Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>FMC Corporation delivered mixed first-quarter results for 2024, characterized by solid EBITDA that met the higher end of the company’s guidance and significant improvement in cash flow, yet facing a notable decline in revenue and volume.</li><li>During this period, revenue decreased by 32% compared to the previous year, with a 27% drop in volume primarily attributable to ongoing channel destocking and delayed purchasing behavior by growers, aligning with the trend observed over the past year.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

FMC Corporation delivered mixed first-quarter results for 2024, characterized by solid EBITDA that met the higher end of the company’s guidance and significant improvement in cash flow, yet facing a notable decline in revenue and volume.During this period, revenue decreased by 32% compared to the previous year, with a 27% drop in volume primarily attributable to ongoing channel destocking and delayed purchasing behavior by growers, aligning with the trend observed over the past year.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

FMC Corporation: Enhanced Agrochemical Demand in Latin America Driving Our Optimism? - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Based on the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings, FMC Corporation's performance suggests a mixed investment climate.</li><li>Although the company's plan largely revolves around elements they manage, such as NPI sales and restructuring initiatives, the transition of the crop chemicals market implies a challenging year ahead.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Based on the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings, FMC Corporation's performance suggests a mixed investment climate.Although the company's plan largely revolves around elements they manage, such as NPI sales and restructuring initiatives, the transition of the crop chemicals market implies a challenging year ahead.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

FMC Corporation: Performance of Diamides Business and Other Portfolios Driving Growth? - Major Drivers

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.</li>
<li>Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.
Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.

Dell Technologies (DELL US) is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.


S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-airlines-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1" rel="noopener">American Airlines Group (AAL US)</a> is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.

American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.


S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

<ul><li>FMC Corporation delivered a disappointing set of results as they were unable to meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations.</li><li>Despite a 29% YoY decline in Q3 revenue, affected by channel destocking and dry weather conditions, FMC's team highlights the steady grower application of crop protection products.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

FMC Corporation delivered a disappointing set of results as they were unable to meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations.Despite a 29% YoY decline in Q3 revenue, affected by channel destocking and dry weather conditions, FMC's team highlights the steady grower application of crop protection products.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

FMC Corporation: Introducing Ethos Elite LFR – A Game Changer in Crop Protection? - Major Drivers

United States

Balchem Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets specialty performance ingredients for the food, feed, and medical sterilization industries. The Company micro-encapsulates performance ingredients, and also repackages and markets specialty gases. Balchem sells its products through its own sales force, independent distributors, and sales agents.

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. manufactures, markets and distributes coatings systems. The Company offers products and services which includes paint, color matching tools, application technologies, and customer  training and business management systems. Axalta Coating Systems serves automotive, transportation,  general industrial, and architectural and decorative sectors.

Ashland Global Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and distributes chemicals and thermoplastic resins. Ashland Global Holdings serves construction, automotive, energy, and pharmaceutical sectors worldwide.

NewMarket Corporation develops, manufactures, and blends fuel and lubricant additives marketed worldwide to refiners and others who sell petroleum products. The Company's products are used in transportation and industrial equipment.

H.B. Fuller Company manufactures and markets adhesives, sealants, coatings, paints, and other specialty chemical products worldwide.  The Company's products are sold in countries that include North America, Europe, Latin America, the Asia Pacific region, India, the Middle East and Africa.

The Mosaic Company produces and distributes crop nutrients to the agricultural communities located in North America and other countries.  The Company's principal products include concentrated phosphates, and potash.

Cabot Corporation has businesses in chemicals, performance materials, and specialty fluids.  The Company manufactures and sells carbon black, fumed silica, plastics, ink jet colorants, tantalum, niobium, and germanium.  Cabot's specialty fluids business produces and markets cesium formate as a drilling and completion fluid for use in oil and gas well operations.

Olin Corporation manufactures chemicals and ammunition products. The Company manufactures and sells chlorine, caustic soda, sodium hydrosulfite, hydrochloric acid, hydrogen, sodium chlorate, bleach products, and potassium hydroxide. Olin also manufactures products that include sporting ammunition, reloading components, small caliber military ammunition and industrial cartridges.

Element Solutions Inc operates as a specialty chemicals company. The Company manufactures and supplies specialty chemicals used by the electronics, metal and plastic plating, graphic arts, and offshore oil production and drilling industries. Element Solutions serves customers worldwide.

Quaker Chemical Corporation produces, develops, and markets custom-formulated chemical specialty products.  The Company also provides fluid management services for manufacturers around the world, primarily in the steel, automotive, and can industries.

TORAY INDUSTRIES, INC. manufactures yarns, synthetic fibers, and man-made leather used as apparel and industrial materials.  The Company also makes chemical products such as polyester films, engineering plastics, and resin materials.  Toray develops information equipment such as electronic circuit and liquid crystal color filter.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spandex products.

Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation manufactures and markets petrochemical products, nylon fiber, and rayon staple fiber.  Formosa sells its products in Taiwan and exports to Asia.

Satelltte Chemical Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells acrylic acid esters, methacrylic acids, pigment intermediates, acrylic emulsion polymers, super absorbent polymers, and other acrylic downstream products.

TongKun Group Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells polyester and Terylene filament.  The Company also invests in real estate, finance, business trade and education businesses.

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. develops, manufactures and sells lithium products.  The Company's products include industrial lithium carbonate, battery lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, and lithium hydroxide.

The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Limited manufactures petrochemicals and fertilisers.  The Group's products include Ammonia, Sulphuric Acid, Phosphoric Acid, Ammonium, Urea, Caprolactam, Nitric Acid and Soda Ash.

FMC Corp operates as a diversified research company in the chemical industry. The company offers technology solutions for agricultural, industrial, and consumer markets. FMC Corp offer an array of technologies in research and development to improve delivery of medications, enhance foods and beverages, power batteries, protect crop yields, and advance textile manufacturing.

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Fmc Corp (FMC US)

FMC Corporation: Enhanced Agrochemical Demand in Latin America Driving Our Optimism? - Major Drivers

FMC Corporation delivered mixed first-quarter results for 2024, characterized by solid EBITDA that met the higher end of the company’s guidance...

Baptista Research

FMC Corporation: Performance of Diamides Business and Other Portfolios Driving Growth? - Major Drivers

Based on the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings, FMC Corporation's performance suggests a mixed investment climate. Although the company's plan largely...

Baptista Research

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

FMC Corporation: Introducing Ethos Elite LFR – A Game Changer in Crop Protection? - Major Drivers

FMC Corporation delivered a disappointing set of results as they were unable to meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations. Despite a...

Baptista Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

FMC Corporation: Enhanced Agrochemical Demand in Latin America Driving Our Optimism? - Major Drivers

FMC Corporation delivered mixed first-quarter results for 2024, characterized by solid EBITDA that met the higher end of the company’s guidance...

Baptista Research

FMC Corporation: Performance of Diamides Business and Other Portfolios Driving Growth? - Major Drivers

Based on the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings, FMC Corporation's performance suggests a mixed investment climate. Although the company's plan largely...

Baptista Research

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P ​Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

​Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

FMC Corporation: Introducing Ethos Elite LFR – A Game Changer in Crop Protection? - Major Drivers

FMC Corporation delivered a disappointing set of results as they were unable to meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations. Despite a...

Baptista Research

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...