IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong> and <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. </li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. 
In TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   </li>
<li>In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   
In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.


Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<div><p>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.</p></div><div><p>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. </p></div><div><p>Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.</p></div>

JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We think that investors can often find attractive opportunities among companies serving the HR department;</li>
<li>When it comes to the Japanese market, employment services companies can additionally take advantage of multiple tailwinds in our view;</li>
<li>We started with our favorable and demanding metric to shortlist 25 names across various industries within the sector, further examined them in terms of growth and cash generation, and ended with three of our top picks.</li>
</ul>


We think that investors can often find attractive opportunities among companies serving the HR department;
When it comes to the Japanese market, employment services companies can additionally take advantage of multiple tailwinds in our view;
We started with our favorable and demanding metric to shortlist 25 names across various industries within the sector, further examined them in terms of growth and cash generation, and ended with three of our top picks.


Quick Picks: Top-Quality Employment Services Providers From Japan

Japan

FULLCAST Holdings CO., LTD. provides personnel staffing services for short-term and full-time positions.  The Company also plans events.

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Fullcast Holdings (4848 JP)

TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA...

Arun George

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

In this insight, we take a look at the potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quick Picks: Top-Quality Employment Services Providers From Japan

We started with our favorable and demanding metric to shortlist 25 names, further examined them in terms of growth and cash generation, and ended...

Steven Chen

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)