HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The national centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables for intraocular lens (IOL) and medical consumables related to sports medicine released results, with lower than expected price reductions. </li>
<li>Despite anti-corruption campaign, the business/profit model validation process of Chinese Biotech has not slowed down. There’s a chance to see Chinese Biotech turn losses into profits in 2024-2025.</li>
<li>Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech (688298 CH) once brought considerable returns to investors, but now the beautiful story is over.After deletion from CSI Medical Service Index, share price could remain weak.</li>
</ul>


The national centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables for intraocular lens (IOL) and medical consumables related to sports medicine released results, with lower than expected price reductions. 
Despite anti-corruption campaign, the business/profit model validation process of Chinese Biotech has not slowed down. There’s a chance to see Chinese Biotech turn losses into profits in 2024-2025.
Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech (688298 CH) once brought considerable returns to investors, but now the beautiful story is over.After deletion from CSI Medical Service Index, share price could remain weak.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.1) - Medical Device VBP, Biotech to Breakeven Soon, Orient Gene Biotech

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The national centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables such as intraocular lens (IOL) and sports medicine medical consumables is about to begin. We listed the companies that could be affected.</li>
<li>The instability of policies seems to be a consensus among investors regarding China healthcare. However, if truly understand the logic behind policy changes and industry shifts, investors will maintain optimism.</li>
<li>We analyzed the key points of Biokin. Its valuation is ridiculously high considering the current pipeline situation and commercialization outlook. We think the bubble will eventually burst (e.g. 50% downside).</li>
</ul>


The national centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables such as intraocular lens (IOL) and sports medicine medical consumables is about to begin. We listed the companies that could be affected.
The instability of policies seems to be a consensus among investors regarding China healthcare. However, if truly understand the logic behind policy changes and industry shifts, investors will maintain optimism.
We analyzed the key points of Biokin. Its valuation is ridiculously high considering the current pipeline situation and commercialization outlook. We think the bubble will eventually burst (e.g. 50% downside).


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - Medical Device VBP, Restore Optimism on Healthcare, Biokin Pharma

<ul>
<li>The 9th national VBP is drawing near. As all drugs under national/provincial VBP are scheduled to be executed before 2025/12/31, there should be new policies in 2026 and beyond.</li>
<li>The capabilities of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in ADC field have at least stepped onto a platform to compete with international giants, which is clearly more progressive than during PD-1 era.</li>
<li>We analyzed key points of Ovctek. Its investment logic has changed and centralized procurement will break investors' expectations for Ovctek’s future performance growth. Valuation may continue to be under pressure.</li>
</ul>


The 9th national VBP is drawing near. As all drugs under national/provincial VBP are scheduled to be executed before 2025/12/31, there should be new policies in 2026 and beyond.
The capabilities of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in ADC field have at least stepped onto a platform to compete with international giants, which is clearly more progressive than during PD-1 era.
We analyzed key points of Ovctek. Its investment logic has changed and centralized procurement will break investors' expectations for Ovctek’s future performance growth. Valuation may continue to be under pressure.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)- 9th National VBP, China's Strength in ADC Field, Ovctek, Eyebright

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gaush-meditech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35250:1" rel="noopener">Gaush Meditech (GMT HK)</a> is a leading total solution provider of ophthalmic medical devices industry.</li>
<li>The irreplaceability of Gaush in the whole industrial chain is actually not high based on its current business model.The proprietary product business may also need to face different policy risks.</li>
<li>Together with other uncertainties such as increasing market competition and medical reform policy in China, we are conservative about Gaush’s outlook at the current stage.  </li>
</ul>



Gaush Meditech (GMT HK) is a leading total solution provider of ophthalmic medical devices industry.
The irreplaceability of Gaush in the whole industrial chain is actually not high based on its current business model.The proprietary product business may also need to face different policy risks.
Together with other uncertainties such as increasing market competition and medical reform policy in China, we are conservative about Gaush’s outlook at the current stage.  


Pre-IPO Gaush Meditech - The "Middlemen" Have Many Challenges

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Haohai's development is fuelled by a series of acquisitions, which help Haohai establish the existing diversified businesses, but we haven’t seen any growth point with high certainty.</li>
<li>Compared with Bloomage and Imeik, Haohai has no competitive advantage in the field of medical aesthetics. It’s also difficult for Haohai to make a substantial breakthrough without obvious product advantages.</li>
<li>Although Haohai’s PE/TTM is significantly lower than its peers, due to centralized procurement, Haohai’s valuation could be further lower. Considering the risks, we choose to stay cautious on Haohai.</li>
</ul>


Haohai's development is fuelled by a series of acquisitions, which help Haohai establish the existing diversified businesses, but we haven’t seen any growth point with high certainty.
Compared with Bloomage and Imeik, Haohai has no competitive advantage in the field of medical aesthetics. It’s also difficult for Haohai to make a substantial breakthrough without obvious product advantages.
Although Haohai’s PE/TTM is significantly lower than its peers, due to centralized procurement, Haohai’s valuation could be further lower. Considering the risks, we choose to stay cautious on Haohai.


Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366CH)- Diversified Business Layout Doesn't Secure Outlook

China

Eyebright Medical Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. produces and sells medical devices. The Company manufactures and sells implantable ophthalmic supplies, surgical instruments, and other products. Eyebright Medical Technology (Beijing) markets its products throughout China.

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Eyebright Medical Technology (688050 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.1) - Medical Device VBP, Biotech to Breakeven Soon, Orient Gene Biotech

VBP result for intraocular lens/sports medicine consumables is better than expected.There’s a chance to see Chinese Biotech turn loss into profits...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - Medical Device VBP, Restore Optimism on Healthcare, Biokin Pharma

National VBP of intraocular lens/sports medicine medical consumables begins.Investors will maintain optimism when understand the logic behind...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)- 9th National VBP, China's Strength in ADC Field, Ovctek, Eyebright

The 9th national VBP is coming, but policy could change from 2026.We see positive factors in the performance of Chinese company in ADC field, who...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Gaush Meditech - The "Middlemen" Have Many Challenges

The irreplaceability of Gaush in the whole industrial chain is not high based on its business model. Gaush's business has to face various policy...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366CH)- Diversified Business Layout Doesn't Secure Outlook

Haohai builds diversified business via M&A,but none is growth point with high certainty. Its medical aesthetics has no obvious advantage and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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