Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Several equity indexes and indicators we watch are telling us an initial primary low has been established for global equities (ACWI-US). At the same time, after this type of major waterfall decline there is often a test of this initial low - and oftentimes we get an undercut of the initial low. Barring approval of a first-line therapy for COVID-19 we are of the belief that we will get an eventual test of this initial low and potentially an undercut. In this report we highlight key technical levels and indicators to watch and suggest investment opportunities with defensive and/or growth characteristics. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.

Several equity indexes and indicators we watch are telling us an initial primary low has been established for global equities (ACWI-US). At the same time, after this type of major waterfall decline there is often a test of this initial low - and oftentimes we get an undercut of the initial low. Barring approval of a first-line therapy for COVID-19 we are of the belief that we will get an eventual test of this initial low and potentially an undercut. In this report we highlight key technical levels and indicators to watch and suggest investment opportunities with defensive and/or growth characteristics. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Initial Low Established

Support levels have meant little more than talking points as indexes are slicing through them like butter. The truth remains that no one knows how low we will go, and the trend is still down for global equities. At the same time, every week where the MSCI ACWI loses ~10%, it gets that much closer to finding a bottom. In this report we provide updates on several indicators we are watching as to clues of a bottom.  We also highlight actionable themes within Staples, Health Care, Technology. We continue to recommend areas with defensive and/or growth characteristics.

Support levels have meant little more than talking points as indexes are slicing through them like butter. The truth remains that no one knows how low we will go, and the trend is still down for global equities. At the same time, every week where the MSCI ACWI loses ~10%, it gets that much closer to finding a bottom. In this report we provide updates on several indicators we are watching as to clues of a bottom.  We also highlight actionable themes within Staples, Health Care, Technology. We continue to recommend areas with defensive and/or growth characteristics.

Dollar Surge Further Aggravates Equity Markets

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain cautious and concerned that global equities remain vulnerable and could be poised for additional weakness moving forward. Major indexes around the world continue to do next to nothing, making Sector, Group, and stock selection all the more important. We prefer to use a barbell strategy of growth and safety. Attractive and actionable themes highlighted in today’s report include IT Services/Tech Software, Communications, Precious Metals, and Utilities.

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain cautious and concerned that global equities remain vulnerable and could be poised for additional weakness moving forward. Major indexes around the world continue to do next to nothing, making Sector, Group, and stock selection all the more important. We prefer to use a barbell strategy of growth and safety. Attractive and actionable themes highlighted in today’s report include IT Services/Tech Software, Communications, Precious Metals, and Utilities.

Global Equity Strategy: Stay on the Defensive

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11369" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1">Alphabet (GOOG US)</a> reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company attributes that to AI-driven interest match but other growth drivers include the rise in smartphone usage and its vast content library. YouTube’s daily usage is 5x that of all the China online video platforms (OVP) combined but the factors that boosted YouTube globally are largely also in place in China. Daily usage: YouTube, NFLX, and China<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/022/426/original/OVP%20daily%20usage%20global%20v%20china.jpg?1489377873" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="22426"></figure>We see the…

Recently, Alphabet (GOOG US) reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company attributes that to AI-driven interest match but other growth drivers include the rise in smartphone usage and its vast content library. YouTube’s daily usage is 5x that of all the China online video platforms (OVP) combined but the factors that boosted YouTube globally are largely also in place in China. Daily usage: YouTube, NFLX, and ChinaWe see the…

China's Online Video Platforms Are Likely to Emulate YouTube's Growth.

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

China

Glodon Company Limited develops application softwares for basic construction industry. The Company's products include construction engineering cost management software and project cost management software. The Company also provides related training and consulting services.

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Glodon Company Limited A (002410 CH)

Global Equity Strategy: Initial Low Established

Several equity indexes and indicators we watch are telling us an initial primary low has been established for global equities (ACWI-US). At the...

Vermilion Research

Dollar Surge Further Aggravates Equity Markets

Support levels have meant little more than talking points as indexes are slicing through them like butter. The truth remains that no one knows how...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Stay on the Defensive

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain...

Vermilion Research

China's Online Video Platforms Are Likely to Emulate YouTube's Growth.

Recently, Alphabet (GOOG US) reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company...

New Street Research

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to...

New Street Research

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