Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds and deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been big ETF inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There have been big ETF inflows to the CSI 300 Index trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> has downsized it HKEx IPO to about US$400m and in this insight, we have compared the company’s financials against other listed PV inverter players.</li>
<li>Our peer analysis reveals that Growatt’s top line has grown at much higher rates compared to No. 1 player Sungrow whose margins were well below the company.</li>
<li>By looking at valuation multiples of listed peers, it seems that the company could easily command a valuation of more than US$5bn if it is valued in line with peers.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) has downsized it HKEx IPO to about US$400m and in this insight, we have compared the company’s financials against other listed PV inverter players.
Our peer analysis reveals that Growatt’s top line has grown at much higher rates compared to No. 1 player Sungrow whose margins were well below the company.
By looking at valuation multiples of listed peers, it seems that the company could easily command a valuation of more than US$5bn if it is valued in line with peers.


Growatt IPO: Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:102983" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-growing-watts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84889" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81071" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
We previously discussed the IPO in Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case, Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case. 
In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.


Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-growing-watts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84889" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81071" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative growth. </li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
We previously discussed the IPO in Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case and Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case. 
The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative growth. 


Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case

China

Shanghai Electric Group Company Limited manufactures power generation equipment. The Company produces and sells thermal generator set, nuclear power units, wind power equipment, power transmission and distribution equipment, and other products. Shanghai Electric Group also manufactures environmental protection equipment.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (601727 CH)

Henan Pinggao Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electrical equipment. The Company produces high pressure plates, high voltage equipment, circuit breakers, switches, insulated switchgears, and other products. Henan Pinggao Electric also operates import and export businesses.

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electric equipment, including bus line slots, switch boxes, transformers, electric cables, and other related products.

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co, Ltd. (600517 CH)

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures wind generator sets, provides consulting service in building and operating wind generating plants, builds and operates middle-sized wind generating plants.

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited manufactures and sells hydro and steam power generators and AC/DC electric motors. The Company also provides repair, upgrade, maintenance, and other services for the products.

Dongfang Electric Corporation (600875 CH)

Hongfa Technology Co Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells solar energy conversion materials, solar energy systems and a borosilicate glass material.

Xuji Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes electrical transmission and distribution systems. The Company produces intelligent power distribution systems, direct current transmission systems, traffic intelligent power supply systems, and other systems. Xuji Electric also operates import and export businesses.

Qingdao TGOOD Electric Co Ltd designs and manufactures electrical transformers and provides related technical services.  The Company also provides system solutions for the electrical transformer substations.

Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables Co., Ltd. provides, designs, manufactures, installs and services land cables and subsea cables. The Company's cables are used by energy companies and subsea service providers in onshore and offshore environments.

Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables C (603606 CH)

China XD Electric Co., Ltd. designs, produces, sells and tests power transmission, distribution and control equipment. The company's products include high voltage switchgear substation, transformer, inductor, capacitor, instrument transformer, and insulator.

Teco Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures household appliances, industrial motors, and smart cards.  The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, dryers, single-phase motors, three-phase motors, inverters, rotary compressors, stepping motors, gear motors, and generators.

KEI Industries Limited manufactures cables and stainless steel wires for the building and construction, defense, telecommunications, and other industries.

Amara Raja Batteries Limited specializes in the manufacture of industrial and automotive batteries. The Company manufactures industrial batteries primarily for the telecom and UPS sectors. Amara Raja manufactures automotive batteries for the original equipment manufacturers and the aftermarket.

Finolex Cables Ltd. manufactures a wide range of telecommunication and electrical cables. The Company's products include flexible cables for appliances and industrial use electrification, winding wires, automobile cables, welding cables, and cables for submersible pumps. The Company also manufactures jelly filled phone cables, high frequency/radio frequency cables and PVC Sheets.

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

Walsin Lihwa Corp. manufactures and markets electric wires and cables. The Company's products include bare copper cables, power cables, and aluminum alloy transmission line conductors.  Walsin Lihwa sells its products in Taiwan and exports to Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, China, Korea, and Japan.

Sunrun Inc. provides solar energy solutions. The Company installs, monitors, and maintains solar panels on homeowners' roofs to supply solar electricity. Sunrun serves customers in the United States.

EnerSys manufactures, markets, and distributes industrial batteries.  The Company also manufactures, markets, and distributes related products such as chargers, power equipment, and battery accessories.  EnerSys provides related after-market and customer-support services for lead-acid industrial batteries.

Nordex SE develops, produces, installs, and maintains electricity-generating wind turbines.  The Company also designs and produces blades and control systems.

Signify N.V. operates as a light manufacturing company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, involves in development, manufacturing, and application of lighting products, systems, and services. Signify serves customers worldwide.

Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes solar inverters. The Company produces single phase inverters, three phase inverters, utility scale inverters, energy storage inverters, and other related products. Ginlong Technologies conducts businesses worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ginlong Technologies (300763 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

We forecast 50 changes in June leading to one-way turnover of 9.1% and one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn. There will be over 1x ADV to trade on 28...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

We forecast 12 changes for the CSI300 Index in June with a one-way turnover of 1.3% and one-way trade of US$703m. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Growatt IPO: Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Growatt's revenues and margins have grown at much higher rates cf. peers including the No. 1 player in the market. The company could command a...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

Growatt is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO. In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's...

Arun George

Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case

The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)