FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

USA rate hikes are again slipping out of view.  The ISM reports and broad labor market indicators suggest that economic momentum is slipping below potential.  A hike in September would appear to be a rash mistake and the risk is swinging towards no hike this year.  But just as the USA economy may be stalling, the economic and inflation outlook in the Eurozone, UK and Japan also appears to be weakening.  In contrast, several emerging market economies are picking up momentum, led by India, China and Russia.  Even though overall growth momentum remains modest and inflation trends are weakening in emerging markets, low yields and non-conventional policy easing in all major economies is set to perpetuate a recovery in emerging and commodity currencies.  A weak USD has been a feature of the markets this year, but the tide may be turning towards a relatively weak EUR and JPY.  Eurozone inflation indicators are weakening faster than other major countries and Eurozone rates and yields have fallen to the bottom of the pile below those in Japan.  The ECB should sound dovish this week and are expected to extend their current quantitative policy easing program beyond March.  We see a case for EUR and JPY to languish, if not clearly against the USD, then against emerging markets, commodity currencies and gold.

USA rate hikes are again slipping out of view.  The ISM reports and broad labor market indicators suggest that economic momentum is slipping below potential.  A hike in September would appear to be a rash mistake and the risk is swinging towards no hike this year.  But just as the USA economy may be stalling, the economic and inflation outlook in the Eurozone, UK and Japan also appears to be weakening.  In contrast, several emerging market economies are picking up momentum, led by India, China and Russia.  Even though overall growth momentum remains modest and inflation trends are weakening in emerging markets, low yields and non-conventional policy easing in all major economies is set to perpetuate a recovery in emerging and commodity currencies.  A weak USD has been a feature of the markets this year, but the tide may be turning towards a relatively weak EUR and JPY.  Eurozone inflation indicators are weakening faster than other major countries and Eurozone rates and yields have fallen to the bottom of the pile below those in Japan.  The ECB should sound dovish this week and are expected to extend their current quantitative policy easing program beyond March.  We see a case for EUR and JPY to languish, if not clearly against the USD, then against emerging markets, commodity currencies and gold.

AmpGFX - Emerging Economies Take Lead over Languishing Majors

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 7 August 2016Trade levelsTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/ApwSViWzOdm" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/ApwSViWzOdm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1470798585542000&amp;usg=AFQjCNF2WLLyezgZKE2ninED3wNuBW4waw">http://www.screencast.com/t/ApwSViWzOdm</a> 6:11 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/011/468/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1470712325" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="11468"><figcaption class="figcaption">FX webcast</figcaption></figure>DXY re taking strength to press on 96.50 and then backed off post NFP. Pattern bias still calls for a fade near 96.40-50 with key support at 94.40 but we expect near term action to hug resistance. Macro support at 92 remains the level that is a trend changer.GBP 1.3280 short starting to pay off.Euro 1.140 short needs downside follow through below 1.10.…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 7 August 2016Trade levelsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/ApwSViWzOdm 6:11 min.FX webcastDXY re taking strength to press on 96.50 and then backed off post NFP. Pattern bias still calls for a fade near 96.40-50 with key support at 94.40 but we expect near term action to hug resistance. Macro support at 92 remains the level that is a trend changer.GBP 1.3280 short starting to pay off.Euro 1.140 short needs downside follow through below 1.10.…

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the Eurozone continued its downward trend, coming in at 10.2% in March 2016 compared to 10.4% in February and 11.2% in March 2015. The unemployment rate was at its lowest level since August 2011, and the gradual improvement in the labor market is expected to continue.The decline in the unemployment was largely across the board amongst the Eurozone members. It decreased to 10% in France in March 2016 compared to 10.2% in February while it fell to 4.2%…

The Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the Eurozone continued its downward trend, coming in at 10.2% in March 2016 compared to 10.4% in February and 11.2% in March 2015. The unemployment rate was at its lowest level since August 2011, and the gradual improvement in the labor market is expected to continue.The decline in the unemployment was largely across the board amongst the Eurozone members. It decreased to 10% in France in March 2016 compared to 10.2% in February while it fell to 4.2%…

Eurozone: Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate Continues to Trend Downwards

Germany

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union. 

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AmpGFX - Emerging Economies Take Lead over Languishing Majors

USA rate hikes are again slipping out of view. The ISM reports and broad labor market indicators suggest that economic momentum is slipping below...

Greg Gibbs

Dollar Trades

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 7 August 2016Trade levelsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/ApwSViWzOdm 6:11 min.DXY re taking...

Thomas Schroeder

Eurozone: Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate Continues to Trend Downwards

The Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the Eurozone continued its downward trend, coming in at 10.2% in March 2016 compared to 10.4% in...

Rajan Govil

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