Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 20 December. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of A$17m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gpt-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:168:1" rel="noopener">Gpt Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/region-re-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20100:1" rel="noopener">Region RE</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scentre-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9538:1" rel="noopener">Scentre Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federation-centres" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:335:1" rel="noopener">Vicinity Centres</a>.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 20 December. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of A$17m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.
The largest inflows are in Charter Hall, Gpt Group, Dexus Property and Region RE while the largest outflows will be from Goodman Group, Scentre Group and Vicinity Centres.


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Only Float & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> is the sole (and somewhat surprising) inclusion for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The one inclusion, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.5% leading to a round-trip trade of A$290m.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> this year but there has been some covering in the stock recently.</li>
</ul>



Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) is the sole (and somewhat surprising) inclusion for the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) in December.
The one inclusion, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.5% leading to a round-trip trade of A$290m.
Shorts have increased in Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) this year but there has been some covering in the stock recently.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add & Capping Leads to A$290m Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 13th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resources, Westpac, Gpt, Australian Clinical Labs, Aristocrat Leisure, James Hardie Industries Plc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 13th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resources, Westpac, Gpt, Australian Clinical Labs, Aristocrat Leisure, James Hardie Industries Plc.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Mineral Resources, Westpac, Gpt, Australian Clinical Labs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pro-medicus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13516:1" rel="noopener">Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU)</a> will be added to the MV Australia Equal Weight Index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nib-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7063:1" rel="noopener">nib holdings (NHF AU)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 6.9% leading to a round-trip trade of A$330m.</li>
<li>Shorts are pretty big in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pro-medicus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13516:1" rel="noopener">Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU)</a> while there has been a recent spike in short interest for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU) will be added to the MV Australia Equal Weight Index while IGO Ltd (IGO AU) and nib holdings (NHF AU) will be deleted.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 6.9% leading to a round-trip trade of A$330m.
Shorts are pretty big in Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU) while there has been a recent spike in short interest for IGO Ltd (IGO AU). 


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add, Two Deletes, Capping to Drive Flow

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> in September. There are float changes and capping changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m.</li>
<li>After declining over the last year, shorts have started to tick higher in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Ingenia Communities (INA AU) will be deleted from the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) in September. There are float changes and capping changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m.
After declining over the last year, shorts have started to tick higher in Ingenia Communities (INA AU). 


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Ingenia Communities Deleted

Australia

GPT Group is an active owner and manager of a diversified portfolio of Australian retail, office and industrial property assets. The Group's property portfolio include the MLC Centre, Australia Square, Rouse Hill Town Centre and Melbourne Central.

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Gpt Group (GPT AU)

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Only Float & Capping Changes

No constituent changes, but a few float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add & Capping Leads to A$290m Trade

Telix Pharma is a surprise inclusion in December. The add, float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 5.5% and to a round...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Mineral Resources, Westpac, Gpt, Australian Clinical Labs

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resources, Westpac, Gpt, Australian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add, Two Deletes, Capping to Drive Flow

PME is an add. NHF and IGO are deletes. Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 6.9% leading to a...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Ingenia Communities Deleted

Ingenia Communities will be deleted from the index at the close on 20 Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

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