Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Pranav Bhavsar & the team at India Independent Insight (Iii), provide research on consumer companies operating or have exposure to in India. The research methodology focuses on carrying out on-the-ground channel surveillance/checks that include supplier/distributor/customer interactions, access to industry experts, and bespoke primary data sources that aid in providing unique insights and counter consensus ideas.  

Leveraging the team's forensic analysis along with channel surveillance, the team at Iii also aids investors in early identification of changing consumer trends, identification and quantification of accounting/governance risks, and the associated impact on the business model of the company.

Pranav has over 15 years of experience in the Indian equity market, and has worked with some of the global activists, long only and PE funds for their India projects. Prior roles also include building and leading an institutional sell-side desk. In his free time, Pranav is a traveler, biker, and a young Indian contributing to the country’s social and economic development.

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

India Channel Insight | Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Mindshare Master

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Q3 | Leveraging Leadership Position

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Consumer - Asian Paints, PVR, Reliance Retail, Titan, Page, Indigo

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Staples -  Hindustan Unilever, Marico, Dabur, Britannia, Zydus Well

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> reported flat year-over-year volumes and flat sales in domestic decorative paints in 3Q FY23. The company's gross margin recovery is aligned with easing raw material prices.  </li>
<li>The company attributed the rough quarter to a heavy base from last year's price increases and a prolonged monsoon, which impacted October volumes.</li>
<li>We believe that the volumes are lower than what has been reported.  Increasing competition could challenge APNT's premium valuation.</li>
</ul>



Asian Paints (APNT IN) reported flat year-over-year volumes and flat sales in domestic decorative paints in 3Q FY23. The company's gross margin recovery is aligned with easing raw material prices.  
The company attributed the rough quarter to a heavy base from last year's price increases and a prolonged monsoon, which impacted October volumes.
We believe that the volumes are lower than what has been reported.  Increasing competition could challenge APNT's premium valuation.


Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Masking Growth Concerns