IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s A$13.10 offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. </li>
<li>We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s A$13.10 offer from Blackstone Group (BX US) to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  
The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. 
We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.


Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.parliament.wa.gov.au/publications/tabledpapers.nsf/displaypaper/4111048a8d7a626ef0a339594825880f00079102/%24file/pcrc+final+report+digital.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Perth commission report</a> found <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> not suitable to operate Crown Perth but did not call for the gaming licence to be revoked.</li>
<li>The key conditions precedent for the Blackstone deal are shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.</li>
<li>At the last close price of A$12.58, the gross and annualised spread for a 30 June implementation is 4.1% and 16.94%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


The Perth commission report found Crown Resorts (CWN AU) not suitable to operate Crown Perth but did not call for the gaming licence to be revoked.
The key conditions precedent for the Blackstone deal are shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.
At the last close price of A$12.58, the gross and annualised spread for a 30 June implementation is 4.1% and 16.94%, respectively. 


Crown Resorts' Offer Spread Risk/Reward - The Perth Commission Report

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Perth Casino Royal Commission has found <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s casino in Perth, Western Australia, is "not suitable" to hold a gaming licence.</li>
<li>This follows the findings in New South Wales and Victoria that two of Crown Resort’s other subsidiaries were either not suitable to be granted a casino license or not suitable.</li>
<li>As with the recently announced AUSTRAC proceedings, Blackstone would have been well prepared for this latest development.</li>
</ul>


The Perth Casino Royal Commission has found Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s casino in Perth, Western Australia, is "not suitable" to hold a gaming licence.
This follows the findings in New South Wales and Victoria that two of Crown Resort’s other subsidiaries were either not suitable to be granted a casino license or not suitable.
As with the recently announced AUSTRAC proceedings, Blackstone would have been well prepared for this latest development.


No Surprise As Perth Royal Commission Finds Crown Resorts Unsuitable for WA Licence

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> at A$13.10 cash per share, a 32.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$9.90.</li>
<li>The key conditions precedent is Crown shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.   </li>
<li>The offer price is attractive and the largest shareholder will be supportive. At last close, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 10.0%, respectively, to a June scheme meeting.   </li>
</ul>



Crown Resorts (CWN AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Blackstone Group (BX US) at A$13.10 cash per share, a 32.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$9.90.
The key conditions precedent is Crown shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.   
The offer price is attractive and the largest shareholder will be supportive. At last close, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 10.0%, respectively, to a June scheme meeting.   


Crown Resorts Enters a SID with Blackstone

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share, a 4.8% bump to its previous offer of A$12.50.</li>
<li>The Board intends to recommend a binding offer of no less than A$13.10 per share. CPH, the largest shareholder, is “<em>encouraged by today’s announcement.</em>”</li>
<li>The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding offer may draw out rival suitors. At the last close of A$12.65, the shares trade at a 3.6% gross spread to the offer.</li>
</ul>



Blackstone Group (BX US) has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share, a 4.8% bump to its previous offer of A$12.50.
The Board intends to recommend a binding offer of no less than A$13.10 per share. CPH, the largest shareholder, is “encouraged by today’s announcement.”
The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding offer may draw out rival suitors. At the last close of A$12.65, the shares trade at a 3.6% gross spread to the offer.


Blackstone’s Fourth Bid for Crown Resorts

Singapore

Mandarin Oriental International Limited is an owner and operator of luxury hotels, resorts, and residences. The Group now operates, or has under development, hotels in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa. Mandarin Oriental International also operates, or has under development, residences at Mandarin Oriental.

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

Hotel Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates and manages hotels. The Company also operates restaurants and retails and distributes food and fashion merchandise.  In addition, Hotel Properties trades shares, develops and invests in properties, hotels, and resorts.

OUE Limited operates as a diversified real estate owner, developer, and operator with a portfolio of assets in prime locations in Singapore. The company focuses its business in the commercial, hospitality, retail, residential and healthcare sectors.

Hotel Grand Central Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels. The Company also collects rent, develops properties, and provides marketing and support services.

Stamford Land Corporation Limited is an investment holding company.  The Company owns and manages hotels and travel agencies.  Stamford Land Corporation also develops and invests in properties.

Centurion Corporation Limited owns, develops and manages quality, purpose-built workers accommodation assets in Singapore and Malaysia, and purpose-built student accommodation assets in Singapore, Australia, the United Kingdom (“UK”), the United States (“US”) and South Korea.

Straco Corporation Limited develops and operates aquatic related facilities and tourism related activities.  The Group also operates cable car facilities and provides management and consulting services.

Kimly Limited operates and manages coffee shops and food courts. The Company offers prepared foods and drinks for on-premise consumption. Kimly serves customers in Singapore.

Amara Holdings Limited operates hotels and restaurants, provides food and beverage catering services as well as develops and invests in properties.  The Company owns and operates Amara Hotel and invests in shares.

Banyan Tree Holdings Limited owns and manages hotels. The Company also operates spas, galleries and golf courses, and invests in property. Banyan Tree offers design and project management services as well.

MGM China Holdings Ltd. owns a luxury resort, hotel, and casino located in Macau. The Company is also exploring other casino gaming development opportunities in Macau.

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. operates a hamburger fast food restaurant chain throughout Japan.  The Company operates its own stores and franchise stores.

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

Jollibee Foods Corporation owns, franchises and manages a network of fast food restaurants under the trade name Jollibee. The Company was incorporated in 1978.

Minor International PCL is a global company focused on three primary businesses including restaurants, hotels and lifestyle brands distribution.

ZENSHO Holdings CO., LTD. operates a fast food chain specialized in GYUDON which serves bowls of rice topped with seasoned beef based in Kanto.      The Company operates also diversifying into other types of food chains such as "Coco's" and "Big Boy" in Japan.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. operates a fleet of passenger cruise ships. The Company offers an array of cruise itineraries as well as theme cruises, while markets its services through various distribution channels including retail and travel agents, consumer direct, international sales, as well as incentive sales. Norwegian Cruise extends its services worldwide.

Wingstop Inc. owns and operates restaurants. The Company specializes in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. Wingstop serves customers worldwide.

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

Genting Singapore Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops resort properties as well as operates casinos. The Company has casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom.

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Genting Singapore (GENS SP)

Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. Scheme meeting is on 29 April. At the last close and for the 12...

Arun George

Crown Resorts' Offer Spread Risk/Reward - The Perth Commission Report

We believe that the Perth commission Report is a positive outcome for the Blackstone offer. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for...

Arun George

No Surprise As Perth Royal Commission Finds Crown Resorts Unsuitable for WA Licence

I still consider this Offer as being done. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 5.4%/21%, assuming mid-June payment. This remains a buy.

David Blennerhassett

Crown Resorts Enters a SID with Blackstone

Crown Resorts has entered a SID with Blackstone at A$13.10 cash per share. The offer price is attractive and presents the largest shareholder...

Arun George

Blackstone’s Fourth Bid for Crown Resorts

Blackstone has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share. The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding...

Arun George

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