Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA's recent earnings report confirms the reality and arrival of the AI boom, with projected sales far exceeding estimates.</li>
<li>Commodity prices have dropped, suggesting a high likelihood of a recession in the US.</li>
<li>Market breadth indicates weakness, with AI hype overshadowing other indicators. Big Tech companies' market capitalization has surged, while other stocks have seen declines, raising valuation concerns.</li>
</ul>


NVIDIA's recent earnings report confirms the reality and arrival of the AI boom, with projected sales far exceeding estimates.
Commodity prices have dropped, suggesting a high likelihood of a recession in the US.
Market breadth indicates weakness, with AI hype overshadowing other indicators. Big Tech companies' market capitalization has surged, while other stocks have seen declines, raising valuation concerns.


Weekly Market Monitor - Week 21 - Embracing the AI Boom

Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

Equity Bottom-Up

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones (DIA): QQQ with a big 21.64% return in 2023 &amp; outperforming by a big margin the other 2 main indices.</li><li>For an even broader perspective, US indices 2023 performance shown in this order: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) &gt; S&amp;P 500 (SPX) &gt; S&amp;P Midcap 400 MID &gt; Russel 2000 (RTY) &gt; Russell Microcap (RMICRO).</li><li><p>In short, from Megacaps &gt; to Microcaps: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) leading by a big margin.</p></li></ul>

First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones (DIA): QQQ with a big 21.64% return in 2023 &amp; outperforming by a big margin the other 2 main indices.For an even broader perspective, US indices 2023 performance shown in this order: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) &gt; S&amp;P 500 (SPX) &gt; S&amp;P Midcap 400 MID &gt; Russel 2000 (RTY) &gt; Russell Microcap (RMICRO).In short, from Megacaps &gt; to Microcaps: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) leading by a big margin.

Getting Tactical with Nasdaq-100 NDX ($QQQ): Valuation Disconnected Via Its Cost of Capital

<ul>
<li>AI-Hyped US Equities are not off the hook. The US Leading Indicator dropped for the 13th consecutive month, taking the index further into recessionary territory.</li>
<li>The rally in Big Tech stocks hides that only just over one-third of NASDAQ stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, the threshold between positive and negative future returns.</li>
<li>Singapore electronics exports were down a whopping 23.3% year-on-year in April, indicating a severe decline in global earnings-per-share numbers.</li>
</ul>


AI-Hyped US Equities are not off the hook. The US Leading Indicator dropped for the 13th consecutive month, taking the index further into recessionary territory.
The rally in Big Tech stocks hides that only just over one-third of NASDAQ stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, the threshold between positive and negative future returns.
Singapore electronics exports were down a whopping 23.3% year-on-year in April, indicating a severe decline in global earnings-per-share numbers.


Weekly Market Monitor - Week 19 Macro Momentum Is Fading, but Market Momentum Is Building.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Novatek reported earnings ahead of expectations where margins rose thanks to recovery in pricing for its products in inventory. Inventory metrics improved as well.</li>
<li>Key industry readthrough -- Novatek seeing strongest demand for DDICs (display driver chips) coming from the small/medium form factor and highlighted mass production of VR as a cause.</li>
<li>Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could AR/VR will be going mass market this year?</li>
</ul>


Novatek reported earnings ahead of expectations where margins rose thanks to recovery in pricing for its products in inventory. Inventory metrics improved as well.
Key industry readthrough -- Novatek seeing strongest demand for DDICs (display driver chips) coming from the small/medium form factor and highlighted mass production of VR as a cause.
Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could AR/VR will be going mass market this year?


Novatek: Volume Production of VR Driving Strongest Segment; AR/VR Finally Going Mass Market in 2023?

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Meta Platforms had a decent quarter and surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.</li><li>The company is progressing in improving its distributed work model, delivering AI tools to improve productivity, and removing unnecessary processes.</li><li>AI recommendations now operate more than 20% of users' Facebook and Instagram Feeds and over 40% of content on Instagram.</li></ul>

Meta Platforms had a decent quarter and surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.The company is progressing in improving its distributed work model, delivering AI tools to improve productivity, and removing unnecessary processes.AI recommendations now operate more than 20% of users' Facebook and Instagram Feeds and over 40% of content on Instagram.

Meta Platforms Inc.: Riding The New AI Wave? – Market Dominance & Other Drivers

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

Weekly Market Monitor - Week 21 - Embracing the AI Boom

The AI Boom is real but also poses two big challenges for investors. Also real is the likelihood of another credit event now that bond yields are...

Jeroen Blokland

Getting Tactical with Nasdaq-100 NDX ($QQQ): Valuation Disconnected Via Its Cost of Capital

Gap opened up possibilities: Hedge, Sell, Trim, Short Sell, Collar. First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&P...

Maverick Equity Research

Weekly Market Monitor - Week 19 Macro Momentum Is Fading, but Market Momentum Is Building.

Macro Momentum is fading, but market Momentum is building. Even though the outlook for Equities is challenging, markets couldn't care less currently.

Jeroen Blokland

Novatek: Volume Production of VR Driving Strongest Segment; AR/VR Finally Going Mass Market in 2023?

Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Meta Platforms Inc.: Riding The New AI Wave? – Market Dominance & Other Drivers

Meta Platforms had a decent quarter and surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings. The company is progressing in...

Baptista Research

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