ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. </li>
<li>We have already seen <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> making bold moves into digital banking through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.</li>
<li>We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. 
We have already seen Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) making bold moves into digital banking through Allo Bank Indonesia and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.
We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

<ul>
<li>The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.</li>
<li>Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.</li>
<li>Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a> compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.</li>
</ul>


The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.
Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.
Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.


Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-gojek-tokopedia-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67162" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. </li>
<li>In this note, we compare GoTo vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>'s relevant businesses across GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   </li>
</ul>



GoTo (1379371D IJ) is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March.
In GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. 
In this note, we compare GoTo vs Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), Grab (GRAB US) and Sea Ltd (SE US)'s relevant businesses across GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> as it hatched its future plans, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> as it enters a new growth phase.</li>
<li>There were also a number of insights looking at the upcoming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> IPO, which may not measure up on valuations but there is probably more there than meets the eye.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Astra International (ASII IJ) as it hatched its future plans, and on Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) as it enters a new growth phase.
There were also a number of insights looking at the upcoming GoTo IPO, which may not measure up on valuations but there is probably more there than meets the eye.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra's Future, Matahari Dept Store on Form, and GoTo's IPO

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Superapp <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.1-1.25bn at a valuation of about US$24-26bn.</li>
<li>The company plans to use the proceeds to develop its business including for customer acquisition, product development and sales and marketing.</li>
<li>Our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


Superapp GoTo (1379371D IJ) has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.1-1.25bn at a valuation of about US$24-26bn.
The company plans to use the proceeds to develop its business including for customer acquisition, product development and sales and marketing.
Our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.


Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to...

Angus Mackintosh

Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

On track to becoming greener as it just bought100 BYD, and its hybrid taxi is 50% of the total. Restriction of easing will benefit Comfortdelgro...

Henry Soediarko

GoTo Vs Bukalapak Vs Grab Vs Sea

GoTo has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March. In this note, we compare GoTo vs Bukalapak, Grab and Sea's relevant businesses...

Arun George

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra's Future, Matahari Dept Store on Form, and GoTo's IPO

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Even without conservative assumptions, our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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