IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has launched its SET listing at THB30-32 per share to raise up to US$593 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83629" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-a-strong-3q-results-update" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84125" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update</a>. </li>
<li>I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has launched its SET listing at THB30-32 per share to raise up to US$593 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case and I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update. 
I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.


I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, will launch an up to US$600 million SET IPO this week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83629" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the 9M22 results. The results highlight that i-Tail is in rude health with accelerating growth, healthy margins, cash generation and manageable leverage.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, will launch an up to US$600 million SET IPO this week, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case and I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we look at the 9M22 results. The results highlight that i-Tail is in rude health with accelerating growth, healthy margins, cash generation and manageable leverage.


I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. </li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
In I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive. A breakout to new highs in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), above $234.50 and $159, would likely cause us to shift to an outright bullish stance. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Technology, and Health Care.

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive. A breakout to new highs in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), above $234.50 and $159, would likely cause us to shift to an outright bullish stance. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Technology, and Health Care.

U.S. Yields Testing Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

United States

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery foods for retail and foodservice customers. The Company offers fresh packaged and frozen bakery products, as well as pastries, doughnuts, and bakery snack products. Flowers Foods serves customers in the State of Georgia.

Post Holdings Inc. is a food company. The Company manufactures, distributes, and markets a wide range of ready-to-eat cereal products.

Lancaster Colony Corporation is a diversified manufacturer. The Company produces and markets consumer products with a focus on specialty food products for the retail and foodservice markets. Lancaster also manufactures and markets candles for the food, drug and mass markets.

Darling Ingredients Inc. collects and recycles animal processing by-products and used restaurant cooking oil.  The Company also provides grease trap collection services to restaurants.  Darling processes such raw materials into finished products such as tallow, meat and bone meal, and yellow grease for sale in the United States and overseas.

Hostess Brands, Inc. provides packaged foods. The Company develops, manufactures, markets, sells and distributes baked sweet goods. Hostess Brands offers its products throughout the United States.

Ingredion Incorporated refines corn and produces sweeteners and starches.  The Company has customers in a wide range of industries, including the food, soft drink, brewing, pharmaceutical, corrugating, paper, and textile industries.  Ingredion has Company-owned operations, joint ventures, alliances, and technical licenses in countries around the world.

Seaboard Corporation is a diversified international agribusiness and transportation company that primarily produces and processes domestic pork and ships cargo.  The Company also merchandises commodities, mills flour and feed, farms produce, produces sugar, and generates electric power overseas.

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. produces, cleans, grades, packs, and sells fresh shell eggs.  The Company markets its products in various states in the Southwestern, Southeastern, Midwestern, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States.

J & J Snack Foods Corp. manufactures, markets, and distributes a variety of snack foods and beverages for the food service and retail supermarket industries.  The Company's products include soft pretzels, frozen carbonated beverages, frozen juice bars and desserts, churros, funnel cakes, cookies, and bakery products.

The Simply Good Foods Company operates as an investment company. The Company invests in and expands snacks and food products businesses. Simply Good Foods serves customers in the States of Colorado and Connecticut.

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

Want Want China Holdings Limited manufactures and trades rice crackers, snack food, beverages, and packing materials.  The Company also manufactures wheat, flour, and raw materials for the manufacture of snack foods.  Most of the company's production facilities are located in China and Taiwan.

PPB Group Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company operations include grains trading, flour and animal feed milling industry as well as downstream activities including livestock farming, food processing and consumer products distribution with primary focus in Indonesia, Malaysia, China, India and Europe.

Dali Foods Group Company Ltd. is a snack food and beverage company. The Company is actively expanding its products offering and distributes its products through retailers.

IOI Corporation Berhad cultivates and processes oil palm and rubber.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development and investment, provides landscape services, and sells ornamental plants and turfing grass. IOI Corporation also manufactures industrial and medical gases, and provides building, engineering, and construction services.

CJ CheilJedang Corp. manufactures processed food products.  The Company's products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.  CJ CheilJedang also manufactures pharmaceutical and household products.

Universal Robina Corporation manufactures, markets, and distributes branded consumer foods. The Company's products include hogs and poultry farming, animal feeds, corn products, and animal health products.

YAMAZAKI BAKING CO., LTD. produces baking foods including bread, pastry, and cake.  The Company operates nationwide sales network.  YAMAZAKI BAKING also operates franchised cafeterias and convenience stores.

Nestle (Malaysia) Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, markets and sells powdered milk and drinks, liquid milk and juices, instant coffee, and instant noodles. Nestle also manufactures and provides packaging for culinary and chocolate-based food products and trades flavoring ingredients.

PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk manufactures and distributes animal feeds, woven plastic bags, and poultry equipment as well as processes chicken.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates poultry farms and distributes its products.

Freshpet, Inc. provides fresh, natural food choices to help improve the lives of dogs and cats. The Company also owns and operates Freshpet Kitchens and Freshpet Fridges. Freshpet retailers are located across North America.

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Freshpet Inc (FRPT US)

I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range of THB30-32 per share. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update

In this note, we look at the 9M22 results. The results highlight that i-Tail is in rude health with accelerating growth, healthy margins, cash...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among...

Arun George

U.S. Yields Testing Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive.

Vermilion Research

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