Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Li Auto’s deliveries and revenues surged by three digits since 3Q23.</li>
<li>The company is building new factories in Changzhou and Beijing. </li>
<li>However, we believe the stock is overvalued apart from comparing with Tesla.</li>
</ul>


Li Auto’s deliveries and revenues surged by three digits since 3Q23.
The company is building new factories in Changzhou and Beijing. 
However, we believe the stock is overvalued apart from comparing with Tesla.


Li Auto (LI US, 2015 HK): Deliveries Surged, But Overvalued Apart from Comparing with Tesla

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies continues for a second or third week after weeks of momentum. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw HK$11.2bn of INFLOWS on the week, a chunk of which was net buys on HK-listed ETFs, but Hs underperformed their A counterparts in the H/A pairs once again. </li>
<li>High-Div SOEs again saw action. This time with both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> seeing strong net buying as a percentage of volume. Tech was sold.  </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies continues for a second or third week after weeks of momentum. 
SOUTHBOUND saw HK$11.2bn of INFLOWS on the week, a chunk of which was net buys on HK-listed ETFs, but Hs underperformed their A counterparts in the H/A pairs once again. 
High-Div SOEs again saw action. This time with both CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)andChina Mobile (941 HK) seeing strong net buying as a percentage of volume. Tech was sold.  


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 8Dec23); CNOOC & China Mobile Both Now To The Buy Side, Tencent Not

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 8th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 8th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 8th): Tencent, AIA, Wuxi Biologics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Nov 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Nov 2023, especially in the second half of Nov. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Nov 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Nov 2023, especially in the second half of Nov. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Year-end price war came a bit earlier in 2023

<ul><li>We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

Li Auto (LI US, 2015 HK): Deliveries Surged, But Overvalued Apart from Comparing with Tesla

Li Auto’s deliveries surged significantly since March 2023. Total revenue grew by 220% YoY in 2Q23 and 270% YoY in 3Q23. But we believe the stock...

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 8Dec23); CNOOC & China Mobile Both Now To The Buy Side, Tencent Not

SOUTHBOUND flows were a strong HK$11.2bn net inflow, with both ETFs and high-div SOEs seeing big net inflows. Despite that, Hs underperformed their...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 8th): Tencent, AIA, Wuxi Biologics

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Auto Sector – Year-end price war came a bit earlier in 2023

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov...

CMB International

China Auto Sector - Nov 2023

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

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