Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.</li>
<li>That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.
That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.
There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.


Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 5 adds/ 6 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX</a>, and 10 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be 4-14 days of ADV to trade on the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX</a> adds while the impact on the deletions is between 3-12 days of ADV.</li>
<li>On average, the adds to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index have outperformed the deletes over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 5 adds/ 6 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX, and 10 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
There will be 4-14 days of ADV to trade on the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX adds while the impact on the deletions is between 3-12 days of ADV.
On average, the adds to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index have outperformed the deletes over the last few months.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2023): Mostly Expected with a Few Surprises

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The September 2023 review results for ASX indices were announced after the close on Friday 1st September 2023. </li>
<li>There will be 15 ADD names and 15 DELETE names across ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300. Collectively, the ADDs could see one-way flow of roughly US$450mn. </li>
<li>Many names have a significant number of days to trade. Some of these names have seen a spike in short interest recently. This should be an interesting flow event.</li>
</ul>


The September 2023 review results for ASX indices were announced after the close on Friday 1st September 2023. 
There will be 15 ADD names and 15 DELETE names across ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300. Collectively, the ADDs could see one-way flow of roughly US$450mn. 
Many names have a significant number of days to trade. Some of these names have seen a spike in short interest recently. This should be an interesting flow event.


Quiddity ASX Sep 23 Rebal: 15 Inflow/Outflow Names; Beware of Short Buildup; US$450mn One-Way

<ul>
<li>We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>The review period ends tomorrow, so most changes are high probability. Though there are some changes that will be up to the discretion of the index committee.</li>
<li>There will be a lot of stock to trade on the changes to the ASX200 and indices higher up the hierarchy. But there will be a lot of pre-positioning too.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
The review period ends tomorrow, so most changes are high probability. Though there are some changes that will be up to the discretion of the index committee.
There will be a lot of stock to trade on the changes to the ASX200 and indices higher up the hierarchy. But there will be a lot of pre-positioning too.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I expect one change for ASX 100 and 3 ADDs and 4 DELs for ASX 200. There could be 11 ADDs and 9 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>ASX 300 member Leo Lithium (LLL AU) is currently suspended from trading and that could have interesting implications for the stock's ASX 300 membership.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2023 Rebalance.
I expect one change for ASX 100 and 3 ADDs and 4 DELs for ASX 200. There could be 11 ADDs and 9 DELs for ASX 300.
ASX 300 member Leo Lithium (LLL AU) is currently suspended from trading and that could have interesting implications for the stock's ASX 300 membership.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

Australia

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

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Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)

Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

There are 5 companies that are members of the S&P/ASX indices and could be delisted prior to the next rebalance in December. That could mean ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2023): Mostly Expected with a Few Surprises

There are 30 changes for the SP/ASX index family in Sep. Most of the changes were expected but there are a few surprises. There is a lot to trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Sep 23 Rebal: 15 Inflow/Outflow Names; Beware of Short Buildup; US$450mn One-Way

The Inclusion/Exclusion events can be expected to take place at the close of Friday 15th September 2023. I would be Bullish Inflow Names and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50, ASX100, ASX 200 and ASX300 indices at the September rebalance. There is big flow and impact on a lot of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

I expect ASX 200 and 300 Expected ADDs to outperform the ASX 200 and 300 Expected DELs over the next few weeks since there are many names on both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

There are 5 companies that are members of the S&P/ASX indices and could be delisted prior to the next rebalance in December. That could mean ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2023): Mostly Expected with a Few Surprises

There are 30 changes for the SP/ASX index family in Sep. Most of the changes were expected but there are a few surprises. There is a lot to trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Sep 23 Rebal: 15 Inflow/Outflow Names; Beware of Short Buildup; US$450mn One-Way

The Inclusion/Exclusion events can be expected to take place at the close of Friday 15th September 2023. I would be Bullish Inflow Names and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50, ASX100, ASX 200 and ASX300 indices at the September rebalance. There is big flow and impact on a lot of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

I expect ASX 200 and 300 Expected ADDs to outperform the ASX 200 and 300 Expected DELs over the next few weeks since there are many names on both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2023): Mostly Expected with a Few Surprises

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed