Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during the Meta Connect event.</li><li>The new Quest 3S came at US$ 299 as a more affordable version of Quest 3 (US$ 499) launched last year, equipped with reduced specs on display, resolution and optical solution, but featuring the same processor, MR functions, hand tracking and full gaming/social/entertainment experience with Horizon OS.</li><li>Meta also debuted Orion, its most advanced AR glass prototype, featuring wide FoV, holographic displays, see-through MR function, eye/hand tracking, new display architecture and wrist-based neural interface in a light design (100g). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during the Meta Connect event.The new Quest 3S came at US$ 299 as a more affordable version of Quest 3 (US$ 499) launched last year, equipped with reduced specs on display, resolution and optical solution, but featuring the same processor, MR functions, hand tracking and full gaming/social/entertainment experience with Horizon OS.Meta also debuted Orion, its most advanced AR glass prototype, featuring wide FoV, holographic displays, see-through MR function, eye/hand tracking, new display architecture and wrist-based neural interface in a light design (100g). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Meta Connect 2024: Quest 3S, Orion AR Glasses, AI and Ray-Ban Smart Glasses Updates

<ul><li>Apple unveiled four iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16 Pro/Pro Max), featuring bigger screens (premium models), better processor, improved battery life, new Camera Control button and Apple Intelligence features.</li><li>Apple also launched two Apple Watch (Series 10/Ultra 2) and three AirPods (4/Pro 2/Max).</li><li>We believe most spec upgrades and Apple Intelligence launch are in-line with expectations, and no price hikes for both iPhone 16/16 Pro models will be positive to unlock pent-up demand and boost replacement cycle, given AI integration and multiple new features. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple unveiled four iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16 Pro/Pro Max), featuring bigger screens (premium models), better processor, improved battery life, new Camera Control button and Apple Intelligence features.Apple also launched two Apple Watch (Series 10/Ultra 2) and three AirPods (4/Pro 2/Max).We believe most spec upgrades and Apple Intelligence launch are in-line with expectations, and no price hikes for both iPhone 16/16 Pro models will be positive to unlock pent-up demand and boost replacement cycle, given AI integration and multiple new features. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple Launch Event: New IPhone 16/Watch/AirPods Unveiled

<ul><li>Apple will host a “It’s Glowtime” event on 9 Sep (10 Sep BJ Time), and it is widely expected to introduce four new iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16 Pro/Pro Max), new Apple Watches (10/Ultra 3), and 4th-gen AirPods.</li><li>We believe the event will focus on the integration of Apple Intelligence with the new devices, which we expect to accelerate replacement cycle, despite part of iOS 18 AI features coming on a later date.</li><li>Potential upside surprises include iPhone price increase, earlier and new AI features, and better carrier promotions/trade-in. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple will host a “It’s Glowtime” event on 9 Sep (10 Sep BJ Time), and it is widely expected to introduce four new iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16 Pro/Pro Max), new Apple Watches (10/Ultra 3), and 4th-gen AirPods.We believe the event will focus on the integration of Apple Intelligence with the new devices, which we expect to accelerate replacement cycle, despite part of iOS 18 AI features coming on a later date.Potential upside surprises include iPhone price increase, earlier and new AI features, and better carrier promotions/trade-in. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple Sep event preview: All eyes on AI integration with new iPhone 16/Watch/AirPods

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

AAC Technologies Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> upcoming inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect  (SSC) platform could provide a tailwind to its share price and the Hong Kong market.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> reported good 1H 2024 results with an increase of 23% in new store openings.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> target price was increased after 1H2024 earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> ratings were cut after reporting lower 1H24 earnings.  The company omitted its interim dividend.
</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) upcoming inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect  (SSC) platform could provide a tailwind to its share price and the Hong Kong market.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK) reported good 1H 2024 results with an increase of 23% in new store openings.  AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) target price was increased after 1H2024 earnings.


Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) ratings were cut after reporting lower 1H24 earnings.  The company omitted its interim dividend.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 28)

China

GoerTek, Inc. manufactures wireless communication products. The Company offers wireless communication devices armed with wireless technology, active noise cancellation headphones, VoIP devices, hands-free headsets, and other electro-acoustic devices. GoerTek serves the telecommunication and electro-acoustic industries worldwide.

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Goertek Inc A (002241 CH)

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Technology - Meta Connect 2024: Quest 3S, Orion AR Glasses, AI and Ray-Ban Smart Glasses Updates

Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during...

CMB International

Technology - Apple Launch Event: New IPhone 16/Watch/AirPods Unveiled

Apple unveiled four iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16 Pro/Pro Max), featuring bigger screens (premium models), better processor, improved battery...

CMB International

Technology - Apple Sep event preview: All eyes on AI integration with new iPhone 16/Watch/AirPods

Apple will host a “It’s Glowtime” event on 9 Sep (10 Sep BJ Time), and it is widely expected to introduce four new iPhone 16 models (16/16 Plus, 16...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 28)

Alibaba inclusion in the SB connect platform could be a positive market catalyst. Tuhu reported a large increase in new stores in 1H2024. AAC saw...

David Mudd

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