 11.6% premium to the last close price.
The precondition relates to the completion of capital injection into the offeror, Grandblue shareholder, and regulatory approvals. The heavy presence of SOE entities makes this a formality.
While not a knockout bid, the offer (which is final) is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive. Timing is the key risk as the offer is long-dated.


Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Grandblue’s Pre-Condition Privatisation at HK$4.90

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Hua Hong Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. </li>
<li>Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.</li>
<li>As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.</li>
</ul>


After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. 
Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.
As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grandblue-environment-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17887:1" rel="noopener">Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)</a> disclosed a potential pre-conditional privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> at HK$4.90 per share, a 20.7% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>Completing the capital injection from SOE entities into the offeror is a precondition. Grandblue also proposes that the controlling shareholder roll over 7.23% of its effective 44.75% stake. </li>
<li>While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. Timing is the key risk. </li>
</ul>



Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) disclosed a potential pre-conditional privatisation of Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) at HK$4.90 per share, a 20.7% premium to the last close price. 
Completing the capital injection from SOE entities into the offeror is a precondition. Grandblue also proposes that the controlling shareholder roll over 7.23% of its effective 44.75% stake. 
While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. Timing is the key risk. 


Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Possible Privatisation at HK$4.90

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Everbright Water / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Weaker 2H22 and FY22 earnings are primarily caused by disruption from the pandemic, and the 18.7% share price retreat since 2022 should have well factored in an unexciting year.</li>
<li>Recovery of construction revenue, rebound in margin, completion of pipeline projects, increase in water tariffs and faster receivable collections are the key positive factors to watch. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-water-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31446:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Water (1857 HK)</a> will generate ROE of 9.8% and 10.3% for FY23 and FY24. Such return profile renders its 3.5x PER and 0.35x P/B for FY23 inexpensive. </li>
</ul>


Weaker 2H22 and FY22 earnings are primarily caused by disruption from the pandemic, and the 18.7% share price retreat since 2022 should have well factored in an unexciting year.
Recovery of construction revenue, rebound in margin, completion of pipeline projects, increase in water tariffs and faster receivable collections are the key positive factors to watch. 

China Everbright Water (1857 HK) will generate ROE of 9.8% and 10.3% for FY23 and FY24. Such return profile renders its 3.5x PER and 0.35x P/B for FY23 inexpensive. 


China Everbright Water (1857 HK): More to Look Forward

Hong Kong

Guangdong Investment Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates water supply, power and electricity, and infrastructure businesses.  The Company also invests in and develops real estate properties, operates department stores, and provides financial services.

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Guangdong Investment (270 HK)

Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

The steady progress suggests that the precondition will be satisfied well before the long stop date. Despite peer re-rating, vote risk remains low....

Arun George

Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Grandblue’s Pre-Condition Privatisation at HK$4.90

While not a knockout bid, the offer (which is final) is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive. Timing is the key risk as...

Arun George

BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

Tech NEV companies continue to dominate the research landscape for Hong Kong coverage. Bosideng, China Water Affairs, Topsports, BYD and Xiaomi...

David Mudd

Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Possible Privatisation at HK$4.90

While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. The key risk is the timing...

Arun George

China Everbright Water (1857 HK): More to Look Forward

FY22 is an unexciting year, but there are positive drivers like construction revenue recovery, margin rebound, pipeline project completions, water...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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