Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a>  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. 3Q revenue increased 143% YoY to $382m (vs consensus $348m) while reported an adjusted EBITDA (negative) of $161m (vs consensus $202m).</li>
<li>The highlight of 3Q2022 earnings was the break-even of deliveries business as well as improvement in Mobilities financials driven by reduction in incentives (as % of GMV).</li>
<li>Though the company called it a strong set of results, Grab’s share price moved up by 0.64% could be an indication that the profitability may not be sustainable.</li>
</ul>



Grab (GRAB US)  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. 3Q revenue increased 143% YoY to $382m (vs consensus $348m) while reported an adjusted EBITDA (negative) of $161m (vs consensus $202m).
The highlight of 3Q2022 earnings was the break-even of deliveries business as well as improvement in Mobilities financials driven by reduction in incentives (as % of GMV).
Though the company called it a strong set of results, Grab’s share price moved up by 0.64% could be an indication that the profitability may not be sustainable.


Grab: Almost No Price Reaction to a So-Called Strong Set of Results as There Is Much to Prove

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reported on Friday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> is planning to cut more than 1k jobs across all its divisions to cutdown its costs and improve its financials.</li>
<li>Though GoTo’s top line has continued to expand, the company continues to burn cash and the losses have further widened during the recent quarters.</li>
<li>GoTo’s shares rose 11.7% during Friday's trade, however, share price is still down by about 45%  from the company’s IPO price.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported on Friday that GoTo (GOTO IJ) is planning to cut more than 1k jobs across all its divisions to cutdown its costs and improve its financials.
Though GoTo’s top line has continued to expand, the company continues to burn cash and the losses have further widened during the recent quarters.
GoTo’s shares rose 11.7% during Friday's trade, however, share price is still down by about 45%  from the company’s IPO price.


GoTo: Large Job Cuts to Improve Financials?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.</li>
<li>Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.
Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Blibli managed to upsize its IPO, while a few companies will launch their Indian IPOs in the coming week.</li>
<li>There were no notable placements this week, which wasn't surprising after Monday's market turmoil.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Blibli managed to upsize its IPO, while a few companies will launch their Indian IPOs in the coming week.
There were no notable placements this week, which wasn't surprising after Monday's market turmoil.


ECM Weekly (30th Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Sunshine, I-Tail, Global Health, Lygend, Fusion, Blibli

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

Grab: Almost No Price Reaction to a So-Called Strong Set of Results as There Is Much to Prove

Grab reported 3Q earnings before market yesterday. Though there was notable improvement in earnings and upgraded guidance, share price closed flat...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

GoTo: Large Job Cuts to Improve Financials?

Bloomberg report that GoTo is planning to cutdown about 1k jobs to improve financials. We think cutting down employee costs alone won't help,...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares. Stock worth US$2.5bn will soon come free from the...

Sumeet Singh

BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end....

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (30th Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Sunshine, I-Tail, Global Health, Lygend, Fusion, Blibli

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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