External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Ord Minnett

Ord Minnett

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Ord Minnett is a leading Australian wealth management group, incorporating full-service stockbroking, financial planning and funds management. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1H25 was solid as earnings came in-line with our expectations and slightly exceeded consensus (+3% vs consensus EBITDA), with the latter largely driven by capitalised exploration.</li><li>The balance sheet remains strong (A$202m cash) with a new undrawn debt facility (A$120m) more likely to be used on organic growth opportunities rather than M&amp;A in this higher price environment.</li><li>We see upside risk to FY25 guidance (OMLe: 214koz vs 190-210koz Guidance) and potential for growth projects to be brought forward which should see near-term momentum continue. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H25 was solid as earnings came in-line with our expectations and slightly exceeded consensus (+3% vs consensus EBITDA), with the latter largely driven by capitalised exploration.The balance sheet remains strong (A$202m cash) with a new undrawn debt facility (A$120m) more likely to be used on organic growth opportunities rather than M&amp;A in this higher price environment.We see upside risk to FY25 guidance (OMLe: 214koz vs 190-210koz Guidance) and potential for growth projects to be brought forward which should see near-term momentum continue. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Genesis Minerals Limited - Organic Growth > M&A

<ul><li>GMD produced a strong 2Q result with production exceeding our estimates and consensus by 15% and 18% respectfully.</li><li>We now believe the company will exceed FY25 guidance (OMLe: 214koz vs 190- 210koz) and expect further momentum in the name as growth acceleration plans unfold.</li><li>A lofty valuation (1.5x P/NAV, 6.9x EV/EBITDA, 5.4% FCF yield) leaves little room for error and keeps us from a more constructive recommendation. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GMD produced a strong 2Q result with production exceeding our estimates and consensus by 15% and 18% respectfully.We now believe the company will exceed FY25 guidance (OMLe: 214koz vs 190- 210koz) and expect further momentum in the name as growth acceleration plans unfold.A lofty valuation (1.5x P/NAV, 6.9x EV/EBITDA, 5.4% FCF yield) leaves little room for error and keeps us from a more constructive recommendation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Genesis Minerals Limited - Driving with a Heavy Foot

<ul><li>1Q25 result was broadly in line with our expectations for production (~36koz) with cash (A$160m) ahead on deferred transaction costs (vs. OMLe).</li><li>GMD’s growth program (+50% by FY28) continues apace with the restart of the Laverton mill (OMLe: 9koz DecQ) and development of the Hub OP (3.4 g/t reserve).</li><li>We believe investors will continue to favour the name as sentiment towards longer term gold prices improve and growth is rewarded. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1Q25 result was broadly in line with our expectations for production (~36koz) with cash (A$160m) ahead on deferred transaction costs (vs. OMLe).GMD’s growth program (+50% by FY28) continues apace with the restart of the Laverton mill (OMLe: 9koz DecQ) and development of the Hub OP (3.4 g/t reserve).We believe investors will continue to favour the name as sentiment towards longer term gold prices improve and growth is rewarded. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Genesis Minerals Limited - Good Day to Be a Gold Stock

<ul><li>FY24 EBITDA of $113m and NPAT of $28m was in-line with previous disclosures.</li><li>Management plans to accelerate its growth plans and will update FY25 guidance in September.</li><li>Current guidance is set at 175koz at an AISC of A$2,300/oz with a growth spend of A$100m.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY24 EBITDA of $113m and NPAT of $28m was in-line with previous disclosures.Management plans to accelerate its growth plans and will update FY25 guidance in September.Current guidance is set at 175koz at an AISC of A$2,300/oz with a growth spend of A$100m.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Genesis Minerals Limited - Awaiting FY25 Guidance

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>’s offer fair and reasonable. The offer is 0.119 NST shares per DEG share.</li>
<li>The key condition is DEG shareholder approval. Due to the lack of a competing bid, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>, which holds a potentially blocking stake, should support it.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 5 May payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.4%/18.2%.</li>
</ul>


The De Grey Mining (DEG AU) IE considers Northern Star Resources (NST AU)’s offer fair and reasonable. The offer is 0.119 NST shares per DEG share.
The key condition is DEG shareholder approval. Due to the lack of a competing bid, Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), which holds a potentially blocking stake, should support it.
The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 5 May payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.4%/18.2%.


De Grey Mining (DEG AU): Scheme Vote on 16 April

Australia

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

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Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)

Genesis Minerals Limited - Organic Growth > M&A

Limited upside to our fair value assumption (A$3.30/sh) and a lofty valuation (1.7x P/NAV) precludes us from a more constructive view (currently:...

Ord Minnett

Genesis Minerals Limited - Driving with a Heavy Foot

We now believe the company will exceed FY25 guidance (OMLe: 214koz vs 190- 210koz) and expect further momentum in the name as growth acceleration...

Ord Minnett

Genesis Minerals Limited - Good Day to Be a Gold Stock

1Q25 result was broadly in line with our expectations for production (~36koz) with cash (A$160m) ahead on deferred transaction costs (vs. OMLe).

Ord Minnett

Genesis Minerals Limited - Awaiting FY25 Guidance

FY24 EBITDA of $113m and NPAT of $28m was in-line with previous disclosures. Management plans to accelerate its growth plans and will update FY25...

Ord Minnett

De Grey Mining (DEG AU): Scheme Vote on 16 April

The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 5 May payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.4%/18.2%.

Arun George

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