Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND <em>and</em> NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It <em>looked</em> like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.3% as of Nov 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities and offset by real estate, energy, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.3% as of Nov 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities and offset by real estate, energy, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 17th): Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 17th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), United Energy (467 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 17th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), United Energy (467 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 17th): AIA, United Energy, China Petroleum & Chemical

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.
SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 17th): Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 17th): AIA, United Energy, China Petroleum & Chemical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight top 3 companies repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK), United Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

H/A Pairs were again volatile this week. Hs underperformed their As by more than 150bp. The portfolio did better carried over from last week, but...

Travis Lundy

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