ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ)</a> booked an encouraging set of 1Q2024 results which provided a first look at the new structure, whereby suddenly e-commerce became cashflow positive for the company. </li>
<li>The company booked strong headline growth with core GMV increasing by +32% YoY, despite incentive &amp; product spending decreasing by -31% YoY, whilst adjusted EBITDA losses fell -89% YoY. </li>
<li>GoTo will drive growth less through incentives and more through innovative products, increasing the user base, and focusing on retention through its subscription products, with fintech becoming increasingly important. </li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) booked an encouraging set of 1Q2024 results which provided a first look at the new structure, whereby suddenly e-commerce became cashflow positive for the company. 
The company booked strong headline growth with core GMV increasing by +32% YoY, despite incentive &amp; product spending decreasing by -31% YoY, whilst adjusted EBITDA losses fell -89% YoY. 
GoTo will drive growth less through incentives and more through innovative products, increasing the user base, and focusing on retention through its subscription products, with fintech becoming increasingly important. 


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Metamorphosis

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>GOTO is building a first mover advantage to become the preferred provider for Tiktok/Tokped (TTTP) and its 138mn/18mn user base.</li><li>FY24F ODS growth guidance of ~15% offers upside; together with TTTP fee positive EBITDA, GOTO can turn Gopay into a robust lending engine.</li><li>We cut our adj. FY24/25F EBITDA by 55%/35% on higher Fintech costs (0.54% of GTV vs 0.34% prev.); Maintain Buy with a lower TP of Rp120.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

GOTO is building a first mover advantage to become the preferred provider for Tiktok/Tokped (TTTP) and its 138mn/18mn user base.FY24F ODS growth guidance of ~15% offers upside; together with TTTP fee positive EBITDA, GOTO can turn Gopay into a robust lending engine.We cut our adj. FY24/25F EBITDA by 55%/35% on higher Fintech costs (0.54% of GTV vs 0.34% prev.); Maintain Buy with a lower TP of Rp120.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GOTO Gojek Tokopedia - Aiming for Leadership in the Fintech Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ)</a> 4Q2023 results revealed another sequential increase in GTV and positive adjusted EBITDA for both ODS and e-commerce, despite reduced incentive and marketing spending.</li>
<li>GoTo achieved positive top-line growth by expanding its total addressable market through more affordable products and a strong performance from consumer lending in fintech, coupled with great cash cost efficiencies.</li>
<li>2024 will be a transformational year for GoTo without the yoke of Tokopedia promotional spending but with significant cash coming in every quarter that can be used to drive growth.</li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) 4Q2023 results revealed another sequential increase in GTV and positive adjusted EBITDA for both ODS and e-commerce, despite reduced incentive and marketing spending.
GoTo achieved positive top-line growth by expanding its total addressable market through more affordable products and a strong performance from consumer lending in fintech, coupled with great cash cost efficiencies.
2024 will be a transformational year for GoTo without the yoke of Tokopedia promotional spending but with significant cash coming in every quarter that can be used to drive growth.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Warming Up the New Engines of Growth

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)</a> reported 4Q2023 results yesterday which shows that the company’s profitability has significantly improved.</li>
<li>The improvement in profitability has come at the cost of growth which has continued to decline suggesting profits may not be sustained.</li>
<li>GoTo announced that it has completed the Tokopedia partnership deal with TikTok and also a plan to buyback shares, subject to regulatory/shareholder approval.</li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ) reported 4Q2023 results yesterday which shows that the company’s profitability has significantly improved.
The improvement in profitability has come at the cost of growth which has continued to decline suggesting profits may not be sustained.
GoTo announced that it has completed the Tokopedia partnership deal with TikTok and also a plan to buyback shares, subject to regulatory/shareholder approval.


GoTo 4Q2023: Improved Profitability and a Plan to Buyback Shares to Rescue Falling Share Price

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener"></a>GoTo reported 3Q2023 results on Monday. Gross revenues increased 1.4% YoY to IDR5.98trn while adj. EBITDA losses further narrowed down to IDR1.84trn vs IDR3.71trn in 3Q2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)</a> continues to see huge reduction in losses but growth rates have fallen further with cutdown on incentives and promotional spending.</li>
<li>It seems that GoTo has stopped exploring growth opportunities in pursuit of profits, however, this may not be sustainable in the long-term with falling growth rates.</li>
</ul>



GoTo reported 3Q2023 results on Monday. Gross revenues increased 1.4% YoY to IDR5.98trn while adj. EBITDA losses further narrowed down to IDR1.84trn vs IDR3.71trn in 3Q2022.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ) continues to see huge reduction in losses but growth rates have fallen further with cutdown on incentives and promotional spending.
It seems that GoTo has stopped exploring growth opportunities in pursuit of profits, however, this may not be sustainable in the long-term with falling growth rates.


Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Metamorphosis

GoTo will drive growth less through incentives but more through innovative products, user base, and retention through its subscription products,...

Angus Mackintosh

GOTO Gojek Tokopedia - Aiming for Leadership in the Fintech Market

GOTO is building a first mover advantage to become the preferred provider for Tiktok/Tokped (TTTP) and its 138mn/18mn user base. FY24F ODS growth...

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Warming Up the New Engines of Growth

2024 will be a transformational year for GoTo without the yoke of Tokopedia promotional spending but with significant cash coming in every quarter...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo: In Pursuit of Profits…

GoTo will report 4Q and full-year 2023 results on 19th March 2023, this insight offers a glimpse on the company's 3Q2023 results which proves that...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Metamorphosis

GoTo will drive growth less through incentives but more through innovative products, user base, and retention through its subscription products,...

Angus Mackintosh

GOTO Gojek Tokopedia - Aiming for Leadership in the Fintech Market

GOTO is building a first mover advantage to become the preferred provider for Tiktok/Tokped (TTTP) and its 138mn/18mn user base. FY24F ODS growth...

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Warming Up the New Engines of Growth

2024 will be a transformational year for GoTo without the yoke of Tokopedia promotional spending but with significant cash coming in every quarter...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo 4Q2023: Improved Profitability and a Plan to Buyback Shares to Rescue Falling Share Price

​GoTo reported improved profitability in 4Q2023, but declining growth raises concerns about sustainability. Despite improved profitability and a...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

GoTo: In Pursuit of Profits…

GoTo will report 4Q and full-year 2023 results on 19th March 2023, this insight offers a glimpse on the company's 3Q2023 results which proves that...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

GoTo reported improved profitability in 4Q2023, but declining growth raises concerns about sustainability. Despite improved profitability and a...