Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> reported flat year-over-year volumes and flat sales in domestic decorative paints in 3Q FY23. The company's gross margin recovery is aligned with easing raw material prices.  </li>
<li>The company attributed the rough quarter to a heavy base from last year's price increases and a prolonged monsoon, which impacted October volumes.</li>
<li>We believe that the volumes are lower than what has been reported.  Increasing competition could challenge APNT's premium valuation.</li>
</ul>



Asian Paints (APNT IN) reported flat year-over-year volumes and flat sales in domestic decorative paints in 3Q FY23. The company's gross margin recovery is aligned with easing raw material prices.  
The company attributed the rough quarter to a heavy base from last year's price increases and a prolonged monsoon, which impacted October volumes.
We believe that the volumes are lower than what has been reported.  Increasing competition could challenge APNT's premium valuation.


Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Masking Growth Concerns

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After taking into account the IFA opinion, the directors of textile-play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-rayon-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20238:1" rel="noopener">Thai Rayon Public Co Ltd (TR TB)</a> unanimously reject Surya Kiran's Offer. </li>
<li>Surya Kiran is offering THB 50/share for the 79.33% of shares out in Thai Rayon it does not own. The Offer Price will not be increased. </li>
<li>The Offer is currently open for acceptance and will close on the 25 March.</li>
</ul>


After taking into account the IFA opinion, the directors of textile-play Thai Rayon Public Co Ltd (TR TB) unanimously reject Surya Kiran's Offer. 
Surya Kiran is offering THB 50/share for the 79.33% of shares out in Thai Rayon it does not own. The Offer Price will not be increased. 
The Offer is currently open for acceptance and will close on the 25 March.


Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), SMC Global

SMC Online

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to Rs 19,919.4 crore. Sales of Cement segment has gone up 54.21% to Rs 11,829.82 crore (accounting for 58.84% of total sales). Sales of Chemicals segment has gone up 104.75% to Rs 1,436.48 crore (accounting for 7.14% of...
<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to Rs 19,919.4 crore. Sales of Cement segment has gone up 54.21% to Rs 11,829.82 crore (accounting for 58.84% of total sales). Sales of Chemicals segment has gone up 104.75% to Rs 1,436.48 crore (accounting for 7.14% of...
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

As we highlighted in last week’s Int’l Compass, the weight of the evidence suggests commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global Materials remains a favorite Sector overweight and we believe outperformance is likely to continue considering the Sector’s long-term bullish RS reversal. Additionally, we are upgrading equal-weighted Energy to overweight due to bullish price and RS inflections -- add exposure with a focus on small- and mid-caps.

As we highlighted in last week’s Int’l Compass, the weight of the evidence suggests commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global Materials remains a favorite Sector overweight and we believe outperformance is likely to continue considering the Sector’s long-term bullish RS reversal. Additionally, we are upgrading equal-weighted Energy to overweight due to bullish price and RS inflections -- add exposure with a focus on small- and mid-caps.

Global Commodity-Related Equity Sectors In Secular Bull

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

India

Grasim Industries Limited is a diversified operating company and part of the Aditya Birla group. The group manufactures a wide range of products, including Viscose Staple Fiber(VSF), cement, chemicals and textiles.

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Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Masking Growth Concerns

We believe that the volumes for Asian Paints are slower than what has been reported. Increasing competition could also challenge Asian Paint's...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

Trading at gross/annualised spread at 0.7%/15.8%. You have a hard floor of THB 49.86/share. Plus expect Suriya Kiran to reload down the track. This...

David Blennerhassett

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to...

SMC Online

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Masking Growth Concerns

We believe that the volumes for Asian Paints are slower than what has been reported. Increasing competition could also challenge Asian Paint's...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

Trading at gross/annualised spread at 0.7%/15.8%. You have a hard floor of THB 49.86/share. Plus expect Suriya Kiran to reload down the track. This...

David Blennerhassett

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to...

SMC Online

Global Commodity-Related Equity Sectors In Secular Bull

We believe commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global Materials & Energy remain our favorite Sector overweights - add...

Vermilion Research

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research