IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> disclosed a conditional voluntary offer from Reinold Geiger at HK$34.00, a 15.3% premium to the last close and a 30.8% premium to the undisturbed price (5 February).</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition is that the offeror holds at least 90% of the shares held by disinterested shareholders, which enables the offeror to exercise compulsory acquisition rights.</li>
<li>Irrevocable and letters of support to accept represent 37.96% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer (representing an all-time high) should facilitate the offer being declared unconditional.</li>
</ul>



L'Occitane (973 HK) disclosed a conditional voluntary offer from Reinold Geiger at HK$34.00, a 15.3% premium to the last close and a 30.8% premium to the undisturbed price (5 February).
The minimum acceptance condition is that the offeror holds at least 90% of the shares held by disinterested shareholders, which enables the offeror to exercise compulsory acquisition rights.
Irrevocable and letters of support to accept represent 37.96% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer (representing an all-time high) should facilitate the offer being declared unconditional.


L’Occitane (973 HK): Conditional VGO at HK$34

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics (1478187D CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunner on the deal is CICC.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>As per F&amp;S, MGC was the only domestic market player among the top ten premium beauty groups in China, ranking eighth by 2022 retail sales.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics (1478187D CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunner on the deal is CICC.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
As per F&amp;S, MGC was the only domestic market player among the top ten premium beauty groups in China, ranking eighth by 2022 retail sales.


<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> draws takeover interest from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone (BX US)</a>, which is considering partnering with Chairman and largest shareholder Reinold Geiger.</li>
<li>Blackstone needs an attractive takeover premium due to the presence of significant disinterested shareholders (Mr. Geiger and Acatis KVG).</li>
<li>Shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour due to Mr Geiger’s aborted offer on 4 September 2023. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that L'Occitane (973 HK) draws takeover interest from Blackstone (BX US), which is considering partnering with Chairman and largest shareholder Reinold Geiger.
Blackstone needs an attractive takeover premium due to the presence of significant disinterested shareholders (Mr. Geiger and Acatis KVG).
Shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour due to Mr Geiger’s aborted offer on 4 September 2023. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.


L’Occitane (973 HK): Blackstone Pondering an Offer

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands, leaving our 2024 projections basically unchanged and rolling out another year of double-digit top and EBITDA growth after the company reported inline 4Q23 results and left 2024 guidance unchanged.</li><li>We believe, with multiple potential expansion opportunities in category adjacencies and new relationships, continued innovation and vertical integration and the potential for further accretive acquisitions (which are not in our projections), Starco is aligned to register further material progress on numerous fronts in 2024 and beyond.</li><li>As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for STCB</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands, leaving our 2024 projections basically unchanged and rolling out another year of double-digit top and EBITDA growth after the company reported inline 4Q23 results and left 2024 guidance unchanged.We believe, with multiple potential expansion opportunities in category adjacencies and new relationships, continued innovation and vertical integration and the potential for further accretive acquisitions (which are not in our projections), Starco is aligned to register further material progress on numerous fronts in 2024 and beyond.As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for STCB

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 4Q Review: Setting Up the Next Steps; Reiterate Buy, PT

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands with the company announcing 4Q23 (December) results after the close on Monday.</li><li>We believe 2024, with a full compliment of unique, value-added brands which leverage Starco's aerosol and marketing infrastructure in hand, and a laser focus on adding key categories and new relationships, is shaping up as another year of material progress for Starco.</li><li>We believe there are also continued margin expansion opportunities from both economies of scale and the company's manufacturing expertise.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands with the company announcing 4Q23 (December) results after the close on Monday.We believe 2024, with a full compliment of unique, value-added brands which leverage Starco's aerosol and marketing infrastructure in hand, and a laser focus on adding key categories and new relationships, is shaping up as another year of material progress for Starco.We believe there are also continued margin expansion opportunities from both economies of scale and the company's manufacturing expertise.

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 4Q Preview; Shooting Higher in 2024; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

United States

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets a wide range of skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products.  The Company's products are sold in countries and territories around the world.

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Estee Lauder Companies Cl A (EL US)

L’Occitane (973 HK): Conditional VGO at HK$34

The key condition is that the offeror holds at least 90% of the disinterested shares. An attractive offer (representing an all-time high) should...

Arun George

Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Mao Geping Cosmetics (1478187D CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunner on the deal is CICC.

Clarence Chu

L’Occitane (973 HK): Blackstone Pondering an Offer

L’Occitane is on a trading halt pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg reports that Blackstone is nearing a privatisation deal...

Arun George

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 4Q Review: Setting Up the Next Steps; Reiterate Buy, PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands, leaving our 2024 projections basically unchanged and rolling out...

Small Cap Consumer Research

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 4Q Preview; Shooting Higher in 2024; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $0.25 price target for Starco Brands with the company announcing 4Q23 (December) results after the close on...

Small Cap Consumer Research

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