Time for a EUR Reality Check
The US economy has retained strong momentum, generally beating expectations, while the Eurozone economy has lost momentum and has consistently...
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Week Ahead in Global Macro: SPX Earnings, ECB, BOJ, Moon-Kim in DMZ, Macron/Merkel-Trump
Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in trade ideas: Prefer US value over growth this...
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A Pervasive Rise in Yields May Propel Further USD Gains
We see the recent resurgence in US yields as potentially the most important driver in the coming week or longer. The resumption of the rise in US...
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EM FX Leading a Broader USD Cycle Low in Asia
We have made a case that EM FX is kicking off a cycle that will lead a USD key low in Asia stemming largely from the leading cycle in the TRY...
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Spreads, Basis, and the USD and AUD
What does the widening in USD and AUD LIBOR/OIS spreads and higher cross-currency swap basis mean for their exchange rates? Some have argued that...
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