External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY in Nov from -11.3% in Oct given new start area surprisingly booked positive increase and NBS adjusted -8% on calculation base in Nov vs. -6% in Oct. </li><li>Property sales was flat with volume/value inched up 2/1% MoM and barely no year-end seasonality like that in the past five years (avg. of 11% MoM in Nov) given low buying sentiment.</li><li>Beijing (BJ) &amp; Shanghai (SH) eased purchasing policies on 14 Dec and the stock market reacted positively with property names on HK market went up an average of 5% on the following day.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY in Nov from -11.3% in Oct given new start area surprisingly booked positive increase and NBS adjusted -8% on calculation base in Nov vs. -6% in Oct. Property sales was flat with volume/value inched up 2/1% MoM and barely no year-end seasonality like that in the past five years (avg. of 11% MoM in Nov) given low buying sentiment.Beijing (BJ) &amp; Shanghai (SH) eased purchasing policies on 14 Dec and the stock market reacted positively with property names on HK market went up an average of 5% on the following day.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Expect New Policy in BJ/SH to Boost Secondary Market in Dec

<ul><li>NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.</li><li>Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.</li><li>We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

Equity Bottom-Up

GreenTown Management Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Greentown Management shared on its reverse roadshow that new contract value recorded 21.2% /22.4% YoY growth in 4M23 /1Q23 (in line) and the client structure continues to improve with projects from FIs already contributed 20.7% of total in 1Q23 (vs. 11.7% in 2022).</li><li>We found that demand is holding up high with projects from local SOEs benefit from the effect of “trust by one, trust by more”, and projects from FIs have a chance to sign contact in batches rather than one by one in the future.</li><li>We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high dividend pay-out ratio.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management shared on its reverse roadshow that new contract value recorded 21.2% /22.4% YoY growth in 4M23 /1Q23 (in line) and the client structure continues to improve with projects from FIs already contributed 20.7% of total in 1Q23 (vs. 11.7% in 2022).We found that demand is holding up high with projects from local SOEs benefit from the effect of “trust by one, trust by more”, and projects from FIs have a chance to sign contact in batches rather than one by one in the future.We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high dividend pay-out ratio.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Reverse Roadshow Takeaways

<ul><li>Company’s +32% YoY earnings growth in 2022 slightly beat the market expectation.</li><li>Double surprises come from a special dividend which pushes the payout ratio to 100% in 2022, and a lift of future payout ratio to 80% (vs.60% originally).</li><li>This boosted the share price by 3% against the HSI (-3%) yesterday. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Company’s +32% YoY earnings growth in 2022 slightly beat the market expectation.Double surprises come from a special dividend which pushes the payout ratio to 100% in 2022, and a lift of future payout ratio to 80% (vs.60% originally).This boosted the share price by 3% against the HSI (-3%) yesterday. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Earnings Beat with Double Surprises on Dividend Payout

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.
OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by China Vanke (H) (2202 HK). 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Onewo Space-Tech IPO Lock-Up - Company, Parent and Cornerstones Could Eventually Sell

China

GTMH is a project management company in China with presence in 84 cities across 25 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions. It was the largest project management company in China in terms of accumulated contracted GFA between 2016 to 2018.


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GreenTown Management Holdings (9979 HK)

China Property Sector – Expect New Policy in BJ/SH to Boost Secondary Market in Dec

Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a...

CMB International

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Reverse Roadshow Takeaways

We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high...

CMB International

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Earnings Beat with Double Surprises on Dividend Payout

Double surprises come from a special dividend which pushes the payout ratio to 100% in 2022, and a lift of future payout ratio to 80% (vs.60%...

CMB International

Onewo Space-Tech IPO Lock-Up - Company, Parent and Cornerstones Could Eventually Sell

Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

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