Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/money-forward-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25919:1" rel="noopener">Money Forward (3994 JP)</a> reported 2QFY11/2023 results yesterday. Revenue increased 43.5% YoY to ¥7.3bn (vs consensus ¥7.18bn) while operating losses dropped to ¥1.58bn vs ¥2.15bn in 2QFY11/22 (vs consensus ¥1.65bn).</li>
<li>2Q revenues were within its guidance of ¥7.1-7.4bn and MF has revised its FY11/23E guidance upward based on the progress made during the first half of the year.</li>
<li>MF’s non-BO business margins continue to decline, and the plan to revise price plans for sole proprietors in December should result in attrition and further increase in advertising spend.</li>
</ul>



Money Forward (3994 JP) reported 2QFY11/2023 results yesterday. Revenue increased 43.5% YoY to ¥7.3bn (vs consensus ¥7.18bn) while operating losses dropped to ¥1.58bn vs ¥2.15bn in 2QFY11/22 (vs consensus ¥1.65bn).
2Q revenues were within its guidance of ¥7.1-7.4bn and MF has revised its FY11/23E guidance upward based on the progress made during the first half of the year.
MF’s non-BO business margins continue to decline, and the plan to revise price plans for sole proprietors in December should result in attrition and further increase in advertising spend.


Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Rakuten Securities / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.
It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39911:1" rel="noopener">Genda Inc (9166 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, share our earnings assumptions and discuss our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO.
Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, share our earnings assumptions and discuss our thoughts on valuation.


Genda IPO - Has Weathered the Pandemic Better, Although Sector Doesn’t Seem to Be Growing Much

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39911:1" rel="noopener">Genda Inc (9166 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.</li>
<li>As of Apr 23, the firm operated 250 amusement facilities domestically and four facilities in Taiwan. </li>
</ul>



Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO.
Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
As of Apr 23, the firm operated 250 amusement facilities domestically and four facilities in Taiwan. 


Genda IPO - Dreams of Reviving the Domestic Arcade Industry with a Roadmap of Doing so as Well

Plus Alpha Consulting / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/plus-alpha-consulting-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33441:1" rel="noopener">Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP)</a> (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.</li>
<li>PAC was listed in 2021 and after a somewhat tepid initial performance it has been doing well over the past year.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework</li>
</ul>


Three shareholders of Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.
PAC was listed in 2021 and after a somewhat tepid initial performance it has been doing well over the past year.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework


Plus Alpha Consulting Placement - Pulling Out All Stops for Deal Success as Insiders Are Selling

Japan

freee K.K. develops software products. The Company produces cloud based accounting softwares, automatic online accounting systems, and other products. freee provides its services throughout Japan.

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Freee KK (4478 JP)

Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact

MF's 2QFY11/23 earnings beat consensus and own guidance, with a full-year guidance revised upwards. Non-BO business' margin continues to drop and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Genda IPO - Has Weathered the Pandemic Better, Although Sector Doesn’t Seem to Be Growing Much

Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, share our earnings...

Clarence Chu

Genda IPO - Dreams of Reviving the Domestic Arcade Industry with a Roadmap of Doing so as Well

Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO. Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily...

Clarence Chu

Plus Alpha Consulting Placement - Pulling Out All Stops for Deal Success as Insiders Are Selling

Three shareholders of Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact

MF's 2QFY11/23 earnings beat consensus and own guidance, with a full-year guidance revised upwards. Non-BO business' margin continues to drop and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

Rakuten Securities, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.

Sumeet Singh

Genda IPO - Has Weathered the Pandemic Better, Although Sector Doesn’t Seem to Be Growing Much

Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, share our earnings...

Clarence Chu

Genda IPO - Dreams of Reviving the Domestic Arcade Industry with a Roadmap of Doing so as Well

Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO. Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily...

Clarence Chu

Plus Alpha Consulting Placement - Pulling Out All Stops for Deal Success as Insiders Are Selling

Three shareholders of Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.

Sumeet Singh