Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In our prior insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ferrari-classic-fisher-company-almost-perfect-score-on-the-fisher-15-framework" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:101331" rel="noopener">Ferrari: Classic Fisher Company, Almost Perfect Score on The Fisher 15 Framework</a>, we talked about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ferrari-n-v" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21010:1" rel="noopener">Ferrari N.V. (RACE US)</a> being a classic Fisher company.</li>
<li>Q2 2023 (a quarter with 14% revenue growth/34% profit growth) showed the execution runway (order book/product mix) is tremendous, and over the long term, value can be created.</li>
<li>In the short term, though, trading at 46x/40x FY23e/FY24e despite upping its guidance, there could be a case to queue up for a more favorable entry price. </li>
</ul>


In our prior insight Ferrari: Classic Fisher Company, Almost Perfect Score on The Fisher 15 Framework, we talked about Ferrari N.V. (RACE US) being a classic Fisher company.
Q2 2023 (a quarter with 14% revenue growth/34% profit growth) showed the execution runway (order book/product mix) is tremendous, and over the long term, value can be created.
In the short term, though, trading at 46x/40x FY23e/FY24e despite upping its guidance, there could be a case to queue up for a more favorable entry price. 


Ferrari (RACE US) Q2 2023: The Perfect Fisher Framework Stock That Keeps Executing

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ferrari-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24708:1" rel="noopener">Ferrari NV (RACE IM)</a> has been a steady compounder of earnings growing operating profits at 14% CAGR and sales volumes at 6% CAGR over the last 20 years. </li>
<li>The company has expanded EBITDA margins from 25% in 2014 to 35% in 2022 and is expected to increase by another 300 bps in FY23 to 38%, as per guidance. </li>
<li>At 41x/35x FY23e/FY24e, we conceded it is a tad expensive, but we would look at investing in this company over the long term.</li>
</ul>



Ferrari NV (RACE IM) has been a steady compounder of earnings growing operating profits at 14% CAGR and sales volumes at 6% CAGR over the last 20 years. 
The company has expanded EBITDA margins from 25% in 2014 to 35% in 2022 and is expected to increase by another 300 bps in FY23 to 38%, as per guidance. 
At 41x/35x FY23e/FY24e, we conceded it is a tad expensive, but we would look at investing in this company over the long term.


Ferrari: Classic Fisher Company, Almost Perfect Score on The Fisher 15 Framework

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Mandarin Oriental International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While traditional luxury brands may encounter challenges as affluent Chinese consumers shift to local high-end brands, there are still opportunities within small niches in the luxury sector.</li>
<li>Luxury travel, driven by trends like micro trips and the increasing number of High-Net-Worth Individuals, represents a potential area of growth in the luxury sector.</li>
<li>The thriving luxury travel market opens up investment potential in sectors such as luxury hotels and premium cosmetics.</li>
</ul>


While traditional luxury brands may encounter challenges as affluent Chinese consumers shift to local high-end brands, there are still opportunities within small niches in the luxury sector.
Luxury travel, driven by trends like micro trips and the increasing number of High-Net-Worth Individuals, represents a potential area of growth in the luxury sector.
The thriving luxury travel market opens up investment potential in sectors such as luxury hotels and premium cosmetics.


APAC Luxury Industry Series: Luxury Travel Shines Amid Challenges for Traditional Luxury Goods

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Intel's EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation's technology sector and economic growth.</li><li>Taiwan's luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.</li><li>AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan's role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.</li></ul>

Intel's EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation's technology sector and economic growth.Taiwan's luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan's role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel's EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.

Italy

Ferrari NV designs and manufactures sports cars. The Company offers new and used vehicles, warranty programs, financial supports, and maintenance, as well as watches, apparels, earphones, caps, and other accessories. Ferrari markets its products worldwide.

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Ferrari NV (RACE IM)

Ferrari (RACE US) Q2 2023: The Perfect Fisher Framework Stock That Keeps Executing

Ferrari is a classic Fisher stock with execution par excellence (long-term ROCE > 20%) and EBITDA margins trending at 40%. We provide constructive...

Sameer Taneja

Ferrari: Classic Fisher Company, Almost Perfect Score on The Fisher 15 Framework

Ferrari is a classic Fisher stock. We analyze Ferrari based on the Fisher 15 criteria and find that it meets almost all criteria, implying it could...

Sameer Taneja

APAC Luxury Industry Series: Luxury Travel Shines Amid Challenges for Traditional Luxury Goods

Luxury travel, driven by trends like micro trips and the increasing number of High-Net-Worth Individuals, represents a potential area of growth in...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel's EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.

Intel's semiconductor plant in Germany faces delay due to chip and battery budget battle, Taiwan's luxury car market thrives, AI boosts nuclear...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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