Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There has been a long-term trend of market concentration in Japan's retail sector for more than a decade.</li>
<li>But consolidation is accelerating due to the pressures to find growth in a depopulating market and the winner takes all phenomenon which rewards the leading chains.</li>
<li>With higher growth and greater access to capital for the best retailers, the net result is dramatically higher levels of M&amp;A in sectors like drugstores and even supermarkets.  </li>
</ul>


There has been a long-term trend of market concentration in Japan's retail sector for more than a decade.
But consolidation is accelerating due to the pressures to find growth in a depopulating market and the winner takes all phenomenon which rewards the leading chains.
With higher growth and greater access to capital for the best retailers, the net result is dramatically higher levels of M&amp;A in sectors like drugstores and even supermarkets.  


Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> shares rose 22.7% as it confirmed media reports that it had received a confidential, non-binding preliminary proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a>. </li>
<li>The interest is unsurprising due to the weak share price performance. Since ValueAct’s open letter on 25 January 2022, the shares are up 5.2% vs. the Nikkei 225 up 38.0%.</li>
<li>Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging as it requires support from the founder’s family and the Japanese government. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low.  </li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) shares rose 22.7% as it confirmed media reports that it had received a confidential, non-binding preliminary proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN). 
The interest is unsurprising due to the weak share price performance. Since ValueAct’s open letter on 25 January 2022, the shares are up 5.2% vs. the Nikkei 225 up 38.0%.
Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging as it requires support from the founder’s family and the Japanese government. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low.  


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

<ul>
<li>Retailing is booming in Japan, backed by consumers getting out and about, buying enthusiastically and enjoying Japan’s shop-focused entertainment centres once again. </li>
<li>Tourists are back in record numbers, with 3 million a month entering Japan since March and well over 30 million expected in 2024 overall.</li>
<li>Inflation remains a concern, but we’re two years into this round of price increases and consumers are becoming resigned to higher prices. FY2024 will be another excellent year.</li>
</ul>


Retailing is booming in Japan, backed by consumers getting out and about, buying enthusiastically and enjoying Japan’s shop-focused entertainment centres once again. 
Tourists are back in record numbers, with 3 million a month entering Japan since March and well over 30 million expected in 2024 overall.
Inflation remains a concern, but we’re two years into this round of price increases and consumers are becoming resigned to higher prices. FY2024 will be another excellent year.


Japan's Retail Sector Grows Faster than 1990

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Upbeat results briefing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc</a> on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.</li>
<li>With numbers out for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/155896/Pan%20Pacific%20International%20Holdings%20(7532%20JP)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PPIH</a> on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.</li>
<li>AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?</li>
</ul>


Upbeat results briefing from Asahi Intecc on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.
With numbers out for PPIH on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.
AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?


Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the prior week witnessed a number of listings with divergent results.</li>
<li>Given the market volatility, there was only one large placements in the prior week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, the prior week witnessed a number of listings with divergent results.
Given the market volatility, there was only one large placements in the prior week.


ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) - Ola Electric, Brainbees, WeRide, Akum, CR Beverages, Eternal Beauty

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Michael Causton

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging to achieve. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low. Nevertheless,...

Arun George

Japan's Retail Sector Grows Faster than 1990

Retailing in Japan is thriving as consumers shop enthusiastically, despite concerns about inflation, and tourists return in record numbers. The...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) - Ola Electric, Brainbees, WeRide, Akum, CR Beverages, Eternal Beauty

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

​Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Michael Causton

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging to achieve. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low. Nevertheless,...

Arun George

Japan's Retail Sector Grows Faster than 1990

​Retailing in Japan is thriving as consumers shop enthusiastically, despite concerns about inflation, and tourists return in record numbers. The...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

​Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) - Ola Electric, Brainbees, WeRide, Akum, CR Beverages, Eternal Beauty

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Retailing in Japan is thriving as consumers shop enthusiastically, despite concerns about inflation, and tourists return in record numbers. The...

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...