Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Gold buy call at 1,680 that formed dual lows did clear the wedge resistance at 1,780. Upside momentum has improved but is now facing resistance at 1,860/72.Touted bull flag did clear 1,780 and did adhere to the expected rally sequence. Looking forward, we see risk of a rally stall on the back of a USD low and reduced risk appetite.A short term top zone is outlined as well as pullback targets and fresh buy support that must hold backswing support to provide fuel for a stronger rise to challenge 1,950.Gold shares (GDX) also show a five wave rise due to complete ahead of a corrective pullback sequence.

Gold buy call at 1,680 that formed dual lows did clear the wedge resistance at 1,780. Upside momentum has improved but is now facing resistance at 1,860/72.Touted bull flag did clear 1,780 and did adhere to the expected rally sequence. Looking forward, we see risk of a rally stall on the back of a USD low and reduced risk appetite.A short term top zone is outlined as well as pullback targets and fresh buy support that must hold backswing support to provide fuel for a stronger rise to challenge 1,950.Gold shares (GDX) also show a five wave rise due to complete ahead of a corrective pullback sequence.

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Cross Asset Strategy

After a period of correction and consolidation over the past few week, it is becoming clearer that a base could be forming on US 30 year yield.Key downside pivots at 2.20% were, and remain, important to watch. So far the supports are holding the market. Focus however is now shifting to the key level above at 2.32%, especially as many industrial metals have rallied.

After a period of correction and consolidation over the past few week, it is becoming clearer that a base could be forming on US 30 year yield.Key downside pivots at 2.20% were, and remain, important to watch. So far the supports are holding the market. Focus however is now shifting to the key level above at 2.32%, especially as many industrial metals have rallied.

This note follows an earlier one that highlighted the sell zone in Gold between $1,790-$1,823When measured again at the 4 major fiat currencies on an equally weighted basis – USD, EUR, CNY, JPY – we now see that price action on Gold is losing momentum and that the market is at risk of turning down.

This note follows an earlier one that highlighted the sell zone in Gold between $1,790-$1,823When measured again at the 4 major fiat currencies on an equally weighted basis – USD, EUR, CNY, JPY – we now see that price action on Gold is losing momentum and that the market is at risk of turning down.

The recent bounce in Gold has taken us to a sell zone at a time when yields are stabilising again. A refreshed weekly chart may be able to distinguish the 'wood from the trees' in what has sometimes been a noisy market

The recent bounce in Gold has taken us to a sell zone at a time when yields are stabilising again. A refreshed weekly chart may be able to distinguish the 'wood from the trees' in what has sometimes been a noisy market

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


<ul>
<li>High street inflation has two components: monetary inflation and cost inflation
</li>
<li>Gold price is sensitive to monetary inflation and it is trading well-below its ‘liquidity-based’ fair-value</li>
<li>Existence of Bitcoin as a rival monetary inflation hedge has lopped-off US$158/oz from gold’s ‘fair-value’</li>
<li>Gold price ‘fair value’ assuming unchanged Bitcoin is US$2527/oz</li>
<li>But on same basis, Bitcoin’s liquidity-based fair-value assuming no change in gold price, is a staggering US$341250/coin</li>
</ul>


High street inflation has two components: monetary inflation and cost inflation

Gold price is sensitive to monetary inflation and it is trading well-below its ‘liquidity-based’ fair-value
Existence of Bitcoin as a rival monetary inflation hedge has lopped-off US$158/oz from gold’s ‘fair-value’
Gold price ‘fair value’ assuming unchanged Bitcoin is US$2527/oz
But on same basis, Bitcoin’s liquidity-based fair-value assuming no change in gold price, is a staggering US$341250/coin


Bitcoin US$341,250? This Is Not a Forecast….Well Not Yet!

United States

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

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Gold (GOLD COMDTY)

Gold Breakout and Stall Resistance

Gold buy call at 1,680 that formed dual lows did clear the wedge resistance at 1,780. Upside momentum has improved but is now facing resistance at...

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Having tested important pivots around 2.20%, we are now seeing a picture that points to higher yields again. Key levels in both directions are...

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Gold Bounce Running Out of Steam

Gold not only trades near the sell zone but momentum is now waning and there is a real danger of a move lower, not only against the USD but against...

Shyam Devani

The Sell Zone in Gold?

After a decent short term bounce on Gold we now see the sell zone that should be watched. A refreshed weekly chart may reveal how low we could go

Shyam Devani

Bitcoin US$341,250? This Is Not a Forecast….Well Not Yet!

Gold been lackluster. Why? Pat of the reason may be rivalry from Bitcoin? Assuming Bitcoin remains unchanged, gold's fair-value is $2527/oz. But...

Michael J. Howell

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