IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> is premarketing a US$1bn SET listing and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gogox-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35556:1" rel="noopener">GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK)</a> has won approval for a US$100-150m HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suchuang-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:304:1" rel="noopener">Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, Ramsay, Crown.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) is premarketing a US$1bn SET listing and GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK) has won approval for a US$100-150m HKEx IPO.
On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK), Link Net (LINK IJ), Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Ramsay, Crown.


Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jun): Thai Life, Link Admin, Ramsay, Link Net, China VAST, Suchuang Gas

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are 48 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> &amp; Tunas Andolan’s indirect delisting proposal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tunas-ridean-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3780:1" rel="noopener">Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban (6166 HK)</a>'s pre-conditional Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lanzhou-zhuangyuan-pasture-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10174:1" rel="noopener">Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 48 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals this week: Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) &amp; Tunas Andolan’s indirect delisting proposal for Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ) &amp; China Vast Industrial Urban (6166 HK)'s pre-conditional Offer.
Key updates took place for: Yancoal Australia (YAL AU), Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP), and Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tunas Ridean, Hwa Hong, China VAST, Mapletree, Giordano

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a> entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 8 June.  </li>
<li>It is likely that the family of Cheng Yu Tung (the largest shareholder with a 24.4% stake) could either agree to sell into the offer or roll over its shares.</li>
<li>The median trailing EV/EBITDA multiple of the precedent transactions is 5.1x, implying a privatisation price of at least HK$2.46 per share.</li>
</ul>



Giordano International (709 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 8 June.  
It is likely that the family of Cheng Yu Tung (the largest shareholder with a 24.4% stake) could either agree to sell into the offer or roll over its shares.
The median trailing EV/EBITDA multiple of the precedent transactions is 5.1x, implying a privatisation price of at least HK$2.46 per share.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a> was suspended this morning pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeovers Code. </li>
<li>The Cheng Yu Tung family is the largest shareholder with 24.37%, as it has been since December 2015. A possible Offer ahead of a (potentially) improving retail outlook? </li>
<li>And just for some (possible) added excitement, David Webb holds 5.1%. </li>
</ul>



Giordano International (709 HK) was suspended this morning pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeovers Code. 
The Cheng Yu Tung family is the largest shareholder with 24.37%, as it has been since December 2015. A possible Offer ahead of a (potentially) improving retail outlook? 
And just for some (possible) added excitement, David Webb holds 5.1%. 


Giordano (709 HK): Cheng Family Offer Or Cashing Out?

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Cafe De Coral Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Unlike in other places, democracy in Hong Kong calls for instability which means bad time for business - retail particularly. The continuing protests have caused retail sales to suffer causing companies such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sa-sa-international-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20143:1" rel="noopener">Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cafe-de-coral-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2568:1" rel="noopener">Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK)</a> to experience revenue contraction as proven in the second half of 2019. Giordano and Cafe de Coral dividend yield are quite high at 11% and 4% respectively but the loss from the capital depreciation may exceed the dividend yield given the prolonged political uncertainties. 
The real impact of the protests in the form of lower revenue growth and a one-time increase in repair and maintenance will shave the bottom line by another few percent. This will inevitably cause Cafe de Coral's share price to decrease to maintain the current PER at 22x. Hold on to your shorts or add. 
<div class="content-highlight">
Thanks in advance for reading this insight!  Please give this a thumbs up if you find this useful and follow me on Smartkarma for more original and actionable insights. Your continuing support renders a continuity of more original and actionable insights.  
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Unlike in other places, democracy in Hong Kong calls for instability which means bad time for business - retail particularly. The continuing protests have caused retail sales to suffer causing companies such as Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK) , Giordano International (709 HK) , and Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK) to experience revenue contraction as proven in the second half of 2019. Giordano and Cafe de Coral dividend yield are quite high at 11% and 4% respectively but the loss from the capital depreciation may exceed the dividend yield given the prolonged political uncertainties. 
The real impact of the protests in the form of lower revenue growth and a one-time increase in repair and maintenance will shave the bottom line by another few percent. This will inevitably cause Cafe de Coral's share price to decrease to maintain the current PER at 22x. Hold on to your shorts or add. 

Thanks in advance for reading this insight!  Please give this a thumbs up if you find this useful and follow me on Smartkarma for more original and actionable insights. Your continuing support renders a continuity of more original and actionable insights.  


Hong Kong

Giordano International Limited, through its subsidiaries, retails and distributes casual apparel and accessories under theGiordano, Giordano Ladies, Giordano Junior, BSX and Concepts One brands.

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Giordano International (709 HK)

Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jun): Thai Life, Link Admin, Ramsay, Link Net, China VAST, Suchuang Gas

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (China VAST, Link Net, Suchuang Gas, Yancoal, Link, Atlas Arteria, Ramsay, Crown, True...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tunas Ridean, Hwa Hong, China VAST, Mapletree, Giordano

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Giordano's Possible Privatisation Price

The median trailing EV/EBITDA multiple of the precedent transactions is 5.1x, implying a privatisation price of at least HK$2.46 per share.

Arun George

Giordano (709 HK): Cheng Family Offer Or Cashing Out?

Shares are currently suspended, so there is nothing to be done yet. IF a firm Offer unfolds from Cheng Yu Tung family, I expect a punchy premium.

David Blennerhassett

Cafe De Coral (341): Vandalized...

Unlike in other places, democracy in Hong Kong calls for instability which means bad time for business - retail particularly. The continuing...

Henry Soediarko

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