SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Frasers Centrepoint Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The STI March quarterly review will see Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) added to the STI effective the Monday 18 March open.</li><li>FCT’s inclusion is expected to take the STI’s REIT Sector weight back to ~13% from ~12% at present, and the number of STI REITs back to seven, following Keppel DC REIT leaving the STI in June 2023.</li><li>Impacting the outlook for financing costs, this has seen the six STI REITs average 9.4% declines in unit prices post the indicative 29 Dec 2023 STI weightages.</li></ul>

The STI March quarterly review will see Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) added to the STI effective the Monday 18 March open.FCT’s inclusion is expected to take the STI’s REIT Sector weight back to ~13% from ~12% at present, and the number of STI REITs back to seven, following Keppel DC REIT leaving the STI in June 2023.Impacting the outlook for financing costs, this has seen the six STI REITs average 9.4% declines in unit prices post the indicative 29 Dec 2023 STI weightages.

STI REIT Sector Weight to Return to ~13% with Frasers Centrepoint Trust Inclusion 

<ul><li>More than 250 Singapore-listed stocks have booked net institutional inflow over the past 10 weeks.</li><li>The most traded of the 16 stocks includes three STI stocks, in addition to incoming STI constituent Frasers Centrepoint Trust.</li><li>Of the 250 stocks that booked net institutional inflow, 16 stocks also booked net retail inflow, with seven of these 16 stocks maintaining market average daily turnover of at least S$100,000 over the past 10 weeks.</li></ul>

More than 250 Singapore-listed stocks have booked net institutional inflow over the past 10 weeks.The most traded of the 16 stocks includes three STI stocks, in addition to incoming STI constituent Frasers Centrepoint Trust.Of the 250 stocks that booked net institutional inflow, 16 stocks also booked net retail inflow, with seven of these 16 stocks maintaining market average daily turnover of at least S$100,000 over the past 10 weeks.

Singapore Stocks that have booked YTD Net Inflows from Institutions & Retail 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> trades richer than its closest peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a>, on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.</li>
</ul>



UOL Group (UOL SP) has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.

UOL Group (UOL SP) has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.

UOL Group (UOL SP) trades richer than its closest peer, City Developments (CIT SP), on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.


UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Frasers Centrepoint Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> aims to raise around US$152m in order to partly fund its purchase of an additional stake in NEX mall.</li>
<li>The company had purchased its initial stake in the property nearly a year ago.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) aims to raise around US$152m in order to partly fund its purchase of an additional stake in NEX mall.
The company had purchased its initial stake in the property nearly a year ago.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Frasers Centrepoint Trust Placement - Relative Large Dilution for Smallish Accretion

Mapletree Logistics Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) plans to raise around US$150 (S$200m) to partially fund the acquisition of logistics properties in Japan, Australia and South Korea.</li>
<li>We have earlier covered the previous six placements for the REIT since 2017. Most of the past deals have done well except for the two most recent ones.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) plans to raise around US$150 (S$200m) to partially fund the acquisition of logistics properties in Japan, Australia and South Korea.
We have earlier covered the previous six placements for the REIT since 2017. Most of the past deals have done well except for the two most recent ones.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about deal dynamics.


MLT Placement - Small Deal but Recent Deals Didn’t Do Well

Singapore

Frasers Property Limited provides real estate ownership and development services. The Company engages in the development of land, housing projects, apartments, as well as commercial, industrial, and retail properties. Frasers Property serves customers globally.

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Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)

STI REIT Sector Weight to Return to ~13% with Frasers Centrepoint Trust Inclusion

The STI March quarterly review will see Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) added to the STI effective the Monday 18 March open. FCT’s inclusion is...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Stocks that have booked YTD Net Inflows from Institutions & Retail

More than 250 Singapore-listed stocks have booked net institutional inflow over the past 10 weeks. The most traded of the 16 stocks includes three...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

UOL Group could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February and trackers will need to sell 16x ADV. UOL Group has outperformed City Dev...

Brian Freitas

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Placement - Relative Large Dilution for Smallish Accretion

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) aims to raise around US$152m in order to partly fund its purchase of an additional stake in NEX mall.

Sumeet Singh

MLT Placement - Small Deal but Recent Deals Didn’t Do Well

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) plans to raise around US$150 (S$200m) to partially fund the acquisition of logistics properties in Japan,...

Sumeet Singh

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