Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

FX & Rates

<ul>
<li>While the market has aggressively moved the US rates and the rate expectations lower, the European rates are pricing in higher for longer, with a rate hike possibility still on the cards.</li>
<li>In the current market environment, the Dollar crosses are driven by rate differential and sentiment rather than growth differential and geopolitical risk of the Ukraine war.</li>
<li>The Cross rate and the 13-day RSI are overlaid with two standard deviations Bollinger Bands to plot the mean reversion boundaries.</li>
</ul>


While the market has aggressively moved the US rates and the rate expectations lower, the European rates are pricing in higher for longer, with a rate hike possibility still on the cards.
In the current market environment, the Dollar crosses are driven by rate differential and sentiment rather than growth differential and geopolitical risk of the Ukraine war.
The Cross rate and the 13-day RSI are overlaid with two standard deviations Bollinger Bands to plot the mean reversion boundaries.


Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul><li>Crypto markets are at their most volatile when liquidity is low.</li><li>Prices have less support to both the downside and the upside, which could explain BTC’s rapid +17% surge since the start of the month.</li><li>Liquidity has also become a hot topic in traditional financial markets as the banking sector reels from several high-profile collapses.</li></ul>

Crypto markets are at their most volatile when liquidity is low.Prices have less support to both the downside and the upside, which could explain BTC’s rapid +17% surge since the start of the month.Liquidity has also become a hot topic in traditional financial markets as the banking sector reels from several high-profile collapses.

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The EUR/USD exchange rate has been moving upwards, as seen in Graph 1.</li><li>There were four secondary movements throughout the considered time period.</li><li>More specifically, after fluctuating the first days of the month, the currency pair showed an upward movement from January 6th up to January 12th.</li></ul>

The EUR/USD exchange rate has been moving upwards, as seen in Graph 1.There were four secondary movements throughout the considered time period.More specifically, after fluctuating the first days of the month, the currency pair showed an upward movement from January 6th up to January 12th.

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD - February 3, 2023

Marketing Director, Asia Frontier Capital

Asia Frontier Capital

Marketing Director

Investing in high growth Asian frontier economies.

Asia Frontier Capital Ltd. is a pioneering fund management company based in Hong Kong that specializes in investing in high growth Asian frontier economies by managing the AFC Asia Frontier Fund , AFC Iraq Fund and the AFC Vietnam Fund.

The AFC Asia Frontier Fund invests in public equities of Asian frontier countries that are seeing increasing consumption due to favorable demographic trends, rising incomes and high GDP growth. The fund invests in listed equities of companies that have their principal business activities in Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Iraq, Laos, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. The AFC Asia Frontier Fund is positioned to take advantage of the continuing economic shifts in these countries and offers high returns combined with significant diversification opportunities. This fund is directed by the founder and CEO of Asia Frontier Capital, Thomas Hugger, who has been investing in frontier markets across Asia and Africa for more than 20 years.

The AFC Iraq Fund was launched on the 26th June 2015 and aims to achieve long-term capital appreciation for investors by capturing value and growth potential in the post conflict high-growth & resource rich Iraq market. The fund emphasises long term investment horizon to truly capture the opportunity in Iraq. The fund's investable universe consists of locally listed companies that have their principal business activities in Iraq as well as foreign listed companies that have the majority of the business in Iraq as a whole including the prosperous Kurdish Region of Iraq (KRI). The AFC Iraq Fund offers access to investments in post conflict recovery potential of Iraq, including the KRI, and/or stability in its territory. The AFC Iraq Fund is managed by Asia Frontier Capital (Iraq) Limited, Cayman Islands under the executive leadership team of Thomas Hugger (CEO & Fund Manager) and Ahmed Tabaqchali (CIO) who have more than 47 years of investment experience as well as an extensive background covering global, emerging, frontier and MENA markets.

The AFC Vietnam Fund invests exclusively in listed Vietnamese equities to capture value in growth companies with a focus on the small to medium size companies. This market segment offers a unique investment opportunity as the valuation gap between large- and small-cap stocks in Vietnam is presently much wider than in comparable neighboring markets and the valuations are significantly depressed versus their regional peers. The fund adopts a fundamental-quantitative approach and employs an in-house earnings model to identify attractive companies where we see high growth opportunities. In conjunction with targeting the maximum upside potential the portfolio has been structured to mitigate corporate government and liquidity risks. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio of 70-90 attractively valued companies to carefully control concentration risk.  This approach allows the fund to sell, or buy, positions without having a significant market impact. The fund is directed under the executive leadership of Thomas Hugger and Andreas Vogelsanger who have more than 50 years combined experience managing investments in frontier markets, Asia and around the world.

For more information about the fund, management team and investment strategy please contact us at info@asiafrontiercapital.com.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The AFC Iraq Fund Class D shares returned +23.3% in February 2023 with a NAV of USD 833.91, underperforming its benchmark, the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index (RSISUSD index), which gained 25.0% during the month.</li><li>The fund is up 22.6% year to date versus 18.8% for the index. Since inception, the fund has lost 16.6% while the RSISUSD index is down 37.6%.</li><li>The performance of the fund and the index were positively affected by two crucial decisions taken by the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI).</li></ul>

The AFC Iraq Fund Class D shares returned +23.3% in February 2023 with a NAV of USD 833.91, underperforming its benchmark, the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index (RSISUSD index), which gained 25.0% during the month.The fund is up 22.6% year to date versus 18.8% for the index. Since inception, the fund has lost 16.6% while the RSISUSD index is down 37.6%.The performance of the fund and the index were positively affected by two crucial decisions taken by the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI).

AFC Iraq Fund Enjoys a Surprise Boost - Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) - February 2023 Update

CEO, ByteTree Asset Management

ByteTree Asset Management

Specialising in Bitcoin, Gold and Digital Assets

Investment Manager specialising in bitcoin, gold and digital assets

<ul><li>Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket.</li><li>The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial markets.</li><li>A weak dollar is bullish, and a strong dollar, bearish. The dollar was strong (the euro weak) until September, and that put downward pressure on stocks. </li></ul>

Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket.The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial markets.A weak dollar is bullish, and a strong dollar, bearish. The dollar was strong (the euro weak) until September, and that put downward pressure on stocks. 

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

EURO-USD Cross Rate

While the market has aggressively moved the US rates and the rate expectations lower, the European rates are pricing in higher for longer, with a...

Untying The Gordian Knot

The State of Liquidity in Crypto Markets

Prices have less support to both the downside and the upside, which could explain BTC’s rapid +17% surge since the start of the month.

Kaiko

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD - February 3, 2023

The EUR/USD exchange rate has been moving upwards, as seen in Graph 1. There were four secondary movements throughout the considered time period.

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

AFC Iraq Fund Enjoys a Surprise Boost - Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) - February 2023 Update

The fund is up 22.6% year to date versus 18.8% for the index. Since inception, the fund has lost 16.6% while the RSISUSD index is down 37.6%.

Asia Frontier Capital

The Dollar Is Back

Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket. The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial...

ByteTree Asset Management

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